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Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 8 · Late Edition

College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 3:30 PM ET · Final Oklahoma 23, Mississippi State 15

Oklahoma at Mississippi State

Mississippi State +1.5 at our first look, +1.5 at kickoff. SEC game. Team pages: Oklahoma · Mississippi State

Conditions · Davis Wade Stadium: Forecast 75°F, wind 7 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 76°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Oklahoma 0.0 · Mississippi State −2.0 → favors Oklahoma by 2.0. Market: line unchanged. Never priced in

Landed: Oklahoma 23, Mississippi State 15. Oklahoma covered the closing line (Mississippi State +1.5). 38 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Oklahoma Sooners 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Mississippi State Bulldogs −2.0

QB Kamario Taylor
On3, Thu 7:40 PM: Questionable
Questionable−2.0

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Mississippi State lineMississippi State Bulldogs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Mississippi State.
+1+2+3+4+5+6Opening line+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:09 AM+2.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:42 PM+1.5Optimism rising that Taylor canstart for Mississippi State vsOklahomaThu 8:33 PM−3Bothwell expected to suit up forMississippi State against OklahomaSat 10:45 AM−1Closing line+1.5
+1+2+3+4+5+6Opening line+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:09 AM+2.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:42 PM+1.5Optimism rising that Taylor can start forMississippi State vs OklahomaThu 8:33 PM−3Bothwell expected to suit up for MississippiState against OklahomaSat 10:45 AM−1Closing line+1.5

Final: Oklahoma 23, Mississippi State 15. Mississippi State missed the closing number by 6.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 3:09 AM ET+2.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Oct 20, 1:42 PM ET+1.5
Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs OklahomaThu Oct 22, 8:33 PM ET-3
Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against OklahomaSat Oct 24, 10:45 AM ET-1
Closing line+1.5
What moved the Mississippi State moneylineMississippi State Bulldogs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Mississippi State.
+233+186+150+122Opening line+116Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:09 AM+180Market move, no reported newsTue 1:42 PM+216Optimism rising that Taylor canstart for Mississippi State vsOklahomaThu 8:33 PM+127Bothwell expected to suit up forMississippi State against OklahomaSat 10:45 AM+116Price-only move+109Closing line+109
+233+186+150+122Opening line+116Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:09 AM+180Market move, no reported newsTue 1:42 PM+216Optimism rising that Taylor can start forMississippi State vs OklahomaThu 8:33 PM+127Bothwell expected to suit up for MississippiState against OklahomaSat 10:45 AM+116Price-only move+109Closing line+109
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line46.4% (+116)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 3:09 AM ET35.7% (+180)
Market move, no reported newsTue Oct 20, 1:42 PM ET31.6% (+216)
Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs OklahomaThu Oct 22, 8:33 PM ET44.1% (+127)
Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against OklahomaSat Oct 24, 10:45 AM ET46.4% (+116)
Price-only move47.8% (+109)
Closing line47.8% (+109)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
464748495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 2:38 AM−4.5Market move, no reported newsMon 4:45 PM+3.5Closing line49.5
464748495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 2:38 AM−4.5Market move, no reported newsMon 4:45 PM+3.5Closing line49.5

Final: 38 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 2:38 AM ET-4.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 19, 4:45 PM ET+3.5
Closing line49.5

Notes

InjurySat Oct 24, 4:17 PM · Mississippi State

Taylor exits Mississippi State's game with Oklahoma in first half

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor, already dealing with an injury, left the first half against Oklahoma and walked to the locker room with a trainer. His absence would push the Bulldogs to a backup quarterback for the rest of the game. On3

InjurySat Oct 24, 2:26 PM · Oklahoma

Oklahoma linemen Fasusi, Ozaeta active at Mississippi State

Oklahoma offensive linemen Michael Fasusi and Heath Ozaeta are available for Saturday's game at Mississippi State. Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor is also set to play. Yahoo Sports

MarketSat Oct 24, 11:06 AM · Mississippi State

Total rises 1.5 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State with no reported news

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 47.5 to 49, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSat Oct 24, 8:52 AM · Mississippi State

Line moves 1 toward Mississippi State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +2.5 to +1.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

InjuryFri Oct 23, 7:58 PM · Mississippi State

Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against Oklahoma

Mississippi State is reportedly set to have running back Fluff Bothwell available for Saturday's home game with Oklahoma. His presence restores the Bulldogs' top rushing threat against a key SEC opponent. Saturday Down South

MarketFri Oct 23, 5:20 PM · Mississippi State

Total rises 3 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State ahead of the news

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 46.5 to 49.5, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 2h 38m before the report: Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against Oklahoma.

MarketFri Oct 23, 5:08 PM · Mississippi State

Line moves 2 toward Mississippi State ahead of the news

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +3.5 to +1.5 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 2h 49m before the report: Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against Oklahoma.

MarketFri Oct 23, 1:41 PM · Mississippi State

Line moves 1.5 toward Mississippi State ahead of the news

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +3 to +1.5 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 6h 16m before the report: Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against Oklahoma.

MarketFri Oct 23, 11:38 AM · Mississippi State

Total rises 2.5 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State ahead of the news

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 46 to 48.5, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 8h 20m before the report: Bothwell expected to suit up for Mississippi State against Oklahoma.

MarketThu Oct 22, 8:03 PM · Mississippi State

Line moves 2.5 on the news: Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs Oklahoma

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +5.5 to +3 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move followed the report: Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs Oklahoma.

MarketThu Oct 22, 8:03 PM · Mississippi State

Total rises 2.5 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 45 to 47.5, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move followed the report: Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs Oklahoma.

InjuryThu Oct 22, 7:40 PM · Mississippi State

Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs Oklahoma

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor is still questionable for Saturday's game with Oklahoma but has done more in practice this week, and there is growing belief he will play. He remains day-to-day, leaving the starting quarterback spot unsettled until kickoff. On3

MarketThu Oct 22, 12:28 PM · Mississippi State

Line moves 1.5 toward Mississippi State ahead of the news

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +4.5 to +3 (home side). The market started moving 7h 11m before the report: Optimism rising that Taylor can start for Mississippi State vs Oklahoma.

MarketMon Oct 19, 4:45 PM · Mississippi State

Total drops 1.5 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State with no reported news

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 46 to 44.5, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 9:23 PM · Mississippi State

Line moves 1.5 toward Oklahoma with no reported news

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +2.5 to +4 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 6:47 AM · Mississippi State

Total drops 2.5 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State after last week's results

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 48.5 to 46, with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 3:09 AM · Mississippi State

Line moves 1.5 toward Oklahoma after last week's results

The consensus spread on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from +1.5 to +3 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 2:38 AM · Mississippi State

Total drops 4.5 for Oklahoma at Mississippi State after last week's results

The consensus total on Oklahoma at Mississippi State has moved from 50.5 to 46. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Mississippi State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+1.5 −110+1002.00 47.8%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
DraftKings+1.5 −108+1022.02 47.4%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
FanDuel+1.5 −110−1021.98 48.3%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
BetMGM+1.5 −108+1002.00 47.8%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
Caesars+1.5 −109+1062.06 46.6%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
Fanatics+1.5 −110+1002.00 47.8%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
BetRivers+1.5 −113+1022.02 46.9%49.5Sat 3:26 PM
BetOnline+1.5 −113+1002.00 47.8%49Sat 3:26 PM
Bovada+1.5 −110+1052.05 46.8%49Sat 3:26 PM
LowVig+1.5 +100+1002.00 47.8%49Sat 3:26 PM
MyBookie+1.5 −110+1022.02 47.1%49Sat 3:26 PM
BetUS+1.5 −115+1002.00 47.8%49Sat 3:26 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.