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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 3:15 PM ET

Stanford at Louisville

Louisville −20.5 at our first look, −22.5 now. ACC game. Team pages: Stanford · Louisville

Conditions · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium: Forecast 71°F, wind 6 mph, 11% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the Louisville lineLouisville Cardinals spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Louisville.
−23−22−21−20Opening line−20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−1Market move, no reported newsSun 4:41 PM−1Line now−22.5
−23−22−21−20Opening line−20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−1Market move, no reported newsSun 4:41 PM−1Line now−22.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−20.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 3:31 AM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 25, 4:41 PM ET-1
Line now−22.5
What moved the Louisville moneylineLouisville Cardinals moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Louisville.
−900−1011−1150Opening line−900Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−900Market move, no reported newsSun 4:41 PM−900Price-only move−1120Line now−1120
−900−1011−1150Opening line−900Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−900Market move, no reported newsSun 4:41 PM−900Price-only move−1120Line now−1120
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line90.0% (−900)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 3:31 AM ET90.0% (−900)
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 25, 4:41 PM ET90.0% (−900)
Price-only move91.8% (−1120)
Line now91.8% (−1120)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
616263Opening line62.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:30 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:38 PM−0.5Line now61.5
616263Opening line62.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:30 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:38 PM−0.5Line now61.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line62.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 25, 3:38 PM ET-0.5
Line now61.5

Notes

MarketSun Oct 25, 4:07 PM · Louisville

Line moves 1 toward Louisville with no reported news

The consensus spread on Stanford at Louisville has moved from −21.5 to −22.5 (home side), with 2 of 7 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 25, 3:06 PM · Louisville

Line moves 1 toward Louisville with no reported news

The consensus spread on Stanford at Louisville has moved from −21.5 to −22.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 25, 8:25 AM · Louisville

Line moves 2.5 toward Louisville after last week's results

The consensus spread on Stanford at Louisville has moved from −19.5 to −22 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 3:31 AM · Louisville

Line moves 1 toward Stanford after last week's results

The consensus spread on Stanford at Louisville has moved from −20.5 to −19.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Louisville side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−22.5 −110−20001.05 91.8%61.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−22.5 −110−21001.05 92.0%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
FanDuel−21.5 −108−20001.05 91.1%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetMGM−22 −110−20001.05 92.0%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
Caesars−22.5 −108−25001.04 92.0%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
Fanatics−23 −110−18001.06 91.6%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetRivers−21.5 −122−33351.03 92.1%62.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetOnline−22.5 −115—— —61.5Mon 1:27 AM
Bovada−22.5 −115−20001.05 90.9%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
LowVig−22.5 −111—— —61.5Mon 1:27 AM
MyBookie−22.5 −110−14081.07 89.0%61.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetUS−22.5 −115—— —61.5Mon 1:27 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.