15 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Week 3 · Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM ET · Final CIN 27, PIT 30

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers +3.5 at our first look, +3 at kickoff. 6 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Steelers linePittsburgh Steelers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Pittsburgh.
+3+4Opening line+3.5Market move, no reported newsSun 8:55 AM−0.5Closing line+3
+3+4Opening line+3.5Market move, no reported newsSun 8:55 AM−0.5Closing line+3

Final: CIN 27, PIT 30. Steelers beat the closing number by 6.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+3.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 27, 8:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line+3
What moved the Steelers moneylinePittsburgh Steelers chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Pittsburgh.
38%40%42%Opening line37.2% (+169)Market move, no reported newsSun 8:55 AM+137Less than the spread implies+154Closing line39.3% (+154)
38%40%42%Opening line37.2% (+169)Market move, no reported newsSun 8:55 AM+137Less than the spread implies+154Closing line39.3% (+154)

Final: CIN 27, PIT 30. Steelers won at a 39% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line37.2% (+169)
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 27, 8:55 AM ET42.2% (+137)
Less than the spread implies39.3% (+154)
Closing line39.3% (+154)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 12:18 AM · PIT

Steelers Beat Bengals 30–27

Final: Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 30. Pittsburgh won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Steelers +3.

PIT since this note: +3 → +3 (no move) at kickoff

RosterTue Sep 29, 10:25 AM · PIT

Howard inactive for Steelers, set as emergency third QB vs Bengals

Pittsburgh made Will Howard inactive by coach's decision for Sunday's game against Cincinnati, keeping him available only as the emergency third quarterback. With Drew Allar already ruled out, the Steelers' quarterback depth for the game is limited. ESPN player news

PIT since this note: +3 → +3 (no move) at kickoff

InjuryTue Sep 29, 10:25 AM · PIT

Steelers rule out QB Drew Allar against Bengals

Quarterback Drew Allar is inactive for Pittsburgh's Week 3 game with Cincinnati. That confirms he is unavailable at quarterback for the Steelers on Sunday. ESPN player news

PIT since this note: +3 → +3 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Cincinnati Bengals

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
DT Jonathan Allen
Wed 4:41 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes

Pittsburgh Steelers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
WR Michael Pittman Jr.
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.1 Yes
CB Joey Porter Jr.
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.2 No
RB Jaylen Warren
Wed 1:18 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
CB Jamel Dean
Wed 4:41 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
CB Joey Porter Jr.
Sun 11:59 AM
Questionable → Out+0.2 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Steelers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −105+1452.45 39.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
Kalshi— —+1532.53 39.5%—Sun 12:54 PM
DraftKings+3.5 −118+1502.50 38.4%—Sun 12:54 PM
FanDuel+3 −104+1462.46 39.0%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetMGM+3 −102+1352.35 40.6%—Sun 12:54 PM
Caesars+3 −104+1462.46 39.1%—Sun 12:54 PM
Fanatics+3 −105+1402.40 39.8%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetRivers+3 −104+1502.50 38.1%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetOnline+3 −108+1432.43 39.9%—Sun 12:54 PM
Bovada+3 −105+1452.45 39.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
LowVig+3 −107+1432.43 39.9%—Sun 12:54 PM
MyBookie+3 +100+1442.44 39.4%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetUS+3 −110+1502.50 38.6%—Sun 12:54 PM

Best for CIN: Caesars −3 (−115)Best for PIT: DraftKings +3.5 (−118)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Bengals side is the mirror image.