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Tuesday, October 6, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

NFL · Week 5 · Line movement report · Updated Tue Oct 6, 6:25 PM ET

The Biggest Line Moves of Week 5

The biggest move of Week 5: Ravens at Falcons, where Falcons went from +6.5 to −3.5, led by “Jackson unlikely for Monday, could miss more than one game”. 8 spreads moved a point or more; 6 totals moved 1.5 or more.

What moved the Falcons lineAtlanta Falcons spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Atlanta.
−4−2PK+2+4+6Opening line+6.5Market move, no reported newsTue 4:18 PM−1Jackson leaves stadium in walkingboot after ankle injurySun 11:17 PM−1.8BAL QB Jackson questionableSun 11:17 PM−0.7Reaction to last week's gameMon 9:40 PM−1.1Jackson unlikely for Monday, couldmiss more than one gameTue 10:41 AM−5.4Line now−3.5
−4−2PK+2+4+6Opening line+6.5Market move, no reported newsTue 4:18 PM−1Jackson leaves stadium in walking boot afterankle injurySun 11:17 PM−1.8BAL QB Jackson questionableSun 11:17 PM−0.7Reaction to last week's gameMon 9:40 PM−1.1Jackson unlikely for Monday, could miss morethan one gameTue 10:41 AM−5.4Line now−3.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+6.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 29, 4:18 PM ET-1
Jackson leaves stadium in walking boot after ankle injurySun Oct 4, 11:17 PM ET-1.8
BAL QB Jackson questionableSun Oct 4, 11:17 PM ET-0.7
Reaction to last week's gameMon Oct 5, 9:40 PM ET-1.1
Jackson unlikely for Monday, could miss more than one gameTue Oct 6, 10:41 AM ET-5.4
Line now−3.5

Spreads

1 · Sun Oct 11

Ravens at Falcons: Falcons +6.5 → −3.5

10 points toward Falcons.

  • Jackson unlikely for Monday, could miss more than one game −5.4
  • Jackson leaves stadium in walking boot after ankle injury −1.8
  • Reaction to last week's game −1.1

Moved past our number

2 · Sun Oct 11

Bears at Packers: Packers −2.5 → +3

5.5 points toward Bears.

  • Reaction to last week's game +4.3
  • GB LB Cooper to injured reserve +0.7
  • CHI EDGE Lynch upgraded +0.5
3 · Sun Oct 11

Eagles at Jaguars: Jaguars −2.5 → −7.5

5 points toward Jaguars.

  • Market move, no reported news −1.5
  • Reaction to last week's game −1.0
  • PHI CB Mitchell questionable −0.5
4 · Thu Oct 8

Buccaneers at Cowboys: Cowboys −9.5 → −8

1.5 points toward Buccaneers.

  • Market move, no reported news +0.9
  • TB LB Bain Jr. upgraded +0.6
5 · Sun Oct 11

Bengals at Dolphins: Dolphins +8.5 → +7

1.5 points toward Dolphins.

  • Higgins Exits With Adductor Injury, Status Murky For Miami −1.0
  • Reaction to last week's game −0.5
6 · Sun Oct 11

Texans at Titans: Titans +6.5 → +7.5

1 point toward Texans.

  • Texans start practice clock for receiver Tank Dell +1.0
7 · Sun Oct 11

Giants at Commanders: Commanders −2.5 → −3.5

1 point toward Commanders.

  • Daniels aiming to return at QB for Commanders against Giants −1.0

Moved past our number

8 · Sun Oct 11

Broncos at Chargers: Chargers +2.5 → +3.5

1 point toward Broncos.

  • LAC LT Slater ruled out +0.7

Not priced in

Totals

1 · Sun Oct 11

Ravens at Falcons: total 49.5 → 43.5

  • Market move, no reported news −2.2
  • Reaction to last week's game −2.0
  • BAL QB Jackson questionable −1.8
2 · Sun Oct 11

Bengals at Dolphins: total 46.5 → 42.5

  • Reaction to last week's game −4.0
3 · Sun Oct 11

Vikings at Saints: total 45.5 → 42

  • Market move, no reported news −3.0
  • MIN LT Darrisaw questionable −0.5
4 · Sun Oct 11

Eagles at Jaguars: total 45 → 42

  • Reaction to last week's game −1.0
  • PHI RB Barkley questionable −1.0
  • Market move, no reported news −0.5
5 · Sun Oct 11

Lions at Cardinals: total 52.5 → 54.5

  • DET CB Ya-Sin doubtful +1.3
  • ARI LT Johnson Jr. upgraded +0.7
6 · Sun Oct 11

Broncos at Chargers: total 43.5 → 42

  • LAC LT Slater ruled out −1.2
  • Market move, no reported news −1.0
  • DEN CB Surtain II doubtful +1.0

Consensus lines (the median of U.S. sportsbooks and the Kalshi exchange) from our first look of the week to now. Each move is credited to its causes, in points: news we reported, a reaction to last week's games, weather, or a market move with no reported news. The close is efficient: a move that already happened is not a bet. Information, not betting advice.

Week 4's biggest moves