5 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Week 3 · Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM ET · Final NYJ 24, DET 31

New York Jets at Detroit Lions

Lions −7 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. 25 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Lions lineDetroit Lions spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Detroit.
−7−6Opening line−7DET S Maddox to injured reserveMon 12:15 PM+0.5NYJ WR Mitchell ruled outSun 12:23 PM−0.5Closing line−7
−7−6Opening line−7DET S Maddox to injured reserveMon 12:15 PM+0.5NYJ WR Mitchell ruled outSun 12:23 PM−0.5Closing line−7

Final: NYJ 24, DET 31. Lions landed on the closing number.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7
DET S Maddox to injured reserveMon Sep 21, 12:15 PM ET+0.5
NYJ WR Mitchell ruled outSun Sep 27, 12:23 PM ET-0.5
Closing line−7
What moved the Lions moneylineDetroit Lions chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Detroit.
73%74%75%76%Opening line75.7% (−312)DET S Maddox to injured reserveMon 12:15 PM−286NYJ WR Mitchell ruled outSun 12:23 PM−312Price-only move−276Closing line73.4% (−276)
73%74%75%76%Opening line75.7% (−312)DET S Maddox to injured reserveMon 12:15 PM−286NYJ WR Mitchell ruled outSun 12:23 PM−312Price-only move−276Closing line73.4% (−276)

Final: NYJ 24, DET 31. Lions won at a 73% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line75.7% (−312)
DET S Maddox to injured reserveMon Sep 21, 12:15 PM ET74.1% (−286)
NYJ WR Mitchell ruled outSun Sep 27, 12:23 PM ET75.7% (−312)
Price-only move73.4% (−276)
Closing line73.4% (−276)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 12:18 AM · DET

Lions Beat Jets 31–24

Final: New York Jets 24, Detroit Lions 31.

DET since this note: −7 → −7 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

New York Jets

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
TE Mason Taylor
Sun 4:49 PM
Active → Questionable+0.0 No
K Blake Grupe
Mon 3:05 PM
Out → Returning−0.3 No
DT David Onyemata
Tue 4:56 PM
Active → Out+0.5 No
S Minkah Fitzpatrick
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 No
TE Mason Taylor
Tue 6:17 PM
Questionable → Doubtful+0.1 No
DT David Onyemata
Tue 8:19 PM
Out → IR0.0 No
WR Adonai Mitchell
Thu 4:47 PM
Active → Questionable+0.0 No
LB Kiko Mauigoa
Thu 8:51 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
S Minkah Fitzpatrick
Fri 11:07 AM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
LB Kiko Mauigoa
Fri 11:07 AM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
TE Mason Taylor
Fri 11:07 AM
Doubtful → Out+0.0 No
CB Nahshon Wright
Sun 11:59 AM
Active → Out+0.8 No
WR Adonai Mitchell
Sun 11:59 AM
Questionable → Out+0.4 No

Detroit Lions

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
S Avonte Maddox
Mon 12:19 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
CB Keith Abney II
Mon 2:23 PM
Out → Returning−0.4 Yes
G Christian Mahogany
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 Yes
RT Blake Miller
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 Yes
S Avonte Maddox
Tue 6:17 PM
Out → IR0.0 No
G Tate Ratledge
Wed 4:41 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
S Thomas Harper
Wed 4:41 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
G Ben Bartch
Wed 4:41 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
G Ben Bartch
Fri 5:13 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
S Thomas Harper
Fri 5:13 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
S Thomas Harper
Sat 4:20 PM
Out → IR0.0 No
LB Devin White
Sun 11:59 AM
Active → Out+0.4 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Lions side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −105−3251.31 73.4%—Sun 12:54 PM
Kalshi— —−2771.36 73.5%—Sun 12:54 PM
DraftKings−7 −105−3251.31 73.4%—Sun 12:54 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −122−3301.30 74.0%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetMGM−7 +100−3251.31 73.4%—Sun 12:54 PM
Caesars−6.5 −117−3201.31 72.7%—Sun 12:54 PM
Fanatics−7 −105−3301.30 73.4%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetRivers−7 −104−3151.32 72.7%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetOnline−7 −105−3301.30 73.8%—Sun 12:54 PM
Bovada−7 −105−3201.31 73.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
LowVig−7 +100−3301.30 73.8%—Sun 12:54 PM
MyBookie−7 +100−3361.30 73.7%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetUS−7 −105−3001.33 72.4%—Sun 12:54 PM

Best for NYJ: BetMGM +7 (−110)Best for DET: Caesars −6.5 (−117)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Jets side is the mirror image.