5 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Week 3 · Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM ET · Final TEN 7, NYG 12

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants

Giants −6 at our first look, −2.5 at kickoff. 16 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Giants lineNew York Giants spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against New York.
−6−5−4−3−2Opening line−6NYG QB Dart to injured reserveTue 10:45 AM+2.5TEN CB Flott upgradedTue 5:15 PM+0.5NYG LT Thomas questionableThu 12:18 PM+0.5Closing line−2.5
−6−5−4−3−2Opening line−6NYG QB Dart to injured reserveTue 10:45 AM+2.5TEN CB Flott upgradedTue 5:15 PM+0.5NYG LT Thomas questionableThu 12:18 PM+0.5Closing line−2.5

Final: TEN 7, NYG 12. Giants beat the closing number by 2.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−6
NYG QB Dart to injured reserveTue Sep 22, 10:45 AM ET+2.5
TEN CB Flott upgradedTue Sep 22, 5:15 PM ET+0.5
NYG LT Thomas questionableThu Sep 24, 12:18 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−2.5
What moved the Giants moneylineNew York Giants chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward New York.
55%60%65%70%Opening line69.9% (−232)NYG QB Dart to injured reserveTue 10:45 AM−164TEN CB Flott upgradedTue 5:15 PM−133NYG LT Thomas questionableThu 12:18 PM−125Closing line55.6% (−125)
55%60%65%70%Opening line69.9% (−232)NYG QB Dart to injured reserveTue 10:45 AM−164TEN CB Flott upgradedTue 5:15 PM−133NYG LT Thomas questionableThu 12:18 PM−125Closing line55.6% (−125)

Final: TEN 7, NYG 12. Giants won at a 56% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line69.9% (−232)
NYG QB Dart to injured reserveTue Sep 22, 10:45 AM ET62.1% (−164)
TEN CB Flott upgradedTue Sep 22, 5:15 PM ET57.1% (−133)
NYG LT Thomas questionableThu Sep 24, 12:18 PM ET55.6% (−125)
Closing line55.6% (−125)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 12:18 AM · NYG

Giants Beat Titans 12–7 With Winston at Quarterback

Final: Tennessee Titans 7, New York Giants 12. Jameis Winston started at quarterback for New York in place of Jaxson Dart and went 14/22 for 118 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The closing line was Giants −2.5; New York covered by 2.5. The market moved New York 3.5 points over Jaxson Dart's absence (−6 to −2.5); Giants beat that closing number by 2.5. The market moved New York 0.5 points over Darius Alexander's absence (−3 to −2.5); Giants beat that closing number by 2.5.

NYG since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move) at kickoff

RosterTue Sep 29, 10:25 AM · NYG

Giants Elevate Haener to Active Roster at Quarterback

New York signed quarterback Jake Haener off the practice squad to the active roster on Saturday. With Jaxson Dart on injured reserve, Haener adds depth behind center for Sunday's game against Tennessee. ESPN player news

NYG since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move) at kickoff

InjuryTue Sep 29, 10:26 AM · NYG

Giants Put Dart on Injured Reserve With Knee Injury

New York moved quarterback Jaxson Dart to injured reserve Thursday with a knee injury, sidelining him for at least the next several games. That confirms the Giants will go without him against Tennessee and beyond. ESPN player news

NYG since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move) at kickoff

RosterMon Sep 28, 11:11 PM · NYG

Giants Turn to Jameis Winston at Quarterback

New York Giants now list Jameis Winston as the starting quarterback on their depth chart, replacing Jaxson Dart. On our ratings that is a downgrade of about 2.6 points a game.

Moved past our number NYG since the news broke: −6 → −2.5 (+3.5) at kickoff

Injury Report

Tennessee Titans

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LB James Williams Sr.
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 Yes
CB Cor'Dale Flott
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.5 Yes
RB Tony Pollard
Wed 12:57 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes

New York Giants

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
QB Jaxson Dart
Mon 8:53 PM
Active → Questionable+1.0 No
WR Malik Nabers
Mon 11:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes
QB Jaxson Dart
Tue 10:47 AM
Questionable → Doubtful+2.5 No
EDGE Darius Alexander
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Returning−1.0 Yes
CB Deonte Banks
Tue 5:16 PM
Out → Questionable−0.5 No
QB Jaxson Dart
Wed 12:16 PM
Doubtful → Out+0.1 No
S Tyler Nubin
Wed 7:03 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
EDGE Shelby Harris
Wed 7:03 PM
Active → Questionable+0.4 Yes
LB Brian Burns
Wed 9:46 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
LT Andrew Thomas
Wed 11:29 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 Yes
QB Jaxson Dart
Thu 4:47 PM
Out → IR0.0 No
S Tyler Nubin
Sun 12:20 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
CB Deonte Banks
Sun 12:20 PM
Questionable → Out+0.5 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Giants side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2.5 −110−1391.72 55.6%—Sun 12:54 PM
Kalshi— —−1251.80 55.5%—Sun 12:54 PM
DraftKings−2.5 −110−1301.77 54.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −115−1421.70 56.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetMGM−2.5 −112−1401.71 56.2%—Sun 12:54 PM
Caesars−2.5 −113−1391.72 55.9%—Sun 12:54 PM
Fanatics−2.5 −110−1401.71 55.6%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetRivers−2.5 −110−1411.71 55.9%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetOnline−2.5 −110−1331.75 54.9%—Sun 12:54 PM
Bovada−2.5 −110−1351.74 55.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
LowVig−2.5 −107−1331.75 54.9%—Sun 12:54 PM
MyBookie−2.5 −110−1351.74 55.3%—Sun 12:54 PM
BetUS−2 −115−1401.71 56.2%—Sun 12:54 PM

Best for TEN: FanDuel +2.5 (−105)Best for NYG: DraftKings −2.5 (−110)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Titans side is the mirror image.