4 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 8:20 PM ET

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Panthers +2.5 at our first look, +3.5 now. 16 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Panthers lineCarolina Panthers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Carolina.
+2+3+4Opening line+2.5CAR G Lewis ruled outSun 1:14 PMmarket moved 1h before the report+0.5CAR CB Horn to injured reserveMon 1:21 PM+0.5Line now+3.5
+2+3+4Opening line+2.5CAR G Lewis ruled outSun 1:14 PM · market moved 1h before the report+0.5CAR CB Horn to injured reserveMon 1:21 PM+0.5Line now+3.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+2.5
CAR G Lewis ruled outSun Sep 27, 1:14 PM ET+0.5
CAR CB Horn to injured reserveMon Sep 28, 1:21 PM ET+0.5
Line now+3.5
What moved the Panthers moneylineCarolina Panthers chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Carolina.
36%38%40%42%Opening line42.4% (+136)CAR G Lewis ruled outSun 1:14 PMmarket moved 1h before the report+144CAR CB Horn to injured reserveMon 1:21 PM+179Less than the spread implies+174Line now36.5% (+174)
36%38%40%42%Opening line42.4% (+136)CAR G Lewis ruled outSun 1:14 PM · market moved 1h before the report+144CAR CB Horn to injured reserveMon 1:21 PM+179Less than the spread implies+174Line now36.5% (+174)
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line42.4% (+136)
CAR G Lewis ruled outSun Sep 27, 1:14 PM ET40.9% (+144)
CAR CB Horn to injured reserveMon Sep 28, 1:21 PM ET35.9% (+179)
Less than the spread implies36.5% (+174)
Line now36.5% (+174)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Weather and quarterback news move this line.
5051Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsWed 11:18 AM+0.5Line now51
5051Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsWed 11:18 AM+0.5Line now51
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 30, 11:18 AM ET+0.5
Line now51

Notes

InjuryTue Sep 29, 11:06 AM · CAR

Panthers guard Damien Lewis sidelined weeks with elbow injury

Carolina starting left guard Damien Lewis has an elbow UCL injury and is expected to miss several weeks. The Panthers will need a replacement on the interior line against Detroit. ESPN

CAR since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)

WeatherThu Oct 1, 3:02 PM

Rain Chance for Lions at Panthers

The forecast for kickoff at Bank of America Stadium calls for a 61% chance of rain. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.

InjuryMon Sep 28, 10:58 PM · CAR

Panthers lose CB Horn to torn quad, IR looms

Carolina cornerback Jaycee Horn has a torn quad and is headed to injured reserve, with a chance he misses the remainder of the season. He is seeking a second opinion. The Panthers will be without their top corner against Detroit on Monday night. ESPN

CAR since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)

Injury Report

Detroit Lions

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LB Devin White
Mon 2:45 PM		 Out → Returning−0.1 —
G Ben Bartch
Tue 1:06 PM		 Out → Questionable−0.0 —
CB D.J. Reed
Wed 4:32 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.3 —
EDGE DJ Wonnum
Wed 4:32 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.3 —

Carolina Panthers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
G Damien Lewis
Sun 2:22 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.2 —
WR Jalen Coker
Sun 3:22 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.3 —
CB Jaycee Horn
Mon 11:41 AM		 Active → Questionable+0.4 —
CB Jaycee Horn
Mon 1:03 PM		 Questionable → Out+0.2 —
G Damien Lewis
Tue 10:24 AM		 Questionable → Doubtful+0.4 —
S Nick Scott
Tue 1:06 PM		 Out → Questionable−0.2 —
LB Devin Lloyd
Tue 1:06 PM		 Out → Questionable−0.4 —
CB Mike Jackson
Wed 11:08 AM		 Active → IR+0.7 —
CB Jaycee Horn
Wed 11:08 AM		 Out → IR0.0 —
RT Monroe Freeling
Wed 3:32 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.3 —
G Damien Lewis
Wed 3:32 PM		 Doubtful → Out+0.0 —
DT Lee Hunter
Thu 3:55 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.2 —

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Panthers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3.5 −108+1642.64 36.5%51Thu 4:17 PM
Kalshi+3.5 —+1822.82 35.5%51Thu 4:17 PM
DraftKings+3.5 −108+1502.50 38.4%51.5Thu 4:17 PM
FanDuel+3.5 −104+1682.68 35.9%50.5Thu 4:17 PM
BetMGM+3.5 −108+1652.65 36.1%51Thu 4:17 PM
Caesars+3.5 −108+1642.64 36.3%51.5Thu 4:17 PM
Fanatics+3.5 −110+1602.60 36.8%51.5Thu 4:17 PM
BetRivers+4 −114+1552.55 37.4%51Thu 4:17 PM
BetOnline+3.5 −110+1652.65 36.5%51.5Thu 4:17 PM
Bovada+3.5 −105+1652.65 36.3%51Thu 4:17 PM
LowVig+3.5 −104+1652.65 36.5%51.5Thu 4:17 PM
MyBookie+3.5 −110+1562.56 36.9%51Thu 4:17 PM
BetUS+3.5 −110+1632.63 36.7%51Thu 4:17 PM

Best for DET: BetMGM −3.5 (−110)Best for CAR: BetRivers +4 (−114)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Lions side is the mirror image.