Week 5 · Sunday, October 11, 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Titans +6.5 at our first look, +6.5 now. 0 injury reports on file.
Conditions · Nissan Stadium: Forecast 64°F, wind 9 mph (gusts 25), 31% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Texans 0.0 · Titans 0.0. Market: line unchanged.
Houston Texans 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Tennessee Titans 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
+6.5 no movement since tracking began Tue 3:47 PM ET.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 26.3% (+280) | |
| Price-only move | 28.2% (+255) | |
| Line now | 28.2% (+255) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 38.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Sun Oct 4, 11:18 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 4, 7:59 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 39.5 |
Notes
Wind in the Forecast for Texans at Titans
The forecast for kickoff at Nissan Stadium calls for wind 9 mph, gusting 25. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 39.5 → 39.5 (no move)
Total rises 1.5 for Texans at Titans after last week's results
The consensus total on Texans at Titans has moved from 39 to 40.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
TEN since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Houston Texans
Nothing on the report.
Tennessee Titans
Nothing on the report.
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Titans side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +6.5 | −110 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.2% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| Kalshi | +6.5 | — | +277 | 3.77 | 26.5% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| DraftKings | +6.5 | −115 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.2% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| FanDuel | +6.5 | −105 | +260 | 3.60 | 26.7% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetMGM | +6.5 | −112 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| Caesars | +6.5 | −108 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetRivers | +6.5 | −112 | +250 | 3.50 | 27.3% | 39 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetOnline | +6.5 | −110 | +237 | 3.37 | 28.5% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| LowVig | +6.5 | −105 | +237 | 3.37 | 28.5% | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| MyBookie | +6.5 | −110 | — | — | — | — | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetUS | +6.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 39.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
Best for HOU: DraftKings −6.5 (−105)Best for TEN: FanDuel +6.5 (−105)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Texans side is the mirror image.