Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Lions −3.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 12 injury reports on file. Team pages: Packers · Lions
Conditions: Indoors.
The read so far
News: Packers −1.5 · Lions +0.5 → favors the Lions by 2.0. Market: line unchanged. Not priced in
Green Bay Packers −1.5
| QB Jordan Love Active → Questionable · 2.4 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.9 |
| RB Josh Jacobs Out → Returning |
Returning | +0.3 |
| LB Zaire Franklin Active → Questionable → Out |
Out | −0.3 |
| WR Christian Watson Active → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| CB Brandon Cisse Active → Questionable → Questionable · 0.6 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| WR Matthew Golden Active → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| G Aaron Banks Out → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
| LB Lukas Van Ness Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Detroit Lions +0.5
| S Brian Branch Out → Returning |
Returning | +0.5 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −3.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 11:48 PM ET | +0.5 |
| GB QB Love questionable | Thu Oct 22, 6:40 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | −3.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 65.5% (−190) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 11:48 PM ET | 60.5% (−153) |
| GB QB Love questionable | Thu Oct 22, 6:40 PM ET | 65.5% (−190) |
| Price-only move | 63.2% (−172) | |
| Line now | 63.2% (−172) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 52.5 | |
| GB CB Cisse questionable | Mon Oct 19, 11:42 AM ET | +0.5 |
| GB RB Jacobs upgraded | Mon Oct 19, 6:36 PM ET | +0.5 |
| GB LB Franklin ruled out | Sat Oct 24, 7:23 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Sat Oct 24, 7:23 PM ET | +1.5 |
| Line now | 55.5 |
Notes
Lions get safety Brian Branch back for Packers clash
Detroit activated safety Brian Branch and offensive lineman Cade Mays ahead of Sunday's game against Green Bay. Branch returning restores a starter to the Lions secondary. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)
Packers activate Josh Jacobs ahead of Detroit matchup
Green Bay activated running back Josh Jacobs and defensive tackle Jordon Riley to the active roster. The Packers also added receiver Coleman Owen and elevated edge rusher Arron Mosby for the game. Jacobs' availability restores Green Bay's lead back for the trip to Detroit. Green Bay Packers (team site)
GB since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)
Packers clear Watson and Love from injury report for Detroit trip
Green Bay removed receiver Christian Watson and quarterback Jordan Love from its final injury report, leaving both without a game designation for Sunday at Detroit. Love had been limited earlier in the week with a back issue but is set to start, and Watson's clearance restores a downfield target. ProFootballTalk
GB since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)
Packers linebacker Franklin ruled out at Detroit with shin injury
Green Bay linebacker Zaire Franklin hurt his shin in practice and will miss Sunday's game at Detroit. The Packers lose a starting-caliber defender against a strong Lions run game. ProFootballTalk
GB since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)
Love practices fully, on track to start at Detroit
Jordan Love took a full practice Thursday after being limited earlier in the week with a back issue. He is set to start for Green Bay against the Lions. ESPN player news
GB since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Lions add veteran receiver DeAndre Carter to active roster
Detroit signed wideout DeAndre Carter to the 53-man roster. He gives the Lions depth at receiver and potential return duties against Green Bay. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3 → −3.5 (−0.5)
Lions hand center job to Cade Mays for Packers game
Detroit plans to start Cade Mays at center against Green Bay. The change affects protection and run blocking up the middle against a tough division opponent. Detroit Lions (team site)
DET since this note: −3 → −3.5 (−0.5)
Jacobs back with Packers after six-game absence
Josh Jacobs has rejoined Green Bay this week after sitting out six games on the Commissioner's Exempt List. His return restores the Packers' lead running back for the trip to Detroit. ProFootballTalk
GB since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Love limited by back issue ahead of Packers-Lions
Jordan Love was listed as limited on Green Bay's Wednesday practice estimate with a back injury and is questionable. His status is central to the Packers' offense at Detroit. ESPN player news
GB since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Campbell expects Joseph back at some point, no date set
Lions coach Dan Campbell said safety Kerby Joseph is expected to play again this season but gave no timetable for his return. Joseph remains sidelined for Sunday's game against Green Bay, leaving Detroit's secondary thinner even as Brian Branch returns. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3 → −3.5 (−0.5)
Packers adding DT Mazi Smith to practice squad
Green Bay worked out defensive tackle Mazi Smith and is signing him to the practice squad. It is depth help on the interior defensive line rather than a starting change. ProFootballTalk
GB since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Jacobs set for full practice week, status for Lions game open
Green Bay expects running back Josh Jacobs to practice fully this week, though his availability has not been settled. Micah Parsons is still not back on the field. Green Bay Packers (team site)
GB since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Parsons sits out practice week, Packers eye Week 8 return
Micah Parsons will not practice this week as he continues recovering from a torn ACL, ruling him out of Green Bay's trip to Detroit. The Packers have left open the possibility he returns in Week 8 against Carolina. ProFootballTalk
GB since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Lions set to get Branch, Mays back for Packers game
Detroit expects safety Brian Branch and center Cade Mays to play in Week 7 after both returned to practice. Their return strengthens the secondary and interior line against Green Bay. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3 → −3.5 (−0.5)
Lions shelve Bartch, Kennedy, White on injured reserve during bye
Detroit placed offensive lineman Ben Bartch, receiver Tom Kennedy and linebacker Devin White on injured reserve during its bye week. All three are ineligible for the upcoming game against Green Bay, thinning depth on both sides of the ball. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)
Jacobs off exempt list Monday, can play at Detroit
The league will remove Packers running back Josh Jacobs from the commissioner exempt list on Monday, allowing him to practice and play next week while an investigation continues. That means he misses the Cowboys game but could return for Green Bay's trip to Detroit. ESPN
GB since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB Brandon Cisse Mon 12:01 AM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| RB Josh Jacobs Mon 5:39 PM |
Out → Returning | −0.3 | — |
| G Aaron Banks Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| QB Jordan Love Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.9 | — |
| CB Brandon Cisse Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| WR Christian Watson Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| WR Matthew Golden Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Lukas Van Ness Thu 4:26 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Zaire Franklin Thu 4:26 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Zaire Franklin Fri 12:07 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Zach Bako-Bewele (OL · IR · since Week 4), Javon Hargrave (DL · IR · since Week 6), Edgerrin Cooper (LB · IR · since Week 5), Jonathan Ford (DL · IR · since Week 6).
Detroit Lions
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Devin White Fri 4:58 PM |
Doubtful → IR | +0.0 | — |
| S Brian Branch Sat 4:44 PM |
Out → Returning | −0.5 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Brian Branch (DB · PUP list · since Week 1), Avonte Maddox (DB · IR · since Week 3), Thomas Harper (DB · IR · since Week 3).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Lions side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.2% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Kalshi | −3.5 | — | −174 | 1.57 | 63.5% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| DraftKings | −3.5 | −105 | −185 | 1.54 | 62.2% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −108 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.0% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetMGM | −3.5 | −110 | −200 | 1.50 | 63.9% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Caesars | −3.5 | −109 | −190 | 1.53 | 62.7% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Fanatics | −3.5 | −110 | −195 | 1.51 | 63.2% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetRivers | −3.5 | −110 | −186 | 1.54 | 61.9% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetOnline | −3.5 | −115 | −192 | 1.52 | 63.7% | 55 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Bovada | −4 | −105 | −195 | 1.51 | 63.7% | 55.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| LowVig | −3.5 | −110 | −192 | 1.52 | 63.7% | 55 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| MyBookie | −3.5 | −110 | −186 | 1.54 | 62.6% | 55 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetUS | −3.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.3% | 55 | Sun 7:21 AM |
Best for GB: BetMGM +3.5 (−108)Best for DET: DraftKings −3.5 (−105)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Packers side is the mirror image.