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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 8:20 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks −2.5 at our first look, −3 now. 13 injury reports on file. Team pages: Chiefs · Seahawks

Conditions · Lumen Field: Forecast 51°F, wind 6 mph (gusts 16), 27% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Chiefs −0.4 · Seahawks −0.4. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Seahawks.

Kansas City Chiefs −0.4

RT Jaylon Moore
Questionable → Out · 2 OL starters out
Out−0.2
TE Travis Kelce
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1
NB L'Jarius Sneed
Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

Seattle Seahawks −0.4

NB Nick Emmanwori
Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.3
LB DeMarcus Lawrence
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1
LB Uchenna Nwosu
Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Seahawks lineSeattle Seahawks spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Seattle.
−3−2Opening line−2.5Rice among three Chiefs ruled outat SeattleFri 7:05 PM−0.5Line now−3
−3−2Opening line−2.5Rice among three Chiefs ruled out at SeattleFri 7:05 PM−0.5Line now−3
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−2.5
Rice among three Chiefs ruled out at SeattleFri Oct 23, 7:05 PM ET-0.5
Line now−3
What moved the Seahawks moneylineSeattle Seahawks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Seattle.
−133−138−144Opening line−133Rice among three Chiefs ruled outat SeattleFri 7:05 PM−141Less than the spread implies−136Line now−136
−133−138−144Opening line−133Rice among three Chiefs ruled out at SeattleFri 7:05 PM−141Less than the spread implies−136Line now−136
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.0% (−133)
Rice among three Chiefs ruled out at SeattleFri Oct 23, 7:05 PM ET58.5% (−141)
Less than the spread implies57.7% (−136)
Line now57.7% (−136)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
42434445Opening line44.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:30 PM−2Line now42.5
42434445Opening line44.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:30 PM−2Line now42.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line44.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:30 PM ET-2
Line now42.5

Notes

RosterSat Oct 24, 3:06 PM · KC

Chiefs place running back Brashard Smith on injured reserve

Kansas City moved running back Brashard Smith to injured reserve and activated linebacker Cooper McDonald before facing Seattle. Smith will miss at least the next several games, thinning the Chiefs' backfield depth. ProFootballTalk

KC since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 8:59 PM · SEA

Backup QB Drew Lock questionable with elbow issue for Seahawks

Seattle listed quarterback Drew Lock as questionable with an elbow injury for the Chiefs game. His status matters only as the backup option behind the starter. ESPN player news

SEA since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 6:15 PM · SEA

Seahawks get guard Bradford back from IR for Chiefs game

Right guard Anthony Bradford is set to play against Kansas City after coming off injured reserve. It would be just his second appearance of the season, bolstering Seattle's interior line. Seattle Seahawks (team site)

SEA since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)

RosterFri Oct 23, 5:34 PM · SEA

Seahawks promote receiver Irvin Charles to active roster

Seattle signed wideout Irvin Charles off its practice squad before facing Kansas City. He adds depth at receiver and on special teams for the matchup. Seattle Seahawks (team site)

SEA since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)

RosterFri Oct 23, 5:13 PM · SEA

Seahawks cut cornerback Trevon Diggs before Chiefs game

Seattle released veteran cornerback Trevon Diggs, so he will not be available against Kansas City. The move thins the Seahawks' secondary depth for a matchup with the Chiefs' passing game. ProFootballTalk

SEA since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)

WeatherSun Oct 25, 6:57 AM

Wind in the Forecast for Chiefs at Seahawks

The forecast for kickoff at Lumen Field calls for wind 9 mph, gusting 27. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.

Total since this forecast: 42.5 → 42.5 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 4:53 PM · SEA

Charbonnet sidelined for Seahawks against Chiefs

Zach Charbonnet will not play when Seattle hosts Kansas City, despite being activated from the PUP list. That leaves the Seahawks without a key piece of their backfield rotation. ProFootballTalk

SEA since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 3:32 PM · KC

Rice among three Chiefs ruled out at Seattle

Kansas City ruled out receiver Rashee Rice for the Week 7 game at Seattle, one of three players who will not play. It thins the Chiefs' passing game for a road test. ProFootballTalk

KC since this note: +2.5 → +3 (+0.5)

RosterThu Oct 22, 2:07 PM · SEA

Seahawks bring back Charbonnet from PUP list

Seattle activated running back Zach Charbonnet off the physically unable to perform list. He is now eligible to play, adding depth and a complementary back to the Seahawks backfield against Kansas City. Seattle Seahawks (team site)

SEA since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)

InjuryThu Oct 22, 2:07 PM · KC

Chiefs put left tackle Josh Simmons on injured reserve

Kansas City is placing left tackle Josh Simmons on IR with a back disc issue that has kept him out all season. He will miss at least the next several games, leaving the Chiefs without their starting left tackle at Seattle. ProFootballTalk

KC since this note: +2.5 → +3 (+0.5)

InjuryWed Oct 21, 1:44 PM · KC

Rice, Moore sit out Chiefs' first practice of Seattle week

Receiver Rashee Rice and offensive lineman Jaylon Moore did not practice Wednesday as Kansas City began preparations for Monday night at Seattle. Missing the opening session puts both in doubt for the game and thins the Chiefs' passing attack and line. ProFootballTalk

KC since this note: +2.5 → +3 (+0.5)

InjuryMon Oct 19, 7:41 PM · SEA

Charbonnet in play for season debut against Chiefs

Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald said running back Zach Charbonnet has a chance to play this week, which would be his first game of 2026. His return would add depth to Seattle's backfield against Kansas City. ProFootballTalk

SEA since this note: −2 → −3 (−1.0)

RosterMon Oct 19, 6:02 PM · SEA

Seahawks open practice window for guard Anthony Bradford

Seattle designated guard Anthony Bradford for return to practice, starting his clock to come off injured reserve. His return would bolster the interior offensive line. Seattle Seahawks (team site)

SEA since this note: −2 → −3 (−1.0)

InjuryMon Oct 19, 4:08 PM · SEA

Seahawks tight end Arroyo set to miss time with shoulder injury

Seattle tight end Elijah Arroyo is expected to be sidelined for a stretch with a shoulder injury. That thins the Seahawks' tight end group heading into the Monday night meeting with Kansas City. ProFootballTalk

SEA since this note: −2 → −3 (−1.0)

MarketSun Oct 18, 11:54 PM · SEA

Line moves 1 toward the Seahawks after last week's results

The consensus spread on Chiefs at Seahawks has moved from −1.5 to −2.5 (home side), with 4 of 7 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

SEA since this note: −2 → −3 (−1.0)

Team SaysFri Oct 16, 2:49 PM · SEA

Macdonald Confirms Darnold Keeps Seahawks' Starting Job

Seattle coach Mike Macdonald said there will be no quarterback change despite Sam Darnold leading the league with seven interceptions. Darnold remains the starter for the Seahawks' next game. CBS Sports

SEA since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)

Injury Report

Kansas City Chiefs

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
WR Rashee Rice
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.2 —
LT Josh Simmons
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 —
TE Travis Kelce
Wed 7:25 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
NB L'Jarius Sneed
Wed 7:25 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LT Josh Simmons
Thu 1:03 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 —
LT Josh Simmons
Thu 2:44 PM
Out → IR0.0 —
WR Rashee Rice
Fri 2:30 PM
Questionable → Out+0.2 —
RT Jaylon Moore
Fri 3:51 PM
Questionable → Out+0.2 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Tyquan Thornton (WR · IR · since Week 6).

Seattle Seahawks

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LB Drake Thomas
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.1 —
LB Uchenna Nwosu
Thu 7:34 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LB DeMarcus Lawrence
Thu 7:34 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LB Drake Thomas
Fri 5:33 PM
Questionable → Out+0.1 —
NB Nick Emmanwori
Fri 5:33 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Anthony Bradford (OL · IR, designated to return · since Week 3), Jadarian Price (RB · IR · since Week 4).

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Seahawks side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3 −105−1501.67 57.7%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Kalshi−3 —−1411.71 58.5%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
DraftKings−3 −102−1421.70 56.3%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
FanDuel−3 −105−1541.65 58.2%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetMGM−3 −102−1501.67 57.4%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Caesars−3 −103−1501.67 57.6%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Fanatics−3 −105−1501.67 57.4%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetRivers−2.5 −118−1431.70 56.2%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetOnline−3 −103−1511.66 58.2%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Bovada−3 −105−1501.67 58.0%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
LowVig−3 −102−1511.66 58.2%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
MyBookie−3 −105−1521.66 57.4%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetUS−3 −105−1501.67 57.9%42.5Sun 7:21 AM

Best for KC: FanDuel +3 (−115)Best for SEA: BetRivers −2.5 (−118)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Chiefs side is the mirror image.