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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 4:25 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders +6.5 at our first look, +3 now. 17 injury reports on file. Team pages: Rams · Raiders

Conditions: Indoors.

The read so far

News: Rams −1.4 · Raiders −0.4 → favors the Raiders by 1.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward the Raiders. Moved past our number

Los Angeles Rams −1.4

EDGE Kobie Turner
Active → Out → IR · 2 DL starters out
IR−0.7
WR Davante Adams
Active → Out → IR
IR−0.6
LT Alaric Jackson
Suspended → Returning
Returning+0.6
CB Trent McDuffie
Out → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable+0.5
DT Poona Ford
Active → Out → IR · 2 DL starters out
IR−0.4
LB Nate Landman
Active → Questionable → Out
Out−0.3
WR Puka Nacua
Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.2
K Blake Grupe
Active → IR
IR−0.2

Las Vegas Raiders −0.4

LT Kolton Miller
Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.2
LB Quay Walker
Active → Questionable → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.2
EDGE Tonka Hemingway
Out → Questionable · 0.1 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable+0.1
TE Brock Bowers
Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Raiders lineLas Vegas Raiders spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Las Vegas.
+3+4+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Market move, no reported newsSun 11:15 AM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:50 PM−1.5Rams lose Adams for up to 10weeks, Grupe to torn ACLMon 5:24 PM−1.1Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss,availability in doubtMon 5:24 PM−0.4Adams to undergo hamstringprocedure after Rams place him onIRThu 6:19 PM−0.5Bowers practices fully, trendingtoward playing vs RamsFri 4:58 PM−0.5Line now+3
+3+4+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Market move, no reported newsSun 11:15 AM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:50 PM−1.5Rams lose Adams for up to 10 weeks, Grupe totorn ACLMon 5:24 PM−1.1Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss,availability in doubtMon 5:24 PM−0.4Adams to undergo hamstring procedure afterRams place him on IRThu 6:19 PM−0.5Bowers practices fully, trending towardplaying vs RamsFri 4:58 PM−0.5Line now+3
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+6.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:50 PM ET-1.5
Rams lose Adams for up to 10 weeks, Grupe to torn ACLMon Oct 19, 5:24 PM ET-1.1
Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss, availability in doubtMon Oct 19, 5:24 PM ET-0.4
Adams to undergo hamstring procedure after Rams place him on IRThu Oct 22, 6:19 PM ET-0.5
Bowers practices fully, trending toward playing vs RamsFri Oct 23, 4:58 PM ET-0.5
Line now+3
What moved the Raiders moneylineLas Vegas Raiders moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Las Vegas.
+300+233+186+150Opening line+277Market move, no reported newsSun 11:15 AM+302Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:50 PM+223Rams lose Adams for up to 10weeks, Grupe to torn ACLMon 5:24 PM+199Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss,availability in doubtMon 5:24 PM+185Adams to undergo hamstringprocedure after Rams place him onIRThu 6:19 PM+171Bowers practices fully, trendingtoward playing vs RamsFri 4:58 PM+139Less than the spread implies+158Line now+158
+300+233+186+150Opening line+277Market move, no reported newsSun 11:15 AM+302Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:50 PM+223Rams lose Adams for up to 10 weeks, Grupe totorn ACLMon 5:24 PM+199Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss,availability in doubtMon 5:24 PM+185Adams to undergo hamstring procedure afterRams place him on IRThu 6:19 PM+171Bowers practices fully, trending towardplaying vs RamsFri 4:58 PM+139Less than the spread implies+158Line now+158
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line26.5% (+277)
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET24.9% (+302)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:50 PM ET31.0% (+223)
Rams lose Adams for up to 10 weeks, Grupe to torn ACLMon Oct 19, 5:24 PM ET33.5% (+199)
Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss, availability in doubtMon Oct 19, 5:24 PM ET35.1% (+185)
Adams to undergo hamstring procedure after Rams place him on IRThu Oct 22, 6:19 PM ET36.9% (+171)
Bowers practices fully, trending toward playing vs RamsFri Oct 23, 4:58 PM ET41.9% (+139)
Less than the spread implies38.8% (+158)
Line now38.8% (+158)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
474849Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:12 PM−1.5LA DT Ford to injured reserveMon 11:42 AMmarket moved 6h before the report+1LA LT Jackson upgradedTue 2:44 PM+0.5Line now48.5
474849Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:12 PM−1.5LA DT Ford to injured reserveMon 11:42 AM · market moved 6h before the report+1LA LT Jackson upgradedTue 2:44 PM+0.5Line now48.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 9:12 PM ET-1.5
LA DT Ford to injured reserveMon Oct 19, 11:42 AM ET+1
LA LT Jackson upgradedTue Oct 20, 2:44 PM ET+0.5
Line now48.5

Notes

InjuryFri Oct 23, 2:52 PM · LA

Nacua questionable for Rams at Raiders; Landman ruled out

The Rams listed receiver Puka Nacua as questionable for Sunday's game at Las Vegas after his calf issue, leaving his availability in doubt. Linebacker Nate Landman has been ruled out. With Davante Adams on injured reserve, Nacua's status is central to the Rams' passing game. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −3.5 → −3 (+0.5)

InjuryThu Oct 22, 7:36 PM · LV

Bowers practices fully, trending toward playing vs Rams

Raiders tight end Brock Bowers was a full participant in Thursday's practice. That points to him being available against the Rams, restoring Las Vegas' top receiving threat. ProFootballTalk

LV since this note: +3.5 → +3 (−0.5)

InjuryThu Oct 22, 6:43 PM · LA

Nacua exits Rams practice early with calf trouble

Rams receiver Puka Nacua left Wednesday's practice early with a calf injury. With Davante Adams already on injured reserve, any absence would further thin Los Angeles' receiving corps heading into Sunday at Las Vegas. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −3.5 → −3 (+0.5)

Team SaysWed Oct 21, 8:53 PM · LA

McVay says Rams will go in-house at receiver without Adams

Sean McVay said the Rams have not looked outside the roster for receiver help after Davante Adams landed on injured reserve with a hamstring injury. Existing depth will absorb the snaps at Las Vegas in Week 7. Los Angeles Rams (team site)

LA since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)

InjuryWed Oct 21, 6:31 PM · LA

Adams to undergo hamstring procedure after Rams place him on IR

Davante Adams, placed on injured reserve this week, will have a cleanup procedure on his hamstring. That confirms the Rams will be without their top receiver for at least the IR minimum, including Sunday at Las Vegas. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)

InjuryWed Oct 21, 2:25 PM · LA

Rams place defensive lineman Kobie Turner on injured reserve

Los Angeles moved Kobie Turner to injured reserve, the team's fourth such move of the week. He will miss at least the next several games, thinning an already depleted defensive front. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)

InjuryTue Oct 20, 10:18 PM · LA

Rams tight end Ferguson still not ready to return from IR

Terrance Ferguson, on injured reserve since Oct. 2 with an ankle injury, is not yet ready to be activated. The Rams will stay thin at tight end against the Raiders. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)

RosterTue Oct 20, 6:34 PM · LA

Rams place Poona Ford on IR alongside Adams

Los Angeles moved nose tackle Poona Ford to injured reserve along with receiver Davante Adams after injuries against Arizona. Ford's absence thins the Rams' run defense for the trip to Las Vegas. Los Angeles Rams (team site)

LA since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)

RosterTue Oct 20, 5:12 PM · LA

Rams sign McManus to replace injured Grupe

Los Angeles added veteran kicker Brandon McManus after Will Grupe's season-ending knee injury. McManus is in line to handle kicking duties at Las Vegas. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)

RosterMon Oct 19, 6:43 PM · LA

Rams to audition veteran kickers after Grupe's injury

Los Angeles will work out Brandon McManus and Matt Prater on Tuesday as it seeks a replacement for injured kicker Will Grupe. A new kicker would handle field goals at Las Vegas in Week 7. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −4.5 → −3 (+1.5)

InjuryMon Oct 19, 5:46 PM · LA

Rams lose Adams for up to 10 weeks, Grupe to torn ACL

Davante Adams ruptured a hamstring and is expected to miss six to ten weeks, while kicker Blake Grupe tore an ACL and Poona Ford ruptured a triceps. Kobie Turner is projected out four to six weeks, leaving the Rams without key pieces on both sides of the ball for the Raiders game. CBS Sports

LA since this note: −4.5 → −3 (+1.5)

MarketTue Oct 20, 9:24 AM · LV

Line moves 1.5 on the news: Poona Ford (DT) Active to Out

The consensus spread on Rams at Raiders has moved from +5.5 to +4 (home side), with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move followed the report: Poona Ford (DT) Active to Out.

LV since this note: +4.5 → +3 (−1.5)

InjuryMon Oct 19, 10:02 AM · LA

Adams hurts leg late in Rams loss, availability in doubt

Rams receiver Davante Adams went down with a non-contact leg injury in the closing stages of Sunday's defeat to Arizona. Any absence would leave Los Angeles short-handed at wide receiver heading into the trip to Las Vegas. ProFootballTalk

LA since this note: −5.5 → −3 (+2.5)

MarketSun Oct 18, 9:52 PM · LV

Total drops 1.5 for Rams at Raiders with no reported news

The consensus total on Rams at Raiders has moved from 48.5 to 47, with 7 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

LV since this note: +5.5 → +3 (−2.5)

MarketSun Oct 18, 7:52 PM · LV

Line moves 1.5 toward the Raiders with no reported news

The consensus spread on Rams at Raiders has moved from +7 to +5.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

LV since this note: +6 → +3 (−3.0)

Injury Report

Los Angeles Rams

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
K Blake Grupe
Mon 4:16 PM
Active → IR+0.2 —
DT Poona Ford
Mon 5:13 PM
Active → Out+0.3 —
EDGE Kobie Turner
Mon 5:13 PM
Active → Out+0.5 —
WR Davante Adams
Mon 5:23 PM
Active → Out+0.6 —
LT Alaric Jackson
Mon 9:11 PM
Suspended → Returning−0.6 —
CB Trent McDuffie
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.5 —
WR Davante Adams
Tue 5:51 PM
Out → IR0.0 —
DT Poona Ford
Tue 6:52 PM
Out → IR0.0 —
EDGE Kobie Turner
Wed 2:21 PM
Out → IR0.0 —
LB Nate Landman
Wed 5:24 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
WR Puka Nacua
Thu 6:31 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —
LB Nate Landman
Fri 2:50 PM
Questionable → Out+0.2 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Myles Garrett (LB · IR · since Week 2).

Las Vegas Raiders

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
EDGE Tonka Hemingway
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.1 —
TE Brock Bowers
Wed 7:25 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LT Kolton Miller
Wed 8:26 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —
LB Quay Walker
Wed 8:26 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —
LB Quay Walker
Sat 4:24 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Raiders side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −105+1482.48 38.8%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
Kalshi+3 —+1532.53 39.5%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
DraftKings+3 −102+1452.45 39.1%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
FanDuel+3.5 −120+1462.46 39.0%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetMGM+3.5 −112+1452.45 39.1%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
Caesars+3 +100+1482.48 38.7%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
Fanatics+3.5 −120+1452.45 39.1%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetRivers+3 −110+1452.45 38.8%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetOnline+3 −104+1522.52 38.5%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
Bovada+3 −105+1502.50 38.6%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
LowVig+3 −101+1522.52 38.5%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
MyBookie+3 −110+1482.48 38.8%48.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetUS+3 +100+1502.50 38.6%48.5Sun 7:21 AM

Best for LA: BetRivers −3 (−110)Best for LV: BetMGM +3.5 (−112)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Rams side is the mirror image.