Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM ET
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
Jets −4.5 at our first look, −4 now. 11 injury reports on file. Team pages: Dolphins · Jets
Conditions · MetLife Stadium: Forecast 64°F, wind 7 mph, 0% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Dolphins −0.0 · Jets +0.3 → favors the Jets by 0.3. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Dolphins.
Miami Dolphins −0.0
New York Jets +0.3
| RB Breece Hall Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| WR Adonai Mitchell Out → Doubtful → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| DT T'Vondre Sweat Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| G Dylan Parham Out → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −4.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 6:28 PM ET | -1 |
| Dolphins expect Willis available for Jets trip | Mon Oct 19, 11:11 AM ET | +0.5 |
| NYJ WR Mitchell doubtful | Wed Oct 21, 1:53 PM ET | +0.5 |
| NYJ LB Mauigoa to injured reserve | Sun Oct 25, 6:18 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | −4 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 66.6% (−199) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 6:28 PM ET | 70.4% (−238) |
| Dolphins expect Willis available for Jets trip | Mon Oct 19, 11:11 AM ET | 68.5% (−217) |
| NYJ WR Mitchell doubtful | Wed Oct 21, 1:53 PM ET | 66.6% (−199) |
| NYJ LB Mauigoa to injured reserve | Sun Oct 25, 6:18 AM ET | 66.3% (−197) |
| Price-only move | 65.7% (−192) | |
| Line now | 65.7% (−192) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 38.5 | |
| NYJ LB Mauigoa to injured reserve | Sun Oct 18, 9:12 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 9:12 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 39.5 |
Notes
Jets lose linebacker Mauigoa to IR, add depth before Dolphins game
New York placed linebacker Kiko Mauigoa on injured reserve and signed linebacker Jaden Keller. The Jets also elevated linebacker Troy Reeder and offensive lineman Brant Banks from the practice squad for Sunday's game against Miami, thinning their linebacker group. New York Jets (team site)
NYJ since this note: −4.5 → −4 (+0.5)
Dolphins activate safety Louis, elevate kicker Gonzalez for Jets game
Miami took safety Kyle Louis off injured reserve and added him to the active roster. The team also elevated kicker Zane Gonzalez and edge rusher Max Lewellyn for Sunday's game at New York, with the kicker move suggesting a change in the kicking job. Miami Dolphins (team site)
MIA since this note: +4.5 → +4 (−0.5)
Dolphins rookie receiver Douglas cleared to face Jets
Miami rookie wideout Caleb Douglas will play Sunday at the Jets after sitting out three games with a right ankle injury. His return adds depth to the Dolphins receiving group. ESPN
MIA since this note: +4.5 → +4 (−0.5)
Hall questionable, Mitchell expected to play for Jets vs Miami
The Jets plan to list running back Breece Hall as questionable for Sunday's game against Miami, while receiver Adonai Mitchell is expected to suit up. Hall's status remains the key uncertainty for New York's backfield. ProFootballTalk
NYJ since this note: −4.5 → −4 (+0.5)
Hall upgraded to limited work for Jets
Breece Hall practiced on a limited basis Thursday with a quad injury after sitting out the previous day. The progress improves his chances of playing against Miami. New York Jets (team site)
NYJ since this note: −4.5 → −4 (+0.5)
Willis practices fully, thumb issue no obstacle for Dolphins QB
Malik Willis took part fully in Wednesday's Miami practice after appearing on the injury report with a right thumb problem. He is available at quarterback for the trip to the Jets. ESPN player news
MIA since this note: +4.5 → +4 (−0.5)
Jets get Mitchell, Parham back at practice before Dolphins game
Receiver Adonai Mitchell and left guard Dylan Parham practiced again as the Jets prepared for Miami. Coach Aaron Glenn also gave an update on running back Breece Hall, leaving his status in question for Sunday. New York Jets (team site)
NYJ since this note: −4.5 → −4 (+0.5)
Dolphins promote McGraw to active roster
Miami signed defensive lineman Rodney McGraw to the 53-man roster as part of a set of Tuesday transactions. It is a depth addition ahead of the trip to the Jets. ProFootballTalk
MIA since this note: +5 → +4 (−1.0)
Dolphins swap kickers, bringing back Gonzalez and cutting Patterson
Miami is re-signing kicker Zane Gonzalez and releasing Riley Patterson after the bye week. Gonzalez is expected to handle kicking duties at the Jets. ProFootballTalk
MIA since this note: +5 → +4 (−1.0)
Dolphins expect Willis available for Jets trip
Miami's coach said Malik Willis is expected to be ready for Sunday's game at the Jets after a minor injury from the Week 5 loss to Cincinnati. That clears up the quarterback's availability heading into the matchup. ESPN player news
MIA since this note: +5 → +4 (−1.0)
Line moves 1 toward the Jets after last week's results
The consensus spread on Dolphins at Jets has moved from −4.5 to −5.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYJ since this note: −5.5 → −4 (+1.5)
Total rises 1.5 for Dolphins at Jets after last week's results
The consensus total on Dolphins at Jets has moved from 38.5 to 40. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYJ since this note: −5.5 → −4 (+1.5)
Injury Report
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Willie Gay Jr. Thu 4:31 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: De'Von Achane (RB · IR · since Week 4).
New York Jets
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Kiko Mauigoa Sun 1:34 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| G Dylan Parham Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| WR Adonai Mitchell Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Doubtful | −0.0 | — |
| RB Breece Hall Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| WR Adonai Mitchell Wed 1:00 PM |
Doubtful → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| LB Kiko Mauigoa Wed 1:41 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.0 | — |
| DT T'Vondre Sweat Wed 4:43 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Kiko Mauigoa Thu 11:20 AM |
Doubtful → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| LB Kiko Mauigoa Fri 11:06 AM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | — |
| LB Kiko Mauigoa Sat 2:20 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: David Onyemata (DL · IR · since Week 3).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Jets side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −4 | −110 | −213 | 1.47 | 65.7% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Kalshi | −4 | — | −199 | 1.50 | 66.5% | 39 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| DraftKings | −4.5 | −110 | −225 | 1.44 | 66.4% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −115 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.0% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetMGM | −4 | −110 | −210 | 1.48 | 65.1% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Caesars | −4 | −113 | −213 | 1.47 | 65.3% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Fanatics | −4 | −110 | −215 | 1.47 | 65.2% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetRivers | −4.5 | −112 | −235 | 1.43 | 66.7% | 38.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetOnline | −4 | −112 | −213 | 1.47 | 65.7% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Bovada | −4 | −115 | −220 | 1.45 | 65.8% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| LowVig | −4 | −110 | −213 | 1.47 | 65.7% | 39.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| MyBookie | −4 | −110 | −208 | 1.48 | 64.9% | 39 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetUS | −4 | −110 | −215 | 1.47 | 65.9% | 39 | Sun 7:21 AM |
Best for MIA: DraftKings +4.5 (−110)Best for NYJ: FanDuel −3.5 (−115)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Dolphins side is the mirror image.