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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 9:30 AM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints

Saints +1.5 at our first look, +3 now. 11 injury reports on file. Team pages: Steelers · Saints

Conditions: Indoors.

The read so far

News: Steelers −0.3 · Saints −0.1. Market: moved 1.5 toward the Steelers.

Pittsburgh Steelers −0.3

S DeShon Elliott
IR → Returning
Returning+0.3
NB Jalen Ramsey
Active → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.3
LB Alex Highsmith
Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1
LB T.J. Watt
Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

New Orleans Saints −0.1

CB Kool-Aid McKinstry
Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.3
LB Kaden Elliss
Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable+0.2
DT Nathan Shepherd
Out → Questionable → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable+0.1
G Cesar Ruiz
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1
CB Quincy Riley
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Saints lineNew Orleans Saints spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against New Orleans.
+1+2+3+4Opening line+1.5NO CB McKinstry questionableSun 11:15 AMmarket moved 4h before the report+1NO CB Riley questionableSun 11:15 AMmarket moved 6h before the report+0.3NO G Ruiz questionableMon 9:42 PM+0.5PIT NB Ramsey questionableFri 12:22 AM−0.5Line now+3
+1+2+3+4Opening line+1.5NO CB McKinstry questionableSun 11:15 AM · market moved 4h before the report+1NO CB Riley questionableSun 11:15 AM · market moved 6h before the report+0.3NO G Ruiz questionableMon 9:42 PM+0.5PIT NB Ramsey questionableFri 12:22 AM−0.5Line now+3
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+1.5
NO CB McKinstry questionableSun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET+1
NO CB Riley questionableSun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET+0.3
NO G Ruiz questionableMon Oct 19, 9:42 PM ET+0.5
PIT NB Ramsey questionableFri Oct 23, 12:22 AM ET-0.5
Line now+3
What moved the Saints moneylineNew Orleans Saints moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward New Orleans.
+178+163+150+138+127Opening line+125NO CB McKinstry questionableSun 11:15 AMmarket moved 4h before the report+140NO CB Riley questionableSun 11:15 AMmarket moved 6h before the report+143NO G Ruiz questionableMon 9:42 PM+177PIT NB Ramsey questionableFri 12:22 AM+143Price-only move+146Line now+146
+178+163+150+138+127Opening line+125NO CB McKinstry questionableSun 11:15 AM · market moved 4h before the report+140NO CB Riley questionableSun 11:15 AM · market moved 6h before the report+143NO G Ruiz questionableMon 9:42 PM+177PIT NB Ramsey questionableFri 12:22 AM+143Price-only move+146Line now+146
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line44.5% (+125)
NO CB McKinstry questionableSun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET41.7% (+140)
NO CB Riley questionableSun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET41.1% (+143)
NO G Ruiz questionableMon Oct 19, 9:42 PM ET36.1% (+177)
PIT NB Ramsey questionableFri Oct 23, 12:22 AM ET41.1% (+143)
Price-only move40.6% (+146)
Line now40.6% (+146)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
434445Opening line44.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 12:19 AM−0.5PIT S Elliott upgradedSat 7:55 PM−0.6Line now43.5
434445Opening line44.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 12:19 AM−0.5PIT S Elliott upgradedSat 7:55 PM−0.6Line now43.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line44.5
Reaction to last week's gameMon Oct 19, 12:19 AM ET-0.5
PIT S Elliott upgradedSat Oct 24, 7:55 PM ET-0.6
Line now43.5

Notes

RosterSat Oct 24, 3:25 PM · PIT

Steelers put safety DeShon Elliott back on active roster

Pittsburgh activated safety DeShon Elliott to the active roster. That clears the way for the starting safety to be available against New Orleans. ProFootballTalk

PIT since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)

RosterSat Oct 24, 9:10 AM · NO

Saints elevate Kilty, Tillman for Steelers game

New Orleans elevated offensive lineman Easton Kilty and receiver Cedric Tillman from the practice squad ahead of Sunday's game with Pittsburgh. Both will be available as depth options. New Orleans Saints (team site)

NO since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 9:27 AM · NO

Saints expect Elliss back; Ruiz questionable against Steelers

New Orleans linebacker Kaden Elliss is in line to return to the lineup for Sunday's game with Pittsburgh. Guard Cesar Ruiz is listed as questionable, leaving the interior line in question. ProFootballTalk

NO since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 9:07 AM · PIT

Dowdle, Elliott questionable as Steelers shift Paris practice to Saturday

Pittsburgh listed running back Rico Dowdle and safety DeShon Elliott as questionable for Sunday's game against New Orleans in Paris. Weather forced the team to cancel its Friday walkthrough at the stadium, pushing the final practice to Saturday, which could factor into those game-day decisions. ProFootballTalk

PIT since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 8:24 AM · PIT

Steelers expect T.J. Watt to play through calf issue at New Orleans

Pittsburgh does not believe T.J. Watt's calf injury will keep him out Sunday against the Saints. The star edge rusher being available keeps the Steelers' pass rush intact. ProFootballTalk

PIT since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)

InjuryThu Oct 22, 3:49 PM · PIT

Steelers without Echols, Skowronek against Saints

Pittsburgh ruled out cornerback Brandin Echols with a hamstring injury and receiver Ben Skowronek with a calf injury for Sunday's game in Paris against New Orleans. The secondary loses a rotational corner for the matchup. ProFootballTalk

PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3 (+0.5)

InjuryThu Oct 22, 12:05 PM · PIT

Steelers put DE Joseph-Day on injured reserve

Pittsburgh moved defensive end Sebastian Joseph-Day to the Reserve/Injured List, sidelining him for at least the next several games. The Steelers lose a rotational veteran up front heading into their trip to New Orleans. Pittsburgh Steelers (team site)

PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3 (+0.5)

RosterWed Oct 21, 3:27 PM · PIT

Steelers cut safety Rayshawn Jenkins

Pittsburgh released safety Rayshawn Jenkins, thinning the secondary depth ahead of the trip to New Orleans. Pittsburgh Steelers (team site)

PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3 (+0.5)

InjuryWed Oct 21, 9:51 AM · NO

Tyson sidelined again, Saints rookie receiver eyes Week 9

New Orleans wide receiver Jordyn Tyson will not practice this week and will miss the Week 7 game against Pittsburgh. His NFL debut is now pushed to Week 9 at the earliest, keeping the Saints short a pass-catching option. ProFootballTalk

NO since this note: +3.5 → +3 (−0.5)

RosterMon Oct 19, 9:34 PM · PIT

Steelers bring back Valdes-Scantling on practice squad

Pittsburgh is re-signing veteran receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling to its practice squad. He adds depth at wideout and could be elevated for the game at New Orleans. ProFootballTalk

PIT since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)

MarketMon Oct 19, 5:30 PM · NO

Line moves 2.5 on the news: Quincy Riley (CB2) Active to Questionable

The consensus spread on Steelers at Saints has moved from +0.5 to +3 (home side). The move followed the report: Quincy Riley (CB2) Active to Questionable.

NO since this note: +2 → +3 (+1.0)

MarketSun Oct 18, 5:31 PM · NO

Line moves 2 toward the Saints after last week's results

The consensus spread on Steelers at Saints has moved from +2.5 to +0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

NO since this note: +2 → +3 (+1.0)

MarketMon Oct 19, 2:06 PM · NO

Line moves 2 toward the Steelers ahead of the news

The consensus spread on Steelers at Saints has moved from +1 to +3 (home side), with 3 of 4 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 1h 05m before the report: Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB1) Active to Questionable.

NO since this note: +1 → +3 (+2.0)

MarketMon Oct 19, 1:46 PM · NO

Total rises 12 for Steelers at Saints ahead of the news

The consensus total on Steelers at Saints has moved from 32 to 44, with 1 of 5 books moving the same way. The market started moving 1h 36m before the report: Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB1) Active to Questionable.

NO since this note: +1 → +3 (+2.0)

MarketSun Oct 18, 1:31 PM · NO

Total drops 12.5 for Steelers at Saints

The consensus total on Steelers at Saints has moved from 44.5 to 32, with 0 of 5 books moving the same way. The move followed the report: Alvin Kamara (RB) Questionable to Cleared.

NO since this note: +2.5 → +3 (+0.5)

MarketSun Oct 18, 1:09 PM · NO

Line moves 1 toward the Steelers ahead of the news

The consensus spread on Steelers at Saints has moved from +1.5 to +2.5 (home side), with 0 of 4 books moving the same way. The market started moving 0h 30m before the report: Keeanu Benton (DT) Questionable to Cleared.

NO since this note: +2.5 → +3 (+0.5)

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Steelers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
NB Jalen Ramsey
Wed 5:44 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 —
LB Alex Highsmith
Wed 6:04 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LB T.J. Watt
Thu 3:25 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
S DeShon Elliott
Sat 10:50 AM
IR → Returning−0.3 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Derrick Harmon (DL · IR · since Week 5), DeShon Elliott (DB · IR, designated to return · since Week 1), Michael Pittman (WR · IR · since Week 5), Roman Wilson (WR · IR · since Week 6).

New Orleans Saints

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
CB Kool-Aid McKinstry
Sun 3:36 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 —
CB Quincy Riley
Sun 5:03 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
G Cesar Ruiz
Mon 8:31 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
DT Nathan Shepherd
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.1 —
LB Kaden Elliss
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.2 —
RB Alvin Kamara
Wed 6:04 PM
Active → Questionable+0.0 —
DT Nathan Shepherd
Fri 9:45 AM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Kelvin Banks Jr. (OL · IR · since Week 3), Travis Etienne (RB · IR · since Week 4).

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Saints side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −109+1382.38 40.6%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
Kalshi+3 —+1472.47 40.5%43Sun 7:21 AM
DraftKings+3 −108+1362.36 40.7%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
FanDuel+3 −114+1342.34 41.1%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetMGM+3 −108+1352.35 40.9%43Sun 7:21 AM
Caesars+3 −106+1382.38 40.3%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
Fanatics+3 −110+1352.35 40.6%43Sun 7:21 AM
BetRivers+3 −109+1402.40 39.6%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetOnline+3 −109+1392.39 40.5%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
Bovada+3 −110+1402.40 40.1%43Sun 7:21 AM
LowVig+3 −108+1392.39 40.5%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
MyBookie+3 −110+1362.36 40.7%43.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetUS+3 −110+1382.38 40.6%43Sun 7:21 AM

Best for PIT: FanDuel −3 (−106)Best for NO: Caesars +3 (−106)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Steelers side is the mirror image.