Week 8 · Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM ET
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buccaneers −1.5 at our first look, −1.5 now. 0 injury reports on file. Team pages: Falcons · Buccaneers
Conditions · Raymond James Stadium: Forecast 85°F, wind 13 mph, 20% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Falcons 0.0 · Buccaneers 0.0. Market: line unchanged.
Atlanta Falcons 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
−1.5 no movement since tracking began Tue 4:16 PM ET.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 51.9% (−108) | |
| Price-only move | 53.3% (−114) | |
| Line now | 53.3% (−114) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 7:13 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 45 |
Notes
Wind in the Forecast for Falcons at Buccaneers
The forecast for kickoff at Raymond James Stadium calls for wind 13 mph, gusting 17. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 45 → 45 (no move)
Total rises 1.5 for Falcons at Buccaneers after last week's results
The consensus total on Falcons at Buccaneers has moved from 43.5 to 45, with 2 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
TB since this note: −1.5 → −1.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Atlanta Falcons
Nothing on the report.
Out long-term, already in the line: Da'Shawn Hand (DL · IR · since Week 2).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nothing on the report.
Out long-term, already in the line: Jalen McMillan (WR · IR · since Week 4), Christian Rozeboom (LB · IR · since Week 7).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Buccaneers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −1.5 | −110 | −125 | 1.80 | 53.3% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Kalshi | −1 | — | −120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| DraftKings | −1.5 | −110 | −130 | 1.77 | 54.3% | 44.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| FanDuel | −1.5 | −114 | −126 | 1.79 | 53.7% | 45.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetMGM | −1.5 | −110 | −125 | 1.80 | 53.2% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Caesars | −1.5 | −109 | −124 | 1.81 | 53.3% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetRivers | −1.5 | −110 | −122 | 1.82 | 52.4% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetOnline | −1.5 | −110 | −125 | 1.80 | 53.2% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Bovada | −2 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| LowVig | −1.5 | −105 | −125 | 1.80 | 53.2% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| MyBookie | −1.5 | −110 | −129 | 1.78 | 53.7% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetUS | −1.5 | −110 | −125 | 1.80 | 53.2% | 45 | Mon 2:29 AM |
Best for ATL: FanDuel +1.5 (−106)Best for TB: Caesars −1.5 (−109)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Falcons side is the mirror image.