Week 8 · Thursday, October 29, 8:15 PM ET
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Packers −3 at our first look, −4 now. 1 injury report on file. Team pages: Panthers · Packers
Conditions · Lambeau Field: Forecast 53°F, wind 7 mph, 9% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Panthers −0.4 · Packers 0.0 → favors the Packers by 0.4. Market: moved 1 toward the Packers.
Carolina Panthers −0.4
| RT Taylor Moton Active → Doubtful |
Doubtful | −0.4 |
Green Bay Packers 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −3 | |
| Panthers lose RT Moton to ankle, fibula injury | Sun Oct 25, 5:51 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 9:50 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | −4 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 59.2% (−145) | |
| Panthers lose RT Moton to ankle, fibula injury | Sun Oct 25, 5:51 PM ET | 64.2% (−179) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 9:50 PM ET | 66.0% (−194) |
| Less than the spread implies | 65.0% (−186) | |
| Line now | 65.0% (−186) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 46 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 21, 11:51 AM ET | +1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 9:50 PM ET | +1 |
| Line now | 48 |
Notes
LaFleur sticks with rookie kicker Smack after miss
Packers coach Matt LaFleur said rookie Trey Smack will keep the kicking job despite missing a short field goal at Detroit. Green Bay will not change kickers before hosting Carolina. ProFootballTalk
GB since this note: −4 → −4 (no move)
Line moves 1 toward the Packers after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Packers has moved from −3.5 to −4.5 (home side), with 6 of 9 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
GB since this note: −4 → −4 (no move)
Line moves 1 on the news: Packers lose both centers to injury early at Detroit
The consensus spread on Panthers at Packers has moved from −3 to −4 (home side). The move followed the report (possibly related): Packers lose both centers to injury early at Detroit.
GB since this note: −3.5 → −4 (−0.5)
Line moves 1.5 on the news: Taylor Moton (RT) Active to Doubtful
The consensus spread on Panthers at Packers has moved from −3 to −4.5 (home side). The move followed the report: Taylor Moton (RT) Active to Doubtful.
GB since this note: −3.5 → −4 (−0.5)
Panthers lose RT Moton to ankle, fibula injury
Carolina right tackle Taylor Moton was carted off in the third quarter against Tampa Bay with a left ankle and fibula injury. The longtime starter's absence would weaken the Panthers' pass protection heading into Green Bay. ESPN
CAR since this note: +3 → +4 (+1.0)
Injury Report
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RT Taylor Moton Sun 3:04 PM |
Active → Doubtful | +0.4 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jaycee Horn (DB · IR · since Week 4), Mike Jackson (DB · IR · since Week 4).
Green Bay Packers
Nothing on the report.
Out long-term, already in the line: Zach Bako-Bewele (OL · IR · since Week 4), Javon Hargrave (DL · IR · since Week 6), Edgerrin Cooper (LB · IR · since Week 5), Jonathan Ford (DL · IR · since Week 6).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Packers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −4 | −109 | −209 | 1.48 | 65.0% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Kalshi | −4 | — | −190 | 1.53 | 65.5% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| DraftKings | −3.5 | −115 | −198 | 1.51 | 63.7% | 47.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| FanDuel | −4.5 | −108 | −215 | 1.47 | 65.6% | 47.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetMGM | −4 | −108 | −210 | 1.48 | 64.7% | 47.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Caesars | −4 | −109 | −209 | 1.48 | 64.8% | 47.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Fanatics | −4 | −110 | −215 | 1.47 | 65.2% | 47.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetRivers | −4 | −109 | −205 | 1.49 | 64.5% | 47 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetOnline | −4.5 | +100 | −205 | 1.49 | 65.1% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Bovada | −4 | −105 | −210 | 1.48 | 65.1% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| LowVig | −4.5 | +105 | −205 | 1.49 | 65.1% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| MyBookie | −4 | −110 | −210 | 1.48 | 64.5% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetUS | −4 | −110 | −205 | 1.49 | 64.9% | 48 | Mon 2:29 AM |
Best for CAR: FanDuel +4.5 (−112)Best for GB: DraftKings −3.5 (−115)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Panthers side is the mirror image.