Week 8 · Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM ET
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Steelers −4.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 1 injury report on file. Team pages: Browns · Steelers
Conditions · Acrisure Stadium: Forecast 63°F, wind 3 mph, 25% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Browns −0.0 · Steelers 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward the Browns.
Cleveland Browns −0.0
Pittsburgh Steelers 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −4.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 7:13 PM ET | +1 |
| Line now | −3.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 66.9% (−202) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 7:13 PM ET | 64.8% (−184) |
| Price-only move | 63.8% (−176) | |
| Line now | 63.8% (−176) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 39 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Sun Oct 25, 8:03 AM ET | -0.5 |
| CLE NB Harden questionable | Sun Oct 25, 5:20 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 5:20 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 38.5 |
Notes
Line moves 1 toward the Browns after last week's results
The consensus spread on Browns at Steelers has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side), with 3 of 5 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)
Line moves 1 toward the Browns after last week's results
The consensus spread on Browns at Steelers has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side), with 2 of 4 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
PIT since this note: −4 → −3.5 (+0.5)
Line moves 1 toward the Browns after last week's results
The consensus spread on Browns at Steelers has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| NB Myles Harden Sun 3:30 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Teven Jenkins (OL · IR · since Week 7).
Pittsburgh Steelers
Nothing on the report.
Out long-term, already in the line: Derrick Harmon (DL · IR · since Week 5), Michael Pittman (WR · IR · since Week 5), Roman Wilson (WR · IR · since Week 6).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Steelers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3.5 | −111 | −197 | 1.51 | 63.8% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Kalshi | −3.5 | — | −182 | 1.55 | 64.5% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| DraftKings | −3.5 | −118 | −185 | 1.54 | 62.2% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −114 | −196 | 1.51 | 63.6% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetMGM | −4 | −108 | −200 | 1.50 | 63.4% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Caesars | −3.5 | −118 | −200 | 1.50 | 64.2% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetRivers | −4 | −109 | −220 | 1.45 | 65.4% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetOnline | −3.5 | −116 | −197 | 1.51 | 64.3% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Bovada | −3.5 | −110 | −195 | 1.51 | 63.7% | 39 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| LowVig | −3.5 | −112 | −197 | 1.51 | 64.3% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| MyBookie | −4 | −110 | −202 | 1.50 | 63.8% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetUS | −3.5 | −110 | −195 | 1.51 | 63.8% | 38.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
Best for CLE: BetMGM +4 (−110)Best for PIT: FanDuel −3.5 (−114)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Browns side is the mirror image.