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Every book · every report · every result
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 8 · Early Edition

Week 8 · Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM ET

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers −4.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 1 injury report on file. Team pages: Browns · Steelers

Conditions · Acrisure Stadium: Forecast 63°F, wind 3 mph, 25% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Browns −0.0 · Steelers 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward the Browns.

Cleveland Browns −0.0

Pittsburgh Steelers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Steelers linePittsburgh Steelers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Pittsburgh.
−5−4−3Opening line−4.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:13 PM+1Line now−3.5
−5−4−3Opening line−4.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:13 PM+1Line now−3.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−4.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 7:13 PM ET+1
Line now−3.5
What moved the Steelers moneylinePittsburgh Steelers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Pittsburgh.
−178−186−194−203Opening line−202Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:13 PM−184Price-only move−176Line now−176
−178−186−194−203Opening line−202Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:13 PM−184Price-only move−176Line now−176
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line66.9% (−202)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 7:13 PM ET64.8% (−184)
Price-only move63.8% (−176)
Line now63.8% (−176)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
3839Opening line39Market move, no reported newsSun 8:03 AM−0.5CLE NB Harden questionableSun 5:20 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:20 PM−0.5Line now38.5
3839Opening line39Market move, no reported newsSun 8:03 AM−0.5CLE NB Harden questionableSun 5:20 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:20 PM−0.5Line now38.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line39
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 25, 8:03 AM ET-0.5
CLE NB Harden questionableSun Oct 25, 5:20 PM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 5:20 PM ET-0.5
Line now38.5

Notes

MarketSun Oct 25, 9:56 PM · PIT

Line moves 1 toward the Browns after last week's results

The consensus spread on Browns at Steelers has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side), with 3 of 5 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)

MarketSun Oct 25, 8:54 PM · PIT

Line moves 1 toward the Browns after last week's results

The consensus spread on Browns at Steelers has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side), with 2 of 4 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

PIT since this note: −4 → −3.5 (+0.5)

MarketSun Oct 25, 5:22 PM · PIT

Line moves 1 toward the Browns after last week's results

The consensus spread on Browns at Steelers has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

PIT since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)

Injury Report

Cleveland Browns

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
NB Myles Harden
Sun 3:30 PM
Active → Questionable+0.0 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Teven Jenkins (OL · IR · since Week 7).

Pittsburgh Steelers

Nothing on the report.

Out long-term, already in the line: Derrick Harmon (DL · IR · since Week 5), Michael Pittman (WR · IR · since Week 5), Roman Wilson (WR · IR · since Week 6).

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Steelers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3.5 −111−1971.51 63.8%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
Kalshi−3.5 —−1821.55 64.5%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−3.5 −118−1851.54 62.2%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
FanDuel−3.5 −114−1961.51 63.6%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetMGM−4 −108−2001.50 63.4%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
Caesars−3.5 −118−2001.50 64.2%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetRivers−4 −109−2201.45 65.4%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetOnline−3.5 −116−1971.51 64.3%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
Bovada−3.5 −110−1951.51 63.7%39Mon 2:29 AM
LowVig−3.5 −112−1971.51 64.3%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
MyBookie−4 −110−2021.50 63.8%38.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetUS−3.5 −110−1951.51 63.8%38.5Mon 2:29 AM

Best for CLE: BetMGM +4 (−110)Best for PIT: FanDuel −3.5 (−114)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Browns side is the mirror image.