Week 8 · Sunday, November 1, 4:25 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Broncos +1.5 at our first look, +1.5 now. 2 injury reports on file. Team pages: Chiefs · Broncos
Conditions · Empower Field at Mile High: Forecast 63°F, wind 8 mph, 16% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Chiefs 0.0 · Broncos −0.4 → favors the Chiefs by 0.4. Market: line unchanged.
Kansas City Chiefs 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Denver Broncos −0.4
| EDGE Zach Allen Active → Questionable · 1.0 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.4 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
+1.5 no movement since tracking began Tue 4:16 PM ET.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 46.8% (+114) | |
| Line now | 47.1% (+112) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 42.5 | |
| DEN WR Waddle questionable | Sun Oct 25, 7:45 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Sun Oct 25, 7:45 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 41.5 |
Notes
Payton backs Nix as Denver's starter after win in Arizona
Sean Payton publicly reaffirmed Bo Nix as Denver's quarterback following the victory over Arizona, amid outside questions about his play. Nix also broke off a 62-yard run in the game. The statement settles the quarterback question heading into the Chiefs matchup. ESPN
DEN since this note: +1.5 → +1.5 (no move)
Allen downplays hamstring issue after Denver's win in Arizona
Broncos defensive lineman Zach Allen hurt his hamstring in the win over Arizona but said afterward he expects to be fine. That suggests Denver's top interior defender should be available against Kansas City. ProFootballTalk
DEN since this note: +1.5 → +1.5 (no move)
Waddle exits with chest injury as Payton rues trick play
Broncos receiver Jaylen Waddle left the win over Arizona with a chest injury suffered on a fourth-quarter reverse, a call coach Sean Payton said he regretted. His status for the home game against Kansas City is in question. ProFootballTalk
DEN since this note: +1.5 → +1.5 (no move)
Total rises 2.5 for Chiefs at Broncos
The consensus total on Chiefs at Broncos has moved from 39.5 to 42. The move followed the report: L'Jarius Sneed (NB) Questionable to Cleared.
DEN since this note: +1.5 → +1.5 (no move)
Line moves 8 on the news: L'Jarius Sneed (NB) Questionable to Cleared
The consensus spread on Chiefs at Broncos has moved from −6.5 to +1.5 (home side). The move followed the report: L'Jarius Sneed (NB) Questionable to Cleared.
DEN since this note: +1.5 → +1.5 (no move)
Total drops 3 for Chiefs at Broncos ahead of the news
The consensus total on Chiefs at Broncos has moved from 42.5 to 39.5. The market started moving 0h 58m before the report: L'Jarius Sneed (NB) Questionable to Cleared.
DEN since this note: +2 → +1.5 (−0.5)
Line moves 8 toward the Broncos with no reported news
The consensus spread on Chiefs at Broncos has moved from +1.5 to −6.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
DEN since this note: +2 → +1.5 (−0.5)
Wind in the Forecast for Chiefs at Broncos
The forecast for kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High calls for wind 15 mph, gusting 24. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 42.5 → 41.5 (−1.0)
Injury Report
Kansas City Chiefs
Nothing on the report.
Out long-term, already in the line: Josh Simmons (OL · IR · since Week 7), Tyquan Thornton (WR · IR · since Week 6).
Denver Broncos
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Jaylen Waddle Sun 7:35 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| EDGE Zach Allen Sun 7:51 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.4 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Pat Bryant (WR · IR · since Week 5), Jonah Elliss (LB · IR · since Week 7).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Broncos side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +1.5 | −110 | +102 | 2.02 | 47.1% | 41.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Kalshi | +1.5 | — | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 41.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| DraftKings | +1.5 | −110 | +105 | 2.05 | 46.8% | 41.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| FanDuel | +1.5 | −112 | +102 | 2.02 | 47.6% | 41.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetMGM | +1.5 | −110 | +100 | 2.00 | 47.8% | 42.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| Caesars | +1.5 | −109 | +108 | 2.08 | 46.2% | 41.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetRivers | +1.5 | −110 | +102 | 2.02 | 46.9% | 41 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetOnline | +1.5 | −107 | — | — | — | 42.5 | Sun 11:28 AM |
| LowVig | +1.5 | −102 | — | — | — | 42.5 | Sun 11:28 AM |
| MyBookie | +2 | −110 | +102 | 2.02 | 47.1% | — | Mon 2:29 AM |
| BetUS | +1.5 | −105 | — | — | — | 42.5 | Sun 11:28 AM |
Best for KC: FanDuel −1.5 (−108)Best for DEN: Caesars +1.5 (−109)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Chiefs side is the mirror image.