Week 9 · Sunday, November 8, 1:00 PM ET
Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers
Panthers +2.5 at our first look, +3 now. 4 injury reports on file. Team pages: Broncos · Panthers
Conditions · Bank of America Stadium: Forecast 60°F, wind 4 mph, 6% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Broncos +0.4 · Panthers +0.3. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Broncos.
Denver Broncos +0.4
| S Talanoa Hufanga Out → Questionable · 0.6 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.4 |
Carolina Panthers +0.3
| LB Jaelan Phillips Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| G Damien Lewis Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| CB Will Lee III Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +2.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Nov 2, 8:45 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | +3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44.9% (+123) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Nov 2, 8:45 AM ET | 43.4% (+130) |
| Price-only move | 41.5% (+141) | |
| Line now | 41.5% (+141) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 9:51 PM ET | -1 |
| CAR G Lewis upgraded | Tue Nov 3, 9:05 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 44 |
Notes
Line moves 1 toward the Broncos with no reported news
The consensus spread on Broncos at Panthers has moved from +2 to +3 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
CAR since this note: +2.5 → +3 (+0.5)
Injury Report
Denver Broncos
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Talanoa Hufanga Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.4 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Pat Bryant (WR · IR · since Week 5), Jonah Elliss (LB · IR · since Week 7).
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB Will Lee III Mon 8:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| G Damien Lewis Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| LB Jaelan Phillips Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jaycee Horn (DB · IR · since Week 4), Mike Jackson (DB · IR · since Week 4), Taylor Moton (OL · IR · since Week 8), Akayleb Evans (DB · Reserve list · since Week 8).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Panthers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +3 | — | +141 | 2.41 | 41.5% | 44 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| Kalshi | +3 | — | +141 | 2.41 | 41.5% | 44 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | −110 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| FanDuel | +2.5 | −108 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| Caesars | +2.5 | −110 | +119 | 2.19 | 44.0% | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetRivers | +2.5 | −107 | +116 | 2.16 | 44.2% | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetOnline | +2.5 | −105 | — | — | — | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| LowVig | +2.5 | +100 | — | — | — | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| MyBookie | +2.5 | −110 | +117 | 2.17 | 43.9% | 44.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetUS | +3 | −120 | — | — | — | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
Best for DEN: DraftKings −2.5 (−110)Best for CAR: BetRivers +2.5 (−107)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Broncos side is the mirror image.