Week 9 · Thursday, November 5, 8:15 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
Ravens −2.5 at our first look, +10 now. 21 injury reports on file. Team pages: Jaguars · Ravens
Conditions · M&T Bank Stadium: Forecast 67°F, wind 4 mph (gusts 14), 17% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Jaguars −1.2 · Ravens −5.2 → favors the Jaguars by 4.0. Market: moved 12.5 toward the Jaguars. Moved past our number
Jacksonville Jaguars −1.2
| S Eric Murray Active → Out → IR |
IR | −0.4 |
| EDGE Travon Walker Active → Questionable · 1.0 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| DT DaVon Hamilton Questionable → Out → IR |
IR | −0.2 |
| WR Jakobi Meyers Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| G Ezra Cleveland Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| S Antonio Johnson Out → Questionable · 0.1 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
Baltimore Ravens −5.2
| QB Tyler Huntley Active → Questionable → Doubtful · 2 QB starters out |
Doubtful | −3.3 |
| QB Lamar Jackson Active → Out · 2 QB starters out |
Out | −1.4 |
| CB Nate Wiggins Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| S Jaylinn Hawkins Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.3 |
| K Tyler Loop Active → Questionable → Doubtful → IR |
IR | −0.2 |
| G Olaivavega Ioane Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| LB Roquan Smith Active → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| RT Roger Rosengarten Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| LB Trey Hendrickson Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 28, 1:07 PM ET | -0.5 |
| BAL QB Jackson ruled out | Sun Nov 1, 8:09 PM ET | +2.3 |
| BAL QB Huntley doubtful | Sun Nov 1, 8:09 PM ET | +2.4 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 8:09 PM ET | +7.8 |
| Ravens Turn to Tyler Huntley at Quarterback | Tue Nov 3, 11:10 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | +10 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 56.0% (−127) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 28, 1:07 PM ET | 57.5% (−135) |
| BAL QB Jackson ruled out | Sun Nov 1, 8:09 PM ET | 50.6% (−102) |
| BAL QB Huntley doubtful | Sun Nov 1, 8:09 PM ET | 43.7% (+129) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 8:09 PM ET | 20.3% (+393) |
| Ravens Turn to Tyler Huntley at Quarterback | Tue Nov 3, 11:10 AM ET | 18.9% (+429) |
| Line now | 18.5% (+441) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 48.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Sun Nov 1, 12:35 AM ET | +0.5 |
| BAL QB Jackson ruled out | Sun Nov 1, 2:56 PM ET | -2.3 |
| BAL QB Huntley doubtful | Sun Nov 1, 2:56 PM ET | -4.4 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 2:56 PM ET | -1.8 |
| JAX EDGE Walker questionable | Sun Nov 1, 9:51 PM ET | +0.5 |
| JAX RB Tuten questionable | Mon Nov 2, 6:36 PM ET | -0.5 |
| BAL K Loop to injured reserve | Tue Nov 3, 5:23 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 40 |
Notes
Total drops 1.5 for Jaguars at Ravens with no reported news
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 42 to 40.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
BAL since this note: +9.5 → +10 (+0.5)
Total drops 2.5 for Jaguars at Ravens
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 42.5 to 40. The move followed the report: Tyler Loop (K) Questionable to Doubtful.
BAL since this note: +9.5 → +10 (+0.5)
Total drops 3 for Jaguars at Ravens ahead of the news
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 43 to 40. The market started moving 0h 18m before the report: Tyler Loop (K) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +9 → +10 (+1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Jaguars ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +8.5 to +10 (home side). The market started moving 0h 28m before the report: Tyler Loop (K) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +9 → +10 (+1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Jaguars ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +8.5 to +10 (home side). The market started moving 1h 30m before the report: Tyler Loop (K) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +9 → +10 (+1.0)
Ravens Turn to Tyler Huntley at Quarterback
Baltimore Ravens now list Tyler Huntley as the starting quarterback on their depth chart, replacing Lamar Jackson. On our ratings that is a downgrade of about 2.2 points a game.
Line moves 1 toward the Ravens after last week's results
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +10 to +9 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +9.5 → +10 (+0.5)
Line moves 1 toward the Jaguars after last week's results
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +9 to +10 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +10 → +10 (no move)
Total rises 1.5 for Jaguars at Ravens after last week's results
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 43 to 44.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +9 → +10 (+1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Jaguars after last week's results
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +8.5 to +10 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +9 → +10 (+1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Jaguars after last week's results
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +7.5 to +9 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +8.5 → +10 (+1.5)
Total rises 1.5 for Jaguars at Ravens after last week's results
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 43 to 44.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +8.5 → +10 (+1.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Jaguars after last week's results
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +7 to +8.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +7.5 → +10 (+2.5)
Total drops 1.5 for Jaguars at Ravens after last week's results
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 44 to 42.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +7 → +10 (+3.0)
Line moves 2 toward the Jaguars after last week's results
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +6.5 to +8.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
BAL since this note: +6.5 → +10 (+3.5)
Line moves 5.5 on the news: Nate Wiggins (CB1) Active to Questionable
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +3.5 to +9 (home side). The move followed the report: Nate Wiggins (CB1) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +3.5 → +10 (+6.5)
Line moves 7.5 on the news: Nate Wiggins (CB1) Active to Questionable
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +1.5 to +9 (home side). The move followed the report: Nate Wiggins (CB1) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +2 → +10 (+8.0)
Total drops 4.5 for Jaguars at Ravens
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 47.5 to 43. The move followed the report: Tyler Huntley (QB) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +1.5 → +10 (+8.5)
Line moves 6.5 on the news: Tyler Huntley (QB) Active to Questionable
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +2.5 to +9 (home side). The move followed the report: Tyler Huntley (QB) Active to Questionable.
BAL since this note: +2 → +10 (+8.0)
Line moves 6.5 on the news: Lamar Jackson (QB) Active to Out
The consensus spread on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from +2 to +8.5 (home side). The move followed the report: Lamar Jackson (QB) Active to Out.
BAL since this note: −2.5 → +10 (+12.5)
Total drops 5.5 for Jaguars at Ravens
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 48.5 to 43. The move followed the report: Lamar Jackson (QB) Active to Out.
BAL since this note: −3 → +10 (+13.0)
Total drops 5 for Jaguars at Ravens
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 48.5 to 43.5. The move followed the report: Emery Jones Jr. (G) Questionable to Out.
BAL since this note: −3 → +10 (+13.0)
Total drops 5 for Jaguars at Ravens ahead of the news
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 48.5 to 43.5. The market started moving 0h 56m before the report: Jakobi Meyers (WR2) Questionable to Cleared.
BAL since this note: −3 → +10 (+13.0)
Total drops 5.5 for Jaguars at Ravens ahead of the news
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 49 to 43.5. The market started moving 2h 39m before the report: Jakobi Meyers (WR2) Questionable to Cleared.
BAL since this note: −3 → +10 (+13.0)
Total drops 5 for Jaguars at Ravens ahead of the news
The consensus total on Jaguars at Ravens has moved from 48.5 to 43.5. The market started moving 11h 59m before the report: Jakobi Meyers (WR2) Questionable to Cleared.
BAL since this note: −3 → +10 (+13.0)
Rain Chance for Jaguars at Ravens
The forecast for kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium calls for a 50% chance of rain. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 48.5 → 40 (−8.5)
Injury Report
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| G Ezra Cleveland Sun 2:21 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| EDGE Travon Walker Sun 3:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| DT DaVon Hamilton Mon 10:11 AM |
Questionable → Out | +0.2 | — |
| S Eric Murray Mon 4:58 PM |
Active → Out | +0.4 | — |
| RB Bhayshul Tuten Mon 7:42 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| WR Jakobi Meyers Mon 7:58 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| S Antonio Johnson Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| DT DaVon Hamilton Tue 5:15 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | — |
| S Eric Murray Tue 5:15 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Anton Harrison (OL · IR · since Week 6).
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB Lamar Jackson Sun 1:35 PM |
Active → Out | +1.1 | — |
| QB Tyler Huntley Sun 2:21 PM |
Active → Questionable | +1.0 | — |
| CB Nate Wiggins Sun 4:05 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| K Tyler Loop Mon 6:54 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| RT Roger Rosengarten Mon 8:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Roquan Smith Mon 8:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Trey Hendrickson Mon 8:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| S Jaylinn Hawkins Tue 8:06 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| G Olaivavega Ioane Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| K Tyler Loop Tue 11:50 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.1 | — |
| QB Tyler Huntley Tue 11:50 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +1.7 | — |
| K Tyler Loop Tue 4:54 PM |
Doubtful → IR | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Tavius Robinson (LB · IR · since Week 7), Jovaughn Gwyn (OL · IR · since Week 4).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Ravens side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +10 | — | +441 | 5.41 | 18.5% | 40 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| Kalshi | +10 | — | +441 | 5.41 | 18.5% | 40 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −105 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −118 | −148 | 1.68 | 57.4% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| Caesars | −3 | −108 | −154 | 1.65 | 58.2% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −105 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.4% | 49 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −107 | −159 | 1.63 | 58.5% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −102 | — | — | — | 49 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| LowVig | −3 | +103 | — | — | — | 49 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| MyBookie | −3 | −110 | −153 | 1.65 | 57.5% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetUS | −3 | +100 | — | — | — | 49 | Sun 12:04 AM |
Best for JAX: Caesars +3 (−112)Best for BAL: FanDuel −2.5 (−118)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Jaguars side is the mirror image.