Week 9 · Sunday, November 8, 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders
Commanders +4.5 at our first look, +5.5 now. 5 injury reports on file. Team pages: Rams · Commanders
Conditions · Northwest Stadium: Forecast 59°F, wind 14 mph (gusts 22), 7% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Rams −1.4 · Commanders 0.0 → favors the Commanders by 1.4. Market: moved 1 toward the Rams. Not priced in
Los Angeles Rams −1.4
| QB Matthew Stafford Active → Questionable · 3.9 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −1.4 |
Washington Commanders 0.0
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +4.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Oct 27, 4:24 PM ET | +1 |
| LA LB Johnson upgraded | Mon Nov 2, 7:29 PM ET | +0.5 |
| WAS EDGE Kinlaw upgraded | Tue Nov 3, 8:34 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | +5.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 33.6% (+198) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Oct 27, 4:24 PM ET | 29.8% (+236) |
| LA LB Johnson upgraded | Mon Nov 2, 7:29 PM ET | 28.0% (+257) |
| WAS EDGE Kinlaw upgraded | Tue Nov 3, 8:34 AM ET | 29.8% (+236) |
| Less than the spread implies | 30.5% (+228) | |
| Line now | 30.5% (+228) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 48.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Nov 2, 12:26 AM ET | -0.5 |
| LA QB Stafford questionable | Mon Nov 2, 10:45 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 47.5 |
Notes
Wind in the Forecast for Rams at Commanders
The forecast for kickoff at Northwest Stadium calls for wind 14 mph, gusting 22. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 47.5 → 47.5 (no move)
Line moves 4.5 toward the Rams with no reported news
The consensus spread on Rams at Commanders has moved from +1.5 to +6 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
WAS since this note: +5.5 → +5.5 (no move)
Line moves 4 toward the Commanders with no reported news
The consensus spread on Rams at Commanders has moved from +5.5 to +1.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
WAS since this note: +1.5 → +5.5 (+4.0)
Total drops 3 for Rams at Commanders ahead of the news
The consensus total on Rams at Commanders has moved from 51 to 48. The market started moving 0h 54m before the report: Charles Omenihu (EDGE) Questionable to Cleared.
WAS since this note: +5.5 → +5.5 (no move)
Line moves 3.5 toward the Commanders ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Rams at Commanders has moved from +5 to +1.5 (home side). The market started moving 1h 04m before the report: Charles Omenihu (EDGE) Questionable to Cleared.
WAS since this note: +5.5 → +5.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Desjuan Johnson Mon 2:35 PM |
Out → Returning | −0.0 | — |
| QB Matthew Stafford Mon 6:07 PM |
Active → Questionable | +1.4 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Davante Adams (WR · IR · since Week 7), Kobie Turner (DL · IR · since Week 7), Myles Garrett (LB · IR · since Week 2), Poona Ford (DL · IR · since Week 7), Blake Grupe (K · IR · since Week 7).
Washington Commanders
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDGE Javon Kinlaw Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | — |
| EDGE Javon Kinlaw Tue 4:54 PM |
Questionable → IR | +0.5 | — |
| DT Daron Payne Tue 4:54 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Terry McLaurin (WR · IR · since Week 8), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB · IR · since Week 6).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Commanders side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +5.5 | — | +228 | 3.28 | 30.5% | 47.5 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| Kalshi | +5.5 | — | +228 | 3.28 | 30.5% | 47.5 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| DraftKings | +5.5 | −110 | +185 | 2.85 | 33.6% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| FanDuel | +5.5 | −122 | +180 | 2.80 | 34.4% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| Caesars | +5.5 | −110 | +185 | 2.85 | 33.6% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetRivers | +5.5 | −112 | +190 | 2.90 | 32.8% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetOnline | +5 | −105 | — | — | — | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| LowVig | +5 | +100 | — | — | — | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| MyBookie | +5 | −110 | +181 | 2.81 | 33.9% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetUS | +5 | −110 | — | — | — | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
Best for LA: FanDuel −5.5 (+100)Best for WAS: DraftKings +5.5 (−110)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Rams side is the mirror image.