Week 9 · Sunday, November 8, 1:00 PM ET
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs −9.5 at our first look, −9.5 now. 3 injury reports on file. Team pages: Jets · Chiefs
Conditions · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium: Forecast 56°F, wind 4 mph, 1% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Jets +0.8 · Chiefs +0.4 → favors the Jets by 0.4. Market: line unchanged.
New York Jets +0.8
| EDGE David Bailey Out → Questionable · 1.0 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.7 |
| RB Breece Hall Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
Kansas City Chiefs +0.4
| CB Mansoor Delane Out → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.4 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −9.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 7:58 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Nov 2, 3:00 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | −9.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 81.2% (−432) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 7:58 PM ET | 82.2% (−462) |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Nov 2, 3:00 PM ET | 81.2% (−432) |
| Price-only move | 80.5% (−413) | |
| Line now | 80.5% (−413) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 43.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 1, 7:58 PM ET | +2.5 |
| NYJ RB Hall upgraded | Tue Nov 3, 10:07 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 3, 1:43 PM ET | +1 |
| Line now | 47.5 |
Notes
Total rises 2.5 for Jets at Chiefs with no reported news
The consensus total on Jets at Chiefs has moved from 43.5 to 46. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
KC since this note: −9 → −9.5 (−0.5)
Wind in the Forecast for Jets at Chiefs
The forecast for kickoff at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium calls for wind 7 mph, gusting 28. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 43.5 → 47.5 (+4.0)
Injury Report
New York Jets
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDGE David Bailey Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.7 | — |
| RB Breece Hall Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: T'Vondre Sweat (DL · IR · since Week 8), David Onyemata (DL · IR · since Week 3).
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB Mansoor Delane Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.4 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Josh Simmons (OL · IR · since Week 7), L'Jarius Sneed (DB · IR · since Week 8), Tyquan Thornton (WR · IR · since Week 6).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Chiefs side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −9.5 | — | −413 | 1.24 | 80.5% | 47.5 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| Kalshi | −9.5 | — | −413 | 1.24 | 80.5% | 47.5 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| DraftKings | −9.5 | −110 | −485 | 1.21 | 79.6% | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| FanDuel | −9.5 | −108 | −520 | 1.19 | 80.7% | 42.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| Caesars | −9.5 | −108 | −500 | 1.20 | 80.0% | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetRivers | −9.5 | −109 | −560 | 1.18 | 81.1% | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetOnline | −9.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| LowVig | −9.5 | −105 | — | — | — | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| MyBookie | −9.5 | −110 | −481 | 1.21 | 78.8% | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetUS | −9.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 43.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
Best for NYJ: DraftKings +9.5 (−110)Best for KC: FanDuel −9.5 (−108)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Jets side is the mirror image.