Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
Saints +1.5 at our first look, −2.5 now. 13 injury reports on file. Team pages: Panthers · Saints
Conditions: Indoors.
The read so far
News: Panthers +0.1 · Saints −0.9 → favors the Panthers by 1.0. Market: moved 4 toward the Saints. Not priced in
Carolina Panthers +0.1
| LB Bobby Okereke Out → Questionable · 0.1 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
New Orleans Saints −0.9
| C Erik McCoy Active → Questionable → Doubtful |
Doubtful | −0.5 |
| LT Kelvin Banks Jr. Active → Questionable · 0.6 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| G David Edwards Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +1.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Nov 9, 3:33 AM ET | -2 |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 10, 5:48 PM ET | -2 |
| Line now | −2.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 48.5% (+106) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Nov 9, 3:33 AM ET | 52.2% (−109) |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 10, 5:48 PM ET | 56.4% (−129) |
| Less than the spread implies | 55.6% (−125) | |
| Line now | 55.6% (−125) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 47.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | +0.5 |
| CAR G Lewis upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 1:40 PM ET | +0.5 |
| CAR LB Phillips ruled out | Wed Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET | +0.5 |
| NO RB Kamara questionable | Wed Nov 11, 1:37 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 48.5 |
Notes
Saints shuffle line: Ruiz slides to center, rookie Wright starts at guard
With center Erik McCoy injured, New Orleans will move right guard Cesar Ruiz to center against Carolina. Rookie Jeremiah Wright takes over at right guard, leaving two new starters in the interior line. New Orleans Saints (team site)
NO since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Etienne back at Saints practice on limited basis
Saints running back Travis Etienne practiced Wednesday in a limited capacity, his first work since being sidelined. His progress puts him in play for Sunday's game against Carolina. ProFootballTalk
NO since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Panthers get Phillips, Lewis back on practice field
Carolina had edge rusher Jaelan Phillips, guard Damien Lewis and cornerback Will Lee participating in Wednesday's walk-through ahead of the trip to New Orleans. Their return to practice points toward availability for key spots on both lines and in the secondary. Carolina Panthers (team site)
CAR since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Panthers start practice clocks for Brooks, Legette and Jackson
Carolina opened the 21-day practice windows for running back Jonathon Brooks, receiver Xavier Legette and cornerback Mike Jackson, putting all three on track to return from injured reserve. The team also added receiver David Moore and defensive tackle Cam Horsley. None are guaranteed to play at New Orleans, but the moves point to reinforcements at skill positions and in the secondary. Carolina Panthers (team site)
CAR since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Line moves 1 toward the Saints with no reported news
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from −1.5 to −2.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NO since this note: −2 → −2.5 (−0.5)
Line moves 2 toward the Saints with no reported news
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from −0.5 to −2.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NO since this note: −1.5 → −2.5 (−1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Saints ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from −0.5 to −2 (home side). The market started moving 9h 48m before the report: Jaelan Phillips (LB) Out to Questionable.
NO since this note: −1 → −2.5 (−1.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +0.5 to −1 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: PK → −2.5 (−2.5)
Line moves 2 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +1.5 to −0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: +0.5 → −2.5 (−3.0)
Line moves 2.5 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +2 to −0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: +1.5 → −2.5 (−4.0)
Line moves 2 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +1.5 to −0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: +2 → −2.5 (−4.5)
Line moves 2.5 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +2 to −0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: +1.5 → −2.5 (−4.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +1 to −0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: +0.5 → −2.5 (−3.0)
Line moves 2 toward the Saints after last week's results
The consensus spread on Panthers at Saints has moved from +1.5 to −0.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NO since this note: +1 → −2.5 (−3.5)
Injury Report
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Jaelan Phillips Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| CB Will Lee III Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| G Damien Lewis Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| LB Bobby Okereke Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| CB Will Lee III Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Out | +0.2 | — |
| LB Jaelan Phillips Wed 6:20 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.2 | — |
| G Damien Lewis Wed 8:43 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jaycee Horn (DB · IR · since Week 4), Mike Jackson (DB · IR · since Week 4), Taylor Moton (OL · IR · since Week 8), Akayleb Evans (DB · IR · since Week 8).
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| C Erik McCoy Sun 4:31 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| C Erik McCoy Mon 3:15 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.3 | — |
| RB Alvin Kamara Wed 5:40 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| G David Edwards Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| CB Martin Emerson Jr. Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| LT Kelvin Banks Jr. Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Travis Etienne (RB · IR · since Week 4).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Saints side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −2.5 | −110 | −140 | 1.71 | 55.6% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Kalshi | −2.5 | — | −125 | 1.80 | 55.5% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| DraftKings | −2.5 | −108 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.1% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −110 | −138 | 1.72 | 55.8% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetMGM | −2.5 | −108 | −140 | 1.71 | 55.6% | 49 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Caesars | −2.5 | −107 | −137 | 1.73 | 55.2% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Fanatics | −2.5 | −110 | −140 | 1.71 | 55.6% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetRivers | −2 | −112 | −132 | 1.76 | 54.2% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetOnline | −1 | −125 | −140 | 1.71 | 56.2% | 49 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Bovada | −2.5 | −110 | −140 | 1.71 | 56.2% | 49 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| LowVig | −1 | −121 | −140 | 1.71 | 56.2% | 49 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| MyBookie | −2.5 | −110 | −138 | 1.72 | 55.3% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetUS | −1 | −125 | −140 | 1.71 | 56.2% | 48.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
Best for CAR: FanDuel +2.5 (−110)Best for NO: BetRivers −2 (−112)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Panthers side is the mirror image.