73 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result
The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 Week 10

Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 8:20 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals −3.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 3 injury reports on file. Team pages: Steelers · Bengals

Conditions · Paycor Stadium: Forecast 40°F, wind 4 mph, 0% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Steelers −0.1 · Bengals −0.3 → favors the Steelers by 0.3. Market: line unchanged.

Pittsburgh Steelers −0.1

S DeShon Elliott
Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable−0.1

Cincinnati Bengals −0.3

CB DJ Turner II
Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable−0.2
G Dylan Fairchild
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable−0.1

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Bengals lineCincinnati Bengals spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Cincinnati.

−3.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:17 PM ET.

What moved the Bengals moneylineCincinnati Bengals moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Cincinnati.
−163−170−178Opening line−174Price-only move−168Line now−168
−163−170−178Opening line−174Price-only move−168Line now−168
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line63.5% (−174)
Price-only move62.7% (−168)
Line now62.7% (−168)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
2628303234363840424446485052Opening line27.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:48 PM+20Market move, no reported newsMon 10:15 AM+1.5CIN CB Turner II questionableWed 1:37 PMmarket moved 5h before the report+0.5Line now49.5
2628303234363840424446485052Opening line27.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:48 PM+20Market move, no reported newsMon 10:15 AM+1.5CIN CB Turner II questionableWed 1:37 PM · market moved 5h before the report+0.5Line now49.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line27.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Nov 8, 9:48 PM ET+20
Market move, no reported newsMon Nov 9, 10:15 AM ET+1.5
CIN CB Turner II questionableWed Nov 11, 1:37 PM ET+0.5
Line now49.5

Notes

RosterWed Nov 11, 3:00 PM · CIN

Bengals pull out of Ebiketie deal with Eagles over comp-pick concern

Cincinnati backed away from a trade that would have brought edge rusher Arnold Ebiketie from Philadelphia after learning it could cost the team a future compensatory pick. Head coach Zac Taylor said the front office apologized to the Eagles. The Bengals pass rush stays as is for Monday night against Pittsburgh. ProFootballTalk

CIN since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)

InjuryWed Nov 11, 2:59 PM · PIT

Steelers open Harmon's practice window

Defensive tackle Derrick Harmon practiced Wednesday while still on injured reserve, starting his path back to the active roster. He is not yet eligible to play until Pittsburgh activates him. Pittsburgh Steelers (team site)

PIT since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)

MarketMon Nov 9, 9:33 PM · CIN

Total rises 21 for Steelers at Bengals after last week's results

The consensus total on Steelers at Bengals has moved from 27.5 to 48.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

CIN since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Steelers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
S DeShon Elliott
Wed 7:01 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.1 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Derrick Harmon (DL · IR · since Week 5), Michael Pittman (WR · IR · since Week 5), Roman Wilson (WR · IR · since Week 6).

Cincinnati Bengals

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
CB DJ Turner II
Wed 6:41 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.2 —
G Dylan Fairchild
Wed 6:41 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.1 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Jalen Davis (DB · IR · since Week 4).

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Bengals side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3.5 −110−1881.53 62.7%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
Kalshi−3.5 —−1741.57 63.5%49Wed 9:23 PM
DraftKings−3.5 −110−1801.56 61.6%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
FanDuel−3.5 −110−1841.54 62.2%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
BetMGM−3.5 −108−1901.53 62.6%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
Caesars−3.5 −107−1931.52 63.1%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
Fanatics−3.5 −110−1901.53 62.6%49Wed 9:23 PM
BetRivers−3.5 −112−1951.51 62.8%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
BetOnline−3.5 −107−1831.55 62.7%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
Bovada−3.5 −108−1881.53 63.2%49Wed 9:23 PM
LowVig−3.5 −102−1831.55 62.7%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
MyBookie−3.5 −110−1891.53 62.3%49.5Wed 9:23 PM
BetUS−3.5 −110−1851.54 62.7%50Wed 9:23 PM

Best for PIT: BetRivers +3.5 (−109)Best for CIN: Caesars −3.5 (−107)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Steelers side is the mirror image.