Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 4:05 PM ET
Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders
Raiders +4 at our first look, +6.5 now. 7 injury reports on file. Team pages: Seahawks · Raiders
Conditions: Indoors.
The read so far
News: Seahawks −1.0 · Raiders −0.0 → favors the Raiders by 1.0. Market: moved 2.5 toward the Seahawks. Not priced in
Seattle Seahawks −1.0
| QB Drew Lock Active → Questionable · 3.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −1.1 |
| LB Uchenna Nwosu Out → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
Las Vegas Raiders −0.0
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +4 | |
| SEA QB Lock questionable | Sun Nov 8, 8:46 PM ET | -0.5 |
| SEA EDGE Williams upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET | +1.4 |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET | +1.6 |
| Line now | +6.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 34.5% (+190) | |
| SEA QB Lock questionable | Sun Nov 8, 8:46 PM ET | 36.3% (+175) |
| SEA EDGE Williams upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET | 31.5% (+217) |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET | 25.8% (+288) |
| Less than the spread implies | 28.7% (+248) | |
| Line now | 28.7% (+248) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 31.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 7:55 PM ET | +12 |
| SEA QB Lock questionable | Mon Nov 9, 4:28 PM ET | -0.5 |
| SEA EDGE Williams upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 2:42 PM ET | -1.4 |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 10, 2:42 PM ET | -1.1 |
| Line now | 40.5 |
Notes
Darnold ruled out for Raiders game, eyes Week 12 return
Sam Darnold did not practice Wednesday and has been ruled out of Seattle's Week 10 trip to Las Vegas, with a return targeted for Week 12 after the bye. Drew Lock, limited in practice, is in line to start at quarterback. ProFootballTalk
SEA since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)
Raiders turn to rookie Mendoza at quarterback
Las Vegas general manager John Spytek said the team decided to move the No. 1 overall pick, Fernando Mendoza, into the starting quarterback job after he met the staff's benchmarks. The change puts a rookie under center for the Raiders' next game. ProFootballTalk
LV since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Line moves 2 toward the Seahawks with no reported news
The consensus spread on Seahawks at Raiders has moved from +4.5 to +6.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
LV since this note: +6 → +6.5 (+0.5)
Line moves 3 toward the Seahawks with no reported news
The consensus spread on Seahawks at Raiders has moved from +3.5 to +6.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
LV since this note: +4.5 → +6.5 (+2.0)
Total drops 2.5 for Seahawks at Raiders with no reported news
The consensus total on Seahawks at Raiders has moved from 43 to 40.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
LV since this note: +4.5 → +6.5 (+2.0)
Line moves 3.5 toward the Seahawks with no reported news
The consensus spread on Seahawks at Raiders has moved from +3 to +6.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
LV since this note: +3 → +6.5 (+3.5)
Total rises 11.5 for Seahawks at Raiders ahead of the news
The consensus total on Seahawks at Raiders has moved from 31.5 to 43. The market started moving 1h 42m before the report: Drew Lock (QB) Active to Questionable.
LV since this note: +3.5 → +6.5 (+3.0)
Injury Report
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB Drew Lock Sun 8:05 PM |
Active → Questionable | +1.1 | — |
| EDGE Leonard Williams Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.7 | — |
| G Quenton Nelson Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Doubtful | −0.0 | — |
| LB Uchenna Nwosu Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| LT Charles Cross Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Doubtful | −0.0 | — |
| EDGE Leonard Williams Wed 8:03 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.7 | — |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| G Trey Zuhn III Wed 9:24 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Raiders side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +6.5 | −110 | +235 | 3.35 | 28.7% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Kalshi | +6.5 | — | +264 | 3.64 | 27.5% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| DraftKings | +6.5 | −112 | +235 | 3.35 | 28.6% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| FanDuel | +6.5 | −110 | +245 | 3.45 | 27.9% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetMGM | +6.5 | −108 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Caesars | +6.5 | −114 | +230 | 3.30 | 29.1% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Fanatics | +6.5 | −110 | +230 | 3.30 | 29.0% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetRivers | +6.5 | −110 | +225 | 3.25 | 29.3% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetOnline | +6.5 | −105 | +230 | 3.30 | 29.1% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Bovada | +6.5 | −108 | +235 | 3.35 | 28.7% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| LowVig | +6.5 | +100 | +230 | 3.30 | 29.1% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| MyBookie | +6.5 | −110 | +236 | 3.36 | 28.4% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetUS | +6.5 | −110 | +250 | 3.50 | 27.6% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
Best for SEA: Caesars −6.5 (−106)Best for LV: BetMGM +6.5 (−108)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Seahawks side is the mirror image.