Week 10 · Thursday, November 12, 8:15 PM ET
Washington Commanders at New York Giants
Giants −2 at our first look, −2 now. 9 injury reports on file. Team pages: Commanders · Giants
Conditions · MetLife Stadium: Forecast 50°F, wind 13 mph (gusts 32), 68% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Commanders −0.0 · Giants +0.1. Market: line unchanged.
Washington Commanders −0.0
New York Giants +0.1
| RB Cam Skattebo Out → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Nov 5, 9:42 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 8:15 PM ET | -0.5 |
| NYG RB Skattebo upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 7:21 PM ET | -0.5 |
| WAS C Patrick upgraded | Wed Nov 11, 10:26 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | −2 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 53.5% (−115) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Nov 5, 9:42 PM ET | 52.5% (−111) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 8:15 PM ET | 53.5% (−115) |
| NYG RB Skattebo upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 7:21 PM ET | 54.8% (−121) |
| WAS C Patrick upgraded | Wed Nov 11, 10:26 PM ET | 53.5% (−115) |
| Price-only move | 55.1% (−123) | |
| Line now | 55.1% (−123) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 35.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Nov 5, 10:44 PM ET | +9.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 8:46 PM ET | -2 |
| WAS TE Okonkwo questionable | Mon Nov 9, 12:51 PM ET | -0.5 |
| NYG WR Mooney questionable | Mon Nov 9, 7:14 PM ET | -1 |
| WAS C Patrick ruled out | Tue Nov 10, 6:50 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 41 |
Notes
Line moves 1 toward the Giants after last week's results
The consensus spread on Commanders at Giants has moved from −1 to −2 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYG since this note: −2 → −2 (no move)
Total drops 3 for Commanders at Giants after last week's results
The consensus total on Commanders at Giants has moved from 45.5 to 42.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYG since this note: −1 → −2 (−1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Giants after last week's results
The consensus spread on Commanders at Giants has moved from −0.5 to −2 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYG since this note: −0.5 → −2 (−1.5)
Total rises 2.5 for Commanders at Giants with no reported news
The consensus total on Commanders at Giants has moved from 41.5 to 44. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NYG since this note: −1 → −2 (−1.0)
Line moves 2 toward the Giants with no reported news
The consensus spread on Commanders at Giants has moved from PK to −2 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NYG since this note: −1 → −2 (−1.0)
Total drops 3.5 for Commanders at Giants with no reported news
The consensus total on Commanders at Giants has moved from 46 to 42.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NYG since this note: −1 → −2 (−1.0)
Total drops 3 for Commanders at Giants with no reported news
The consensus total on Commanders at Giants has moved from 45.5 to 42.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NYG since this note: −1.5 → −2 (−0.5)
Wind in the Forecast for Commanders at Giants
The forecast for kickoff at MetLife Stadium calls for wind 13 mph, gusting 32, a 68% chance of rain. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 45 → 41 (−4.0)
Total rises 3.5 for Commanders at Giants with no reported news
The consensus total on Commanders at Giants has moved from 41.5 to 45. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NYG since this note: −1.5 → −2 (−0.5)
Total rises 9.5 for Commanders at Giants with no reported news
The consensus total on Commanders at Giants has moved from 35.5 to 45. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NYG since this note: −1.5 → −2 (−0.5)
Injury Report
Washington Commanders
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDGE Shy Tuttle Mon 6:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| TE Chig Okonkwo Mon 6:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| C Lucas Patrick Tue 11:46 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.0 | — |
| C Lucas Patrick Wed 12:52 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | — |
| C Lucas Patrick Wed 8:43 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Terry McLaurin (WR · IR · since Week 8), Javon Kinlaw (DL · IR · since Week 9), Daron Payne (DL · IR · since Week 9), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB · IR · since Week 6).
New York Giants
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Darnell Mooney Mon 7:24 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| LB Abdul Carter Mon 7:29 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| RB Cam Skattebo Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| LB Abdul Carter Wed 7:01 PM |
Questionable → Cleared | −0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jaxson Dart (QB · IR · since Week 3), Chauncey Golston (DL · IR · since Week 5), Tremaine Edmunds (LB · IR · since Week 7), Brian Burns (LB · IR · since Week 4).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Giants side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −2 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.1% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Kalshi | −2 | — | −125 | 1.80 | 55.5% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| DraftKings | −2.5 | −105 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.1% | 40.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| FanDuel | −1.5 | −120 | −134 | 1.75 | 55.1% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetMGM | −2.5 | −108 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Caesars | −2.5 | −110 | −134 | 1.75 | 54.9% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Fanatics | −2 | −110 | −130 | 1.77 | 54.3% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetRivers | −2 | −113 | −134 | 1.75 | 54.4% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetOnline | −2.5 | −105 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Bovada | −2 | −110 | −125 | 1.80 | 53.2% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| LowVig | −1.5 | −113 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| MyBookie | −2.5 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 54.8% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetUS | −1 | −120 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
Best for WAS: BetMGM +2.5 (−110)Best for NYG: FanDuel −1.5 (−120)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Commanders side is the mirror image.