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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Indianapolis Colts · WR

Alec Pierce

Valued at 0.8 points a game over Darius Slayton (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 3 of 7 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Sat Sep 26, 12:14 PM W3 vs HOU Out → IR0.0 +1.5 → +1.5 — No ESPN
Wed Sep 23, 11:56 AM W3 vs HOU Doubtful → Out+0.0 +3 → +1.5 — No ESPN
Mon Sep 21, 8:53 PM W3 vs HOU Questionable → Doubtful+0.6 +2.5 → +1.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Sun Sep 20, 9:36 PM W3 vs HOU Active → Questionable+0.4 +1.5 → +1.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Thu Sep 17, 3:54 PM W2 vs KC Active → Questionable+0.4 +6.5 → +5.5 Never priced in Yes ESPN
Sun Sep 13, 8:01 PM W2 vs KC Active → Questionable+0.4 +6.5 → +5.5 Never priced in Yes ESPN
Wed Sep 9, 4:55 PM W1 vs BAL Active → Questionable+0.4 +3.5 → +3 Never priced in Yes ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).