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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Atlanta Falcons · QB

Michael Penix Jr.

Valued at 3.9 points a game over Cooper Rush (Tua Tagovailoa is out) (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 1 of 3 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Mon Sep 21, 5:28 PM W3 vs GB Out → Returning−3.9 +6.5 → +4.5 Partly priced in Yes ESPN
Fri Sep 18, 1:43 PM W2 vs CAR Questionable → Out0.0 +2.5 → +2.5 — No ESPN
Wed Sep 16, 5:45 PM W2 vs CAR Out → Questionable0.0 +2.5 → +2.5 — No ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).