Week 3 · Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM ET · Final SEA 31, WAS 33
Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders
Commanders +2.5 at our first look, +8.5 at kickoff. 25 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Final: SEA 31, WAS 33. Commanders beat the closing number by 10.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +2.5 | |
| WAS QB Daniels ruled out | Sun Sep 20, 8:15 PM ET | +3.5 |
| WAS G Cosmi ruled out | Mon Sep 21, 10:35 AM ET | +0.5 |
| SEA QB Darnold upgraded | Tue Sep 22, 5:15 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Darnold trending toward playing at Washington despite glute injury | Thu Sep 24, 1:51 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Darnold practices fully, clearing path to start at Washington | Fri Sep 25, 9:40 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Sat Sep 26, 10:38 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | +8.5 |
Final: SEA 31, WAS 33. Commanders won at a 23% closing chance to win.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 46.1% (+117) | |
| WAS QB Daniels ruled out | Sun Sep 20, 8:15 PM ET | 31.8% (+214) |
| WAS G Cosmi ruled out | Mon Sep 21, 10:35 AM ET | 29.1% (+244) |
| SEA QB Darnold upgraded | Tue Sep 22, 5:15 PM ET | 27.5% (+264) |
| Darnold trending toward playing at Washington despite glute injury | Thu Sep 24, 1:51 PM ET | 25.9% (+286) |
| Darnold practices fully, clearing path to start at Washington | Fri Sep 25, 9:40 PM ET | 24.4% (+310) |
| Market move, no reported news | Sat Sep 26, 10:38 AM ET | 23.0% (+335) |
| Closing line | 22.9% (+337) |
Notes
Commanders Beat Seahawks 33–31 With Mariota at Quarterback
Final: Seattle Seahawks 31, Washington Commanders 33. Marcus Mariota started at quarterback for Washington in place of Jayden Daniels and went 19/31 for 183 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Washington won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Commanders +8.5.
WAS since this note: +8.5 → +8.5 (no move) at kickoff
Daniels inactive for Commanders-Seahawks
Jayden Daniels is listed out and inactive for Washington's Week 3 game against Seattle. The Commanders will start a backup at quarterback. ESPN player news
WAS since this note: +8.5 → +8.5 (no move) at kickoff
Seahawks rule Milroe inactive at Washington
Backup quarterback Jalen Milroe is listed out and inactive for Seattle's game at Washington. That trims the Seahawks' quarterback depth behind Sam Darnold. ESPN player news
SEA since this note: −8.5 → −8.5 (no move) at kickoff
Report: Daniels eyeing return within three weeks
Jayden Daniels is out with an elbow injury and is reported to be back in about three weeks or sooner. Washington will need a backup quarterback against Seattle and likely beyond. ESPN player news
WAS since this note: +8.5 → +8.5 (no move) at kickoff
Commanders say Daniels avoiding surgery, no IR talk for now
Washington's general manager said quarterback Jayden Daniels is not currently expected to need elbow surgery and the team has not considered injured reserve. Daniels is listed out, so a backup starts against Seattle, but the update suggests a shorter absence. ESPN player news
WAS since this note: +7.5 → +8.5 (+1.0) at kickoff
Darnold practices fully, clearing path to start at Washington
Sam Darnold took part in Thursday's session without limitation despite his glute injury. The full workload points to him starting under center in Washington rather than a backup taking over. ESPN player news
SEA since this note: −7.5 → −8.5 (−1.0) at kickoff
Darnold trending toward playing at Washington despite glute injury
Seattle coach Mike Macdonald said Darnold is on track to play Sunday at Washington after practicing Wednesday with a glute issue. The quarterback is listed as questionable, but the comments point to him starting. ESPN player news
SEA since this note: −7 → −8.5 (−1.5) at kickoff
Injury Report
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Jadarian Price Sun 7:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| S Ty Okada Tue 5:16 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | No |
| G Anthony Bradford Tue 5:16 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | No |
| QB Sam Darnold Tue 5:16 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.6 | Yes |
| G Anthony Bradford Wed 3:20 PM |
Questionable → IR | +0.1 | No |
| LB Ernest Jones IV Wed 7:24 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| WR Cooper Kupp Wed 7:24 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| S Julian Love Thu 7:50 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | No |
| S Ty Okada Fri 6:14 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | No |
| S Julian Love Fri 6:14 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | No |
Washington Commanders
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB Jayden Daniels Sun 6:11 PM |
Active → Doubtful | +1.0 | No |
| G Sam Cosmi Mon 10:37 AM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | No |
| S Nick Cross Mon 3:25 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | No |
| EDGE Javon Kinlaw Mon 3:25 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | Yes |
| LT Brandon Coleman Mon 9:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| LB Frankie Luvu Tue 5:16 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | No |
| TE Chig Okonkwo Tue 5:16 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | No |
| S Nick Cross Wed 1:18 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | No |
| QB Jayden Daniels Wed 1:18 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| S Jeremy Reaves Wed 7:44 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| LB Dorance Armstrong Wed 7:44 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| TE Chig Okonkwo Fri 11:27 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.0 | No |
| LB Frankie Luvu Fri 5:33 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | No |
| TE Chig Okonkwo Fri 5:33 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| G Sam Cosmi Fri 5:33 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | No |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Commanders side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +8.5 | −114 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.9% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Kalshi | — | — | +344 | 4.44 | 22.5% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| DraftKings | +8.5 | −115 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.8% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| FanDuel | +8.5 | −115 | +330 | 4.30 | 22.4% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetMGM | +8.5 | −105 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.7% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Caesars | +8.5 | −114 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.9% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Fanatics | +8.5 | −115 | +325 | 4.25 | 22.5% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetRivers | +8 | −112 | +310 | 4.10 | 23.4% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetOnline | +9 | −115 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.9% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Bovada | +8 | +100 | +290 | 3.90 | 24.5% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| LowVig | +9 | −113 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.9% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| MyBookie | +9 | −110 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.9% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetUS | +9 | −115 | +305 | 4.05 | 23.8% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
Best for SEA: BetRivers −8 (−109)Best for WAS: BetMGM +8.5 (−105)
Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Seahawks side is the mirror image.