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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Washington Commanders · QB

Jayden Daniels

Valued at 0.9 points a game over Marcus Mariota (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 0 of 2 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Tue Sep 29, 1:06 PM W4 vs IND Out → Questionable−0.5 +3.5 → +3.5 Not priced in — ESPN
Wed Sep 23, 1:18 PM W3 vs SEA Doubtful → Out+0.0 +7 → +8.5 — No ESPN
Sun Sep 20, 6:11 PM W3 vs SEA Active → Doubtful+1.0 +2.5 → +8.5 Moved past our number No ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).