Week 5 · Sunday, October 11, 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers
Steelers −2.5 at our first look, −2.5 now. 2 injury reports on file.
Conditions · Acrisure Stadium: Forecast 71°F, wind 8 mph, 10% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Colts 0.0 · Steelers −1.0 → favors the Colts by 1.0. Market: line unchanged. Not priced in
Indianapolis Colts 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Pittsburgh Steelers −1.0
| EDGE Derrick Harmon Questionable → Doubtful |
Doubtful | −0.5 |
| CB Jamel Dean Active → Doubtful |
Doubtful | −0.5 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
−2.5 no movement since tracking began Tue 3:16 PM ET.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 54.8% (−121) | |
| Line now | 55.1% (−123) |
44 no movement since tracking began Tue 3:16 PM ET.
Notes
Line moves 1 toward the Steelers after last week's results
The consensus spread on Colts at Steelers has moved from −1.5 to −2.5 (home side), with 4 of 7 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
PIT since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Wind in the Forecast for Colts at Steelers
The forecast for kickoff at Acrisure Stadium calls for wind 8 mph, gusting 26. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 44 → 44 (no move)
Steelers lose DT Harmon for several weeks with foot injury
Pittsburgh defensive tackle Derrick Harmon was carted off Thursday with a foot injury and is expected to be sidelined for multiple weeks. That rules him out against Indianapolis and thins the interior of the Steelers defensive line. ESPN
PIT since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Indianapolis Colts
Nothing on the report.
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDGE Derrick Harmon Sun 9:07 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.5 | — |
| CB Jamel Dean Sun 9:23 AM |
Active → Doubtful | +0.5 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Steelers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −2.5 | −110 | −134 | 1.75 | 55.1% | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| Kalshi | −2.5 | — | −130 | 1.77 | 56.5% | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| DraftKings | −2.5 | −110 | −130 | 1.77 | 54.3% | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| FanDuel | −1.5 | −115 | −132 | 1.76 | 54.7% | 43.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetMGM | −2.5 | −108 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| Caesars | −2.5 | −109 | −134 | 1.75 | 54.9% | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetRivers | −2 | −110 | −134 | 1.75 | 54.6% | 43.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetOnline | −2.5 | −115 | −142 | 1.70 | 56.6% | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| LowVig | −2.5 | −110 | −142 | 1.70 | 56.6% | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| MyBookie | −2.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetUS | −1 | −125 | — | — | — | 44 | Mon 1:22 AM |
Best for IND: DraftKings +2.5 (−110)Best for PIT: FanDuel −1.5 (−115)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Colts side is the mirror image.