Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
Vikings −4.5 at our first look, −6.5 now. 14 injury reports on file. Team pages: Colts · Vikings
Conditions: Indoors.
The read so far
News: Colts −1.1 · Vikings −0.6 → favors the Vikings by 0.6. Market: moved 2 toward the Vikings. Moved past our number
Indianapolis Colts −1.1
| CB Sauce Gardner Active → Questionable → Doubtful → Out |
Out | −0.8 |
| NB Justin Walley Active → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| G Matt Goncalves Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| RT Jalen Travis Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Minnesota Vikings −0.6
| RT Brian O'Neill Active → Questionable · 0.6 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| WR Justin Jefferson Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| CB James Pierre Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| TE T.J. Hockenson Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −4.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Oct 13, 4:04 PM ET | -1 |
| IND CB Gardner ruled out | Sun Oct 18, 9:43 PM ET | -0.6 |
| Gardner week-to-week with calf strain | Mon Oct 19, 6:36 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | −6.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 67.5% (−208) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Oct 13, 4:04 PM ET | 72.1% (−258) |
| IND CB Gardner ruled out | Sun Oct 18, 9:43 PM ET | 74.2% (−288) |
| Gardner week-to-week with calf strain | Mon Oct 19, 6:36 PM ET | 76.0% (−317) |
| Less than the spread implies | 72.4% (−262) | |
| Line now | 72.4% (−262) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 43.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 6:28 PM ET | -2 |
| Line now | 41.5 |
Notes
Vikings activate Jordan Mason in time for Colts game
Minnesota activated running back Jordan Mason ahead of its Week 7 home game against Indianapolis. He had been listed as questionable, so the move clears him to play and restores a key piece of the Vikings' backfield. Minnesota Vikings (team site)
MIN since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)
Colts add Pratt, Harris from practice squad before Vikings trip
Indianapolis elevated linebacker Germaine Pratt and cornerback Kenneth Harris to the active roster on Saturday and released punter Thomas Morstead from the practice squad. The additions give the defense depth at Minnesota, where several starters are already ruled out. Indianapolis Colts (team site)
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Vikings cut running back Deejay Dallas
Minnesota released running back Deejay Dallas on Friday. The move thins the backfield and return depth ahead of Sunday's game with Indianapolis. ProFootballTalk
MIN since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)
Mason questionable for Vikings against Colts
Minnesota listed running back Jordan Mason as questionable for Sunday's home game with Indianapolis, an upgrade from being sidelined. If he plays, it cuts into the expanded role Aaron Jones was set to take in the backfield. ProFootballTalk
MIN since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)
Colts rule out Warren, Gardner and Gould at Minnesota
Indianapolis will be without tight end Tyler Warren, cornerback Sauce Gardner and receiver Anthony Gould for Sunday's game at Minnesota. Losing a top pass catcher and the team's best cover corner weakens the Colts on both sides of the ball. Indianapolis Colts (team site)
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Colts quarterback Richardson faces misdemeanor marijuana charge
Anthony Richardson Sr. has been charged with misdemeanor marijuana possession stemming from a traffic stop earlier in October. Any league or team discipline could affect his availability behind center. ESPN
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Jefferson practices fully, on track for Vikings' Sunday game
Justin Jefferson took part fully in Thursday's Vikings practice. That points to Minnesota's top receiver being available against Indianapolis. ProFootballTalk
MIN since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)
Taylor drawing trade interest as Colts regroup after GM firing
A report says multiple teams would consider trading for Colts running back Jonathan Taylor ahead of the deadline, with Indianapolis reshaping its front office after dismissing Chris Ballard. Any move would remove the Colts' lead back from the offense. ESPN
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Warren, Gardner miss second straight Colts practice
Tight end Tyler Warren and cornerback Sauce Gardner sat out Indianapolis practice again Thursday. Two more missed sessions put both starters in doubt for Sunday at Minnesota. ProFootballTalk
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Jones set for bigger Vikings backfield role with Mason sidelined
With Jordan Mason out, Aaron Jones Sr. is in line to handle every-down duties in the Minnesota backfield. That concentrates the rushing workload for the matchup with Indianapolis. ESPN
MIN since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)
Gardner plays down calf injury ahead of Vikings trip
Colts cornerback Sauce Gardner, who left the Week 6 loss to Tennessee with a calf injury, says he is not worried about the issue. That points to him being available for Sunday at Minnesota, keeping Indianapolis' top cover man in the secondary. Indianapolis Colts (team site)
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Warren sits out Wednesday practice with groin issue
Colts tight end Tyler Warren did not practice Wednesday because of a groin injury suffered late last week. His status for Sunday at Minnesota is in question, which would thin Indianapolis' passing game. ProFootballTalk
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Colts add Hardman, Morstead to practice squad
Indianapolis signed receiver Mecole Hardman and punter Thomas Morstead to the practice squad and released receiver Eli Pancol. The additions give the Colts depth options at receiver and punter ahead of their next game. Indianapolis Colts (team site)
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Pierce still not practicing, eligible return delayed
Colts receiver Alec Pierce is eligible to come off injured reserve but is not yet ready to practice. That points to him missing the trip to Minnesota. ProFootballTalk
IND since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move)
Vikings open practice window for running back Jordan Mason
Minnesota says Jordan Mason will resume practicing during Week 7. That puts the running back on track to rejoin the backfield rotation against Indianapolis. Minnesota Vikings (team site)
MIN since this note: −5.5 → −6.5 (−1.0)
Gardner week-to-week with calf strain
Colts cornerback Sauce Gardner left Sunday's game with what is reported as a mild calf strain and is considered week-to-week. His availability at Minnesota is in doubt, weakening Indianapolis' top coverage option. ProFootballTalk
IND since this note: +5.5 → +6.5 (+1.0)
Colts fire general manager Chris Ballard
Indianapolis has dismissed general manager Chris Ballard, announced by owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon. The front-office shakeup does not directly change the lineup but signals organizational upheaval heading into the Vikings game. Indianapolis Colts (team site)
IND since this note: +5.5 → +6.5 (+1.0)
Steichen backs Daniel Jones as Colts' starter
Colts coach Shane Steichen said Daniel Jones remains the team's starting quarterback. Jones signed a two-year extension in the offseason while coming back from an Achilles tear. The statement settles the quarterback question heading into the Minnesota game. ProFootballTalk
IND since this note: +5.5 → +6.5 (+1.0)
Line moves 1 toward the Vikings after last week's results
The consensus spread on Colts at Vikings has moved from −5 to −6 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
MIN since this note: −6 → −6.5 (−0.5)
Total drops 1.5 for Colts at Vikings after last week's results
The consensus total on Colts at Vikings has moved from 43.5 to 42. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
MIN since this note: −6 → −6.5 (−0.5)
Injury Report
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB Sauce Gardner Sun 2:53 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| CB Sauce Gardner Mon 12:53 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.5 | — |
| TE Tyler Warren Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| LB Jaylon Carlies Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| RT Jalen Travis Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| NB Justin Walley Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| G Matt Goncalves Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Bryce Boettcher Wed 4:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| TE Tyler Warren Fri 1:08 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | — |
| CB Sauce Gardner Fri 3:51 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Alec Pierce (WR · IR · since Week 3), Arden Key (DL · IR · since Week 5).
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| TE T.J. Hockenson Wed 3:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| WR Justin Jefferson Wed 5:44 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| CB James Pierre Wed 5:44 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| RT Brian O'Neill Wed 5:44 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Donovan Jackson (OL · IR · since Week 5).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Vikings side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −6.5 | −115 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.4% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Kalshi | −7 | — | −277 | 1.36 | 73.5% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| DraftKings | −6.5 | −115 | −325 | 1.31 | 73.4% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| FanDuel | −6.5 | −115 | −330 | 1.30 | 73.7% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetMGM | −6.5 | −115 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.4% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Caesars | −6.5 | −112 | −295 | 1.34 | 71.7% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Fanatics | −6.5 | −115 | −300 | 1.33 | 71.8% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetRivers | −6.5 | −108 | −295 | 1.34 | 71.1% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetOnline | −6.5 | −113 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.1% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Bovada | −6.5 | −115 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.4% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| LowVig | −6.5 | −110 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.1% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| MyBookie | −6.5 | −110 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.3% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetUS | −6.5 | −115 | −300 | 1.33 | 72.4% | 41.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
Best for IND: DraftKings +6.5 (−105)Best for MIN: BetRivers −6.5 (−108)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Colts side is the mirror image.