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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM ET

New York Giants at Houston Texans

Texans −7 at our first look, −10.5 now. 23 injury reports on file. Team pages: Giants · Texans

The read so far

News: Giants −1.6 · Texans −0.7 → favors the Texans by 1.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward the Texans. Moved past our number

New York Giants −1.6

S Jevon Holland
Active → Questionable → Out · 2 DB starters out
Out−0.8
CB Greg Newsome II
Questionable → Out · 2 DB starters out
Out−0.4
LB Tremaine Edmunds
Active → Questionable → Out → IR
IR−0.4
LT Andrew Thomas
Active → Questionable → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.3
S Tyler Nubin
Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable+0.3
RT Jermaine Eluemunor
Out → Questionable → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable+0.2
LB Kayvon Thibodeaux
Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1
WR Darnell Mooney
Active → Questionable · 0.1 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

Houston Texans −0.7

S Reed Blankenship
Active → Questionable → Out · 2 DB starters out
Out−0.5
LB Henry To'oTo'o
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.1

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Texans lineHouston Texans spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Houston.
−11−10−9−8−7Opening line−7Market move, no reported newsSun 8:39 AM−0.5NYG LT Thomas questionableSun 7:20 PM−0.6NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun 7:20 PM−0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:20 PM−0.9Tank Dell set to return for Texansagainst GiantsTue 2:52 AM−0.5HOU RB Montgomery upgradedWed 2:24 PM−0.5Line now−10.5
−11−10−9−8−7Opening line−7Market move, no reported newsSun 8:39 AM−0.5NYG LT Thomas questionableSun 7:20 PM−0.6NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun 7:20 PM−0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:20 PM−0.9Tank Dell set to return for Texans againstGiantsTue 2:52 AM−0.5HOU RB Montgomery upgradedWed 2:24 PM−0.5Line now−10.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 18, 8:39 AM ET-0.5
NYG LT Thomas questionableSun Oct 18, 7:20 PM ET-0.6
NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun Oct 18, 7:20 PM ET-0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:20 PM ET-0.9
Tank Dell set to return for Texans against GiantsTue Oct 20, 2:52 AM ET-0.5
HOU RB Montgomery upgradedWed Oct 21, 2:24 PM ET-0.5
Line now−10.5
What moved the Texans moneylineHouston Texans moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Houston.
−355−400−456−525−614Opening line−357Market move, no reported newsSun 8:39 AM−393NYG LT Thomas questionableSun 7:20 PM−441NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun 7:20 PM−485Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:20 PM−585Tank Dell set to return for Texansagainst GiantsTue 2:52 AM−635HOU RB Montgomery upgradedWed 2:24 PM−663Less than the spread implies−395Line now−395
−355−400−456−525−614Opening line−357Market move, no reported newsSun 8:39 AM−393NYG LT Thomas questionableSun 7:20 PM−441NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun 7:20 PM−485Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:20 PM−585Tank Dell set to return for Texans againstGiantsTue 2:52 AM−635HOU RB Montgomery upgradedWed 2:24 PM−663Less than the spread implies−395Line now−395
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line78.1% (−357)
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 18, 8:39 AM ET79.7% (−393)
NYG LT Thomas questionableSun Oct 18, 7:20 PM ET81.5% (−441)
NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun Oct 18, 7:20 PM ET82.9% (−485)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:20 PM ET85.4% (−585)
Tank Dell set to return for Texans against GiantsTue Oct 20, 2:52 AM ET86.4% (−635)
HOU RB Montgomery upgradedWed Oct 21, 2:24 PM ET86.9% (−663)
Less than the spread implies79.8% (−395)
Line now79.8% (−395)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
41424344Opening line41.5NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun 7:30 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:30 PM+1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:11 AM−0.5HOU NB Pitre upgradedThu 11:04 AM−0.5Line now42.5
41424344Opening line41.5NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun 7:30 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:30 PM+1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:11 AM−0.5HOU NB Pitre upgradedThu 11:04 AM−0.5Line now42.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line41.5
NYG LB Edmunds to injured reserveSun Oct 18, 7:30 PM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:30 PM ET+1.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 19, 11:11 AM ET-0.5
HOU NB Pitre upgradedThu Oct 22, 11:04 AM ET-0.5
Line now42.5

Notes

RosterSat Oct 24, 6:28 PM · NYG

McCarthy takes over at quarterback for Giants, Winston to bench

The Giants will start J.J. McCarthy at quarterback in place of Jameis Winston, with the coaching staff praising his skill set after four weeks with the team. A change at quarterback directly affects how New York attacks Houston. CBS Sports

NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

RosterSat Oct 24, 5:28 PM · HOU

Texans activate Tank Dell, set to play first game since 2024

Houston moved receiver Tank Dell to the active roster ahead of Sunday's game against the Giants. It will be his first appearance in nearly two years, adding a pass-catching option to the Texans offense. ProFootballTalk

HOU since this note: −10.5 → −10.5 (no move)

RosterSat Oct 24, 5:48 PM · NYG

Giants get Adebo back at corner, Edmunds to IR

New York activated cornerback Paulson Adebo ahead of the Week 7 game at Houston and placed linebacker Tremaine Edmunds on injured reserve. Adebo's return strengthens a secondary that will be missing other pieces against the Texans. New York Giants (team site)

NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

InjurySat Oct 24, 2:04 PM · NYG

Giants rule out Holland and Johnson for Houston trip

New York ruled out safety Jevon Holland and tight end Theo Johnson for Week 7 at Houston. Both are starters, weakening the Giants' secondary and passing game. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 5:14 PM · HOU

Texans rule out Montgomery, Pitre and two others for Giants game

Houston will be without four contributors on Sunday, including running back David Montgomery and defensive back Jalen Pitre. That thins both the backfield and the secondary against the Giants. ProFootballTalk

HOU since this note: −10.5 → −10.5 (no move)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 4:34 PM · NYG

Giants lose linebacker Edmunds for rest of season

Tremaine Edmunds is out for Sunday's game at Houston and is reported to miss the remainder of the season with a shoulder injury. The Giants lose a starting linebacker for the rest of the year, weakening their run defense. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

RosterFri Oct 23, 4:14 PM · NYG

Skattebo set for larger role in Giants backfield at Houston

Cam Skattebo is expected to be back in New York's running back rotation Sunday after being limited to six snaps and no carries in Week 6 following a costly overtime fumble. His return changes the Giants' backfield workload split. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

InjuryThu Oct 22, 7:20 PM · HOU

Texans get Al-Shaair, Schultz, Brown back at Thursday practice

Linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair, tight end Dalton Schultz and tackle Trent Brown practiced Thursday after sitting out Wednesday. Their return improves Houston's chances of having key starters available against the Giants. ProFootballTalk

HOU since this note: −10.5 → −10.5 (no move)

RosterFri Oct 23, 8:17 PM · NYG

Giants Turn to J.J. McCarthy at Quarterback

New York Giants now list J.J. McCarthy as the starting quarterback on their depth chart, replacing Jameis Winston. On our ratings that is a downgrade of about 0.5 points a game.

Not priced in NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

InjuryWed Oct 21, 6:51 PM · HOU

Tank Dell set to play Sunday in first game since 2024 knee injury

Texans receiver Tank Dell says he is prepared to return against the Giants, his first game action since a severe knee injury in December 2024. His return adds a downfield threat to Houston's receiving corps. ESPN

HOU since this note: −10.5 → −10.5 (no move)

RosterWed Oct 21, 5:49 PM · NYG

Giants open Adebo's return window, add lineman Sills

Cornerback Paulson Adebo was designated to return from injured reserve and practiced Wednesday, putting him in play for the Giants' trip to Houston. New York also signed offensive lineman Josh Sills to the active roster. New York Giants (team site)

NYG since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)

RosterWed Oct 21, 12:13 PM · NYG

McCarthy set to start at quarterback for Giants in Houston

A report says the Giants will start J.J. McCarthy at quarterback against the Texans this week. A change at quarterback alters the offense's look and the game's pricing. ESPN

NYG since this note: +10 → +10.5 (+0.5)

RosterTue Oct 20, 5:33 PM · NYG

Giants add linebacker Trace Ford to active roster

New York signed linebacker Trace Ford to the active roster as part of a set of Tuesday roster moves. It adds depth at linebacker ahead of the trip to Houston. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +10 → +10.5 (+0.5)

RosterTue Oct 20, 11:47 AM · NYG

Giants to cut running back Najee Harris

New York is releasing running back Najee Harris days after he voiced frustration with how carries were divided. His exit clears the backfield for the remaining backs ahead of the Houston game. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +10 → +10.5 (+0.5)

RosterTue Oct 20, 10:26 AM · NYG

Giants cut linebacker Jihad Ward

The Giants have released linebacker Jihad Ward, ending his second run with the team. It is a depth move that trims their front seven heading into the Houston game. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +9.5 → +10.5 (+1.0)

InjuryMon Oct 19, 4:23 PM · HOU

Tank Dell set to return for Texans against Giants

Texans receiver Tank Dell will play Sunday against the Giants, his first game since a serious knee injury in 2024. His return adds a pass-catching option to Houston's offense. ESPN

HOU since this note: −9.5 → −10.5 (−1.0)

Team SaysMon Oct 19, 4:08 PM · NYG

Giants coach says Week 7 starting QB call is close

New York's head coach said the staff is narrowing down its choice at quarterback for Week 7 after J.J. McCarthy relieved Jameis Winston late Sunday and performed well. The decision is still open, leaving the starter for the trip to Houston unsettled. ProFootballTalk

NYG since this note: +9.5 → +10.5 (+1.0)

MarketSun Oct 18, 7:42 PM · HOU

Total rises 2 for Giants at Texans

The consensus total on Giants at Texans has moved from 41.5 to 43.5, with 3 of 4 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move followed the report: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) Active to Questionable.

HOU since this note: −8.5 → −10.5 (−2.0)

MarketMon Oct 19, 1:26 PM · HOU

Line moves 2 on the news: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) Active to Questionable

The consensus spread on Giants at Texans has moved from −7.5 to −9.5 (home side). The move followed the report: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) Active to Questionable.

HOU since this note: −8.5 → −10.5 (−2.0)

InjurySun Oct 18, 11:57 AM · HOU

Texans safety Blankenship concussed in London

Houston starting safety Reed Blankenship left the game against Jacksonville in the second quarter with a concussion. He must clear the concussion protocol, putting his availability for the Week 7 home game against the Giants in doubt. ESPN

HOU since this note: −7.5 → −10.5 (−3.0)

MarketSun Oct 18, 10:53 PM · HOU

Line moves 2.5 on the news: Henry To'oTo'o (LB) Questionable to Cleared

The consensus spread on Giants at Texans has moved from −7 to −9.5 (home side), with 7 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move followed the report: Henry To'oTo'o (LB) Questionable to Cleared.

HOU since this note: −7.5 → −10.5 (−3.0)

Injury Report

New York Giants

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LT Andrew Thomas
Sun 3:51 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 —
WR Darnell Mooney
Sun 3:51 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LB Tremaine Edmunds
Sun 5:50 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
S Tyler Nubin
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 —
RT Jermaine Eluemunor
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.2 —
LB Kayvon Thibodeaux
Wed 4:43 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
LT Andrew Thomas
Wed 4:43 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 —
S Jevon Holland
Wed 4:43 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —
CB Greg Newsome II
Fri 5:12 PM
Questionable → Out+0.4 —
LB Tremaine Edmunds
Fri 5:12 PM
Questionable → Out+0.2 —
RT Jermaine Eluemunor
Fri 10:39 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
S Jevon Holland
Sat 1:19 PM
Questionable → Out+0.4 —
LB Tremaine Edmunds
Sat 5:25 PM
Out → IR0.0 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Jaxson Dart (QB · IR · since Week 3), Chauncey Golston (DL · IR · since Week 5), Paulson Adebo (DB · IR, designated to return · since Week 2), Brian Burns (LB · IR · since Week 4).

Houston Texans

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
NB Jalen Pitre
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Doubtful−0.0 —
RB David Montgomery
Tue 12:25 PM
Out → Questionable−0.0 —
TE Dalton Schultz
Wed 5:44 PM
Active → Questionable+0.0 —
NB Jalen Pitre
Wed 5:44 PM
Doubtful → Questionable−0.5 —
LB Henry To'oTo'o
Wed 5:44 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 —
RB David Montgomery
Thu 3:25 PM
Questionable → Doubtful+0.0 —
S Reed Blankenship
Thu 8:31 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —
RB David Montgomery
Fri 4:52 PM
Doubtful → Out+0.0 —
NB Jalen Pitre
Fri 4:52 PM
Questionable → Out+0.5 —
S Reed Blankenship
Fri 4:52 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 —

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Texans side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10.5 −107−5001.20 79.8%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Kalshi−10 —−4131.24 80.5%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
DraftKings−10.5 −108−5351.19 80.8%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
FanDuel−10.5 −104−5001.20 80.2%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetMGM−10.5 −108−5251.19 80.8%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Caesars−10.5 −105−4801.21 79.2%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Fanatics−10.5 −105−5001.20 79.7%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetRivers−10 −114−5001.20 79.8%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetOnline−10.5 −107−4851.21 79.7%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
Bovada−10.5 −105−4901.20 79.1%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
LowVig−10.5 −102−4851.21 79.7%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
MyBookie−10.5 −110−4951.20 79.7%42.5Sun 7:21 AM
BetUS−10.5 −110−5001.20 80.3%42.5Sun 7:21 AM

Best for NYG: BetMGM +10.5 (−110)Best for HOU: BetRivers −10 (−114)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Giants side is the mirror image.