Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
Falcons +4.5 at our first look, +2.5 now. 18 injury reports on file. Team pages: 49ers · Falcons
The read so far
News: 49ers −0.7 · Falcons −0.0 → favors the Falcons by 0.6. Market: moved 2 toward the Falcons. Moved past our number
San Francisco 49ers −0.7
| WR Mike Evans Active → Questionable → Out |
Out | −0.7 |
| LB Dre Greenlaw Suspended → Returning |
Returning | +0.2 |
| NB Upton Stout Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Atlanta Falcons −0.0
| CB A.J. Terrell Jr. IR → Returning |
Returning | +0.6 |
| LB Divine Deablo Active → Questionable → Out |
Out | −0.2 |
| NB Billy Bowman Jr. Active → Questionable → Out |
Out | −0.2 |
| DT Gervon Dexter Sr. Active → Questionable · 0.6 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +4.5 | |
| SF WR Evans ruled out | Tue Oct 20, 12:17 AM ET | -1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Tue Oct 20, 12:17 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Falcons open practice window for top corner Terrell | Thu Oct 22, 8:30 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | +2.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 31.0% (+223) | |
| SF WR Evans ruled out | Tue Oct 20, 12:17 AM ET | 37.1% (+170) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Tue Oct 20, 12:17 AM ET | 38.1% (+162) |
| Falcons open practice window for top corner Terrell | Thu Oct 22, 8:30 AM ET | 39.6% (+153) |
| Price-only move | 43.2% (+131) | |
| Line now | 43.2% (+131) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 49.5 | |
| ATL NB Bowman Jr. ruled out | Sun Oct 18, 6:18 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Sun Oct 18, 6:18 PM ET | +1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Oct 19, 8:40 PM ET | +0.5 |
| SF WR Evans ruled out | Tue Oct 20, 12:17 AM ET | -1 |
| SF EDGE Bosa upgraded | Tue Oct 20, 4:16 PM ET | -1 |
| SF NB Stout questionable | Tue Oct 20, 9:25 PM ET | +0.5 |
| SF EDGE Bosa ruled out | Sat Oct 24, 7:55 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 50.5 |
Notes
49ers activate Christian Kirk from IR for Atlanta trip
San Francisco brought receiver Christian Kirk back from injured reserve ahead of its game at Atlanta, releasing defensive lineman Kevin Givens and elevating Jalen Graham and Ogbo Okoronkwo from the practice squad. Kirk's return adds a proven target to the 49ers' passing game for Sunday. San Francisco 49ers (team site)
SF since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Falcons activate cornerback A.J. Terrell before 49ers game
Atlanta activated A.J. Terrell as part of a set of roster moves ahead of Sunday's game against San Francisco. His return strengthens the Falcons secondary against the 49ers passing game. Atlanta Falcons (team site)
ATL since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Bosa among 49ers ruled out at Atlanta
San Francisco has ruled out several players for Sunday's game at Atlanta, including pass rusher Nick Bosa. The absences weaken the 49ers' defense against the Falcons. ProFootballTalk
SF since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Both Terrell brothers questionable for Falcons against 49ers
Atlanta listed cornerbacks A.J. Terrell and Avieon Terrell as questionable for Sunday's game with San Francisco. Losing both would thin the Falcons' secondary against the 49ers' passing game. ProFootballTalk
ATL since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
49ers Cut Defensive Lineman Okoronkwo
San Francisco released defensive lineman Ogbo Okoronkwo. The move thins the team's edge rotation heading into Sunday's game at Atlanta. San Francisco 49ers (team site)
SF since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)
Falcons rule out Robinson and Deablo for Sunday against San Francisco
Atlanta has ruled out running back Brian Robinson and linebacker Divine Deablo for the home game with the 49ers. Several other players remain questionable, leaving the Falcons thinner in the backfield and at linebacker. Atlanta Falcons (team site)
ATL since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Falcons add Dexter to injury report with hamstring issue
Atlanta listed defensive lineman Gervon Dexter Sr. on Thursday's injury report with a hamstring problem ahead of Sunday's game against San Francisco. The team also opened a 21-day practice window for Cameron Williams. Atlanta Falcons (team site)
ATL since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Falcons cut rookie defensive back DeWalt
Atlanta released defensive back Malcolm DeWalt IV, an undrafted rookie who signed earlier this year. It is a depth move that trims the secondary ahead of Sunday's game with San Francisco. Atlanta Falcons (team site)
ATL since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Bosa, Evans to sit out Wednesday practice for 49ers
Nick Bosa and Mike Evans will not practice Wednesday as San Francisco prepares for Atlanta. Their practice status bears on whether both are available Sunday. ProFootballTalk
SF since this note: −3 → −2.5 (+0.5)
Falcons rookie Daniels back at practice days after stretcher scare
Rookie linebacker Kendal Daniels returned to practice Wednesday, three days after being carted off on a stretcher with an apparent neck injury. His quick return suggests he avoided a serious problem and could be available for Atlanta's next game. ProFootballTalk
ATL since this note: +3 → +2.5 (−0.5)
Falcons open practice window for top corner Terrell
A.J. Terrell has resumed practicing after a groin injury, starting a 21-day window for Atlanta to activate him from injured reserve. The Falcons' No. 1 cornerback could return to the secondary in the coming weeks. Atlanta Falcons (team site)
ATL since this note: +3 → +2.5 (−0.5)
49ers cut defensive lineman Naquan Jones
San Francisco released defensive lineman Naquan Jones. The move thins the interior defensive line rotation ahead of the trip to Atlanta. San Francisco 49ers (team site)
SF since this note: −3 → −2.5 (+0.5)
Falcons cut linebacker Trice, add Quinn to practice squad
Atlanta released linebacker Bralen Trice, a former third-round pick who had played in four games this season, and signed TJ Quinn to the practice squad. The move thins Atlanta's edge depth ahead of Sunday's game with San Francisco. Atlanta Falcons (team site)
ATL since this note: +3 → +2.5 (−0.5)
Total drops 2 for 49ers at Falcons after last week's results
The consensus total on 49ers at Falcons has moved from 50.5 to 48.5, with 5 of 10 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
ATL since this note: +3 → +2.5 (−0.5)
Falcons add edge rusher Snowden to roster
Atlanta is signing linebacker Charles Snowden to bolster its pass rush. It is a depth addition ahead of the home game with San Francisco. ProFootballTalk
ATL since this note: +3.5 → +2.5 (−1.0)
Shanahan expects Evans back for 49ers at Atlanta
Mike Evans left Monday night's game after aggravating an Achilles issue, but coach Kyle Shanahan said the injury is not considered long-term. He expects Evans to be available Sunday at Atlanta. ProFootballTalk
SF since this note: −3.5 → −2.5 (+1.0)
Total drops 1.5 for 49ers at Falcons after last week's results
The consensus total on 49ers at Falcons has moved from 51 to 49.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
ATL since this note: +3.5 → +2.5 (−1.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Falcons ahead of the news
The consensus spread on 49ers at Falcons has moved from +4.5 to +3 (home side). The market started moving 0h 38m before the report: Mike Evans (WR1) Active to Questionable.
ATL since this note: +4 → +2.5 (−1.5)
Line moves 2 toward the Falcons ahead of the news
The consensus spread on 49ers at Falcons has moved from +5 to +3 (home side). The market started moving 1h 09m before the report: Mike Evans (WR1) Active to Questionable.
ATL since this note: +5 → +2.5 (−2.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Falcons ahead of the news
The consensus spread on 49ers at Falcons has moved from +4.5 to +3 (home side), with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 3h 13m before the report: Mike Evans (WR1) Active to Questionable.
ATL since this note: +4 → +2.5 (−1.5)
Falcons swap backup QBs, adding Dalton and releasing Rush
Atlanta is signing veteran quarterback Andy Dalton and cutting Cooper Rush. The move changes who backs up the Falcons' starter heading into the Week 7 game with San Francisco. ProFootballTalk
ATL since this note: +4.5 → +2.5 (−2.0)
Injury Report
San Francisco 49ers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Mike Evans Mon 11:53 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| S Marques Sigle Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| EDGE Nick Bosa Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.6 | — |
| NB Upton Stout Tue 6:52 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Dre Greenlaw Tue 8:13 PM |
Suspended → Returning | −0.2 | — |
| LB Jaden Dugger Wed 8:06 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| EDGE Nick Bosa Fri 4:52 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.6 | — |
| WR Mike Evans Fri 4:52 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.4 | — |
| S Marques Sigle Fri 5:12 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Demarcus Robinson (WR · IR · since Week 3), Alfred Collins (DL · IR · since Week 1).
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| NB Billy Bowman Jr. Sun 3:36 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| CB C.J. Henderson Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| LB Za'Darius Smith Wed 7:25 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| LB Divine Deablo Wed 9:28 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| DT Gervon Dexter Sr. Thu 5:50 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Kendal Daniels Thu 5:50 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| NB Billy Bowman Jr. Fri 1:49 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | — |
| LB Divine Deablo Fri 1:49 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | — |
| CB A.J. Terrell Jr. Sat 4:24 PM |
IR → Returning | −0.6 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: A.J. Terrell (DB · IR, designated to return · since Week 3), Da'Shawn Hand (DL · IR · since Week 2).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Falcons side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +2.5 | −105 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.2% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Kalshi | +2.5 | — | +135 | 2.35 | 42.5% | 50 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | −105 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| FanDuel | +2.5 | −104 | +124 | 2.24 | 42.9% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetMGM | +2.5 | −105 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.4% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Caesars | +2.5 | +100 | +125 | 2.25 | 42.7% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Fanatics | +2.5 | +100 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.4% | 50 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetRivers | +2.5 | −105 | +125 | 2.25 | 42.6% | 50 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetOnline | +2.5 | −108 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.8% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Bovada | +2.5 | −105 | +125 | 2.25 | 42.9% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| LowVig | +2.5 | −103 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.8% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| MyBookie | +2.5 | −110 | +123 | 2.23 | 43.0% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetUS | +2 | +100 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.8% | 50.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
Best for SF: BetMGM −2.5 (−112)Best for ATL: Caesars +2.5 (+100)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The 49ers side is the mirror image.