Week 7 · Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Panthers −2.5 at our first look, −3 now. 15 injury reports on file. Team pages: Buccaneers · Panthers
Conditions · Bank of America Stadium: Forecast 64°F, wind 11 mph, 0% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Buccaneers −0.5 · Panthers −0.1 → favors the Panthers by 0.5. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Panthers.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers −0.5
| RT Luke Goedeke Active → Questionable → Out |
Out | −0.6 |
| QB Baker Mayfield Out → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.5 |
| EDGE Calijah Kancey Active → Questionable · 1.0 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.4 |
| CB Benjamin Morrison Out → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.3 |
| CB Zyon McCollum Active → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| RB Bucky Irving Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Carolina Panthers −0.1
| LB Jaelan Phillips Active → Questionable → Doubtful → Out |
Out | −0.4 |
| RT Monroe Freeling Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 37% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| EDGE TeRah Edwards Out → Returning |
Returning | +0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 15, 1:29 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | −3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 59.0% (−144) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 15, 1:29 PM ET | 60.5% (−153) |
| Less than the spread implies | 58.2% (−139) | |
| Line now | 58.2% (−139) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 43.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Sun Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET | +1 |
| Line now | 44.5 |
Notes
Bucs elevate LB Fordham after Rozeboom lands on IR
Tampa Bay elevated linebacker Caden Fordham from the practice squad for Sunday's game at Carolina. The move follows Christian Rozeboom being placed on injured reserve, leaving the Bucs thin at linebacker. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (team site)
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Daniels set as Bucs' backup QB at Carolina
Jalon Daniels is active and expected to serve as Tampa Bay's No. 2 quarterback Sunday at Carolina. Baker Mayfield, dealing with a thumb injury, is still expected to start, making Daniels the first option if Mayfield cannot continue. ESPN player news
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mayfield cleared to start at Carolina despite thumb injury
Baker Mayfield has been cleared to play Sunday at Carolina after dealing with a right thumb issue, though he carries a questionable tag. Tampa Bay keeps its starting quarterback for the division game. ESPN player news
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Bucs rule out Egbuka, Goedeke and Winfield for Carolina trip
Tampa Bay's final injury report ahead of Sunday's game at Carolina lists receiver Emeka Egbuka, lineman Cody Goedeke and safety Antoine Winfield Jr. as out. Baker Mayfield remains questionable. The absences thin both the passing game and the secondary. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (team site)
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Panthers pass rush thinned: Phillips, Incoom out vs. Bucs
Carolina ruled out edge rushers Jaelan Phillips and Thomas Incoom for Sunday against Tampa Bay. Rookie tackle Monroe Freeling is questionable despite full practices all week. The absences weaken the Panthers' pass rush. Carolina Panthers (team site)
CAR since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Bucs activate Sills, lose Rozeboom to injured reserve
Tampa Bay brought receiver David Sills back from injured reserve, making him available against Carolina. Linebacker Christian Rozeboom went on IR with a finger injury and will miss at least four games, thinning the defense. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (team site)
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Irving back at Bucs practice; Egbuka still sidelined
Running back Bucky Irving returned to practice Thursday after sitting out Wednesday, pointing toward a possible Week 7 return at Carolina. Receiver Emeka Egbuka remained out of practice. ProFootballTalk
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mayfield again full in Thursday practice, listed questionable
Baker Mayfield practiced fully Thursday with his injured right thumb and carries a questionable tag into the Carolina game. Back-to-back full sessions point toward the starting quarterback playing. ESPN player news
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mayfield says thumb strong enough to play against Panthers
Baker Mayfield indicated his dislocated right thumb has healed enough for him to play, pointing to a Week 7 return at Carolina. His availability would keep Tampa Bay's starting quarterback in place. ProFootballTalk
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mayfield full participant Wednesday despite thumb issue
Baker Mayfield took part fully in Wednesday's practice while dealing with a right thumb injury and remains questionable. A full session points toward him starting at Carolina. ESPN player news
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Phillips sits out Panthers' first practice of week
Edge rusher Jaelan Phillips did not practice Wednesday for Carolina. His availability against Tampa Bay is in doubt, which would weaken the Panthers' pass rush. ProFootballTalk
CAR since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Bucs to settle Mayfield's status by Friday
Tampa Bay coach Todd Bowles said a decision on whether Baker Mayfield starts Sunday at Carolina will come Friday. Mayfield has a chance to play after an injury to his throwing hand, leaving the Bucs' quarterback spot unsettled for now. ProFootballTalk
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mayfield throws in practice with glove on injured hand
Baker Mayfield took part in Wednesday's practice and threw while wearing a glove on his injured right thumb. It is a sign the Bucs quarterback is trending toward playing Sunday at Carolina despite his questionable tag. ESPN player news
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Panthers promote RB Tre Tyus to 53-man roster ahead of Bucs game
Carolina added running back and special teams contributor Tre Tyus to the active roster Wednesday before hosting Tampa Bay. The team also opened the practice window for linebacker Bam Martin-Scott. Carolina Panthers (team site)
CAR since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Panthers cut tackle Albert Reese
Carolina waived offensive tackle Albert Reese on Tuesday. He was a depth piece, so the move has little effect on the starting line. ProFootballTalk
CAR since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Mayfield questionable for Bucs at Carolina
Tampa Bay lists Baker Mayfield as questionable for Sunday's game at Carolina. The Buccaneers have been preparing for Teddy Daniels to start if Mayfield cannot go. ESPN player news
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Moton back at right tackle for Panthers after heavy workload in win
Veteran right tackle Taylor Moton returned from injury and handled a full workload in Carolina's victory over Philadelphia. His health restores the Panthers' starting line and lets rookie Monroe Freeling develop in a reserve role. Carolina Panthers (team site)
CAR since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Bucs plan for Daniels to start at Carolina even as Mayfield practices
Todd Bowles said Baker Mayfield will practice Wednesday but Tampa Bay will prepare as though Jalon Daniels starts at quarterback. That leaves the Bucs' Week 7 starter at Carolina unsettled, with the backup the likelier option. ESPN
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mayfield expected back at practice Wednesday for Bucs
Baker Mayfield sat out a third consecutive game Sunday, but Tampa Bay expects him to return to practice Wednesday. That puts his availability for the Week 7 trip to Carolina in play. ProFootballTalk
TB since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Antoine Winfield Jr. Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Doubtful | −0.0 | — |
| QB Baker Mayfield Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | — |
| CB Benjamin Morrison Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| RB Bucky Irving Wed 3:42 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| EDGE Calijah Kancey Wed 3:42 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.4 | — |
| RT Luke Goedeke Wed 3:42 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| CB Zyon McCollum Wed 3:42 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| S Antoine Winfield Jr. Thu 11:41 AM |
Doubtful → Questionable | −0.4 | — |
| S Antoine Winfield Jr. Fri 1:29 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.4 | — |
| RT Luke Goedeke Fri 1:29 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.4 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jalen McMillan (WR · IR · since Week 4).
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDGE TeRah Edwards Mon 12:53 PM |
Out → Returning | −0.1 | — |
| RT Monroe Freeling Tue 12:25 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| LB Jaelan Phillips Wed 3:22 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Jaelan Phillips Thu 10:40 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.2 | — |
| LB Jaelan Phillips Fri 1:08 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jaycee Horn (DB · IR · since Week 4), Mike Jackson (DB · IR · since Week 4).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Panthers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −102 | −153 | 1.65 | 58.2% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Kalshi | −3 | — | −147 | 1.68 | 59.5% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −102 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −122 | −158 | 1.63 | 58.9% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −102 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.1% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Caesars | −3 | +100 | −152 | 1.66 | 58.0% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −105 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −106 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.4% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −102 | −150 | 1.67 | 58.0% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| Bovada | −3 | −105 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.1% | 45 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| LowVig | −3 | −101 | −150 | 1.67 | 58.0% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| MyBookie | −3 | +100 | −153 | 1.65 | 58.2% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
| BetUS | −2.5 | −120 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.9% | 44.5 | Sun 7:21 AM |
Best for TB: BetMGM +3 (−115)Best for CAR: FanDuel −2.5 (−122)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Buccaneers side is the mirror image.