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Every book · every report · every result
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 8 · Early Edition

Week 8 · Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

Bills −2.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 0 injury reports on file. Team pages: Ravens · Bills

Conditions · Highmark Stadium: Forecast 62°F, wind 4 mph, 18% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Ravens 0.0 · Bills 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward the Bills.

Baltimore Ravens 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Buffalo Bills 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Bills lineBuffalo Bills spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Buffalo.
−4−3−2Opening line−2.5Market move, no reported newsWed 6:33 PM−0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:23 PM−0.5Line now−3.5
−4−3−2Opening line−2.5Market move, no reported newsWed 6:33 PM−0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:23 PM−0.5Line now−3.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−2.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Oct 21, 6:33 PM ET-0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 7:23 PM ET-0.5
Line now−3.5
What moved the Bills moneylineBuffalo Bills moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Buffalo.
−138−150−163−178Opening line−136Market move, no reported newsWed 6:33 PM−145Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:23 PM−179Less than the spread implies−167Line now−167
−138−150−163−178Opening line−136Market move, no reported newsWed 6:33 PM−145Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:23 PM−179Less than the spread implies−167Line now−167
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.7% (−136)
Market move, no reported newsWed Oct 21, 6:33 PM ET59.2% (−145)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 7:23 PM ET64.2% (−179)
Less than the spread implies62.6% (−167)
Line now62.6% (−167)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
525354Opening line52.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:40 PM+1Line now53.5
525354Opening line52.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:40 PM+1Line now53.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 5:40 PM ET+1
Line now53.5

Notes

InjurySun Oct 25, 9:04 AM · BAL

Jackson expected back for Ravens in Week 8 at Buffalo

Lamar Jackson is out Sunday against Cincinnati with an ankle injury but was reportedly close to playing. He is seen as likely to return for the Week 8 game at Buffalo. ESPN player news

BAL since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)

DisciplineFri Oct 23, 12:50 PM · BUF

Bills safety Franklin avoids suspension, fined instead

Sam Franklin's one-game ban for spitting at a Raiders player in Week 6 was cut to a fine on appeal. He remains available to Buffalo, mainly in special teams and reserve defensive roles. ProFootballTalk

BUF since this note: −3 → −3.5 (−0.5)

DisciplineWed Oct 21, 9:31 AM · BUF

Bills safety Franklin hit with one-game ban for spitting incident

Buffalo safety Sam Franklin has been suspended one game by the league for spitting at a Raiders player. He will be unavailable, thinning the Bills' safety and special teams depth. ProFootballTalk

BUF since this note: −2.5 → −3.5 (−1.0)

RosterMon Oct 19, 5:00 PM · BUF

Bills reunite with veteran corner Tre'Davious White

Buffalo is bringing cornerback Tre'Davious White back to the roster. The move adds experienced depth to a secondary that could be short-handed. ProFootballTalk

DisciplineMon Oct 19, 10:43 AM · BUF

Gardner-Johnson could draw suspension after spitting ejection

Bills safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson, ejected for spitting, may face a league suspension. If banned, Buffalo would be without a starting safety for its next game. ProFootballTalk

Injury Report

Baltimore Ravens

Nothing on the report.

Out long-term, already in the line: Tavius Robinson (LB · IR · since Week 7), Jovaughn Gwyn (OL · IR · since Week 4).

Buffalo Bills

Nothing on the report.

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Bills side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3.5 −102−1901.53 62.6%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
Kalshi−3.5 —−1741.57 63.5%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−3.5 −102−1921.52 63.1%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
FanDuel−3.5 −104−1861.54 62.5%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetMGM−3.5 −102−1901.53 62.6%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
Caesars−3.5 −103−1901.53 62.6%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetRivers−3.5 −105−1821.55 61.7%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetOnline−3.5 +102—— —53Mon 2:29 AM
LowVig−3.5 +107—— —53Mon 2:29 AM
MyBookie−3.5 −110−1911.52 62.5%53.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetUS−3.5 +100—— —53.5Mon 2:29 AM

Best for BAL: BetRivers +3.5 (−117)Best for BUF: DraftKings −3.5 (−102)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Ravens side is the mirror image.