NFL · 2026 season · 3–1 against the closing spread
Buffalo Bills
Next: Bills at Rams, Mon Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET. Bills +3, opened +2.5, total 54.5. Priced in
Bills Injury Report · Week 5
| Player | Pos | Status this week | Worth (pts) | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Benford | CB | Out → Questionable | -0.4 | Tue Oct 6, 2:33 PM |
| T.J. Sanders | EDGE | Out → Questionable | -0.4 | Tue Oct 6, 2:33 PM |
| Ed Oliver | EDGE | Active → Questionable | 0.3 | Sun Oct 4, 3:21 PM |
| Dee Alford | NB | Active → Questionable | 0.1 | Sun Oct 4, 3:21 PM |
| DJ Moore | WR | Active → Questionable | 0.1 | Sun Oct 4, 2:18 PM |
Starters only, as reported by the team and ESPN. Worth = his value over his healthy backup, in points against the Bills. Questionable starters have sat 36% of the time this season.
Latest Bills News
Bills lose Oliver, Alford to in-game injuries vs. Patriots
Buffalo defensive lineman Ed Oliver left with a knee injury and cornerback Dee Alford with an ankle injury during Sunday's game against New England, both listed as questionable to return. Losing a starting interior lineman and a rotational corner mid-game weakens the Bills defense. Buffalo Bills (team site)
Bills receiver D.J. Moore hurts shoulder, unlikely back vs. Patriots
D.J. Moore injured his shoulder during Buffalo's game against New England and is doubtful to return for the second half. That thins the Bills' receiving group for the rest of the contest and raises questions about his status going forward. ESPN
Wind in the Forecast for Patriots at Bills
The forecast for kickoff at Highmark Stadium calls for wind 15 mph, gusting 22. Strong, steady wind has historically cut scoring in the NFL, mostly through the passing and kicking games. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Bills add two secondary bodies from practice squad for Patriots game
Buffalo elevated defensive backs Te'Cory Couch and Kani Walker from the practice squad for Sunday's game against New England. The moves give the Bills extra depth in the secondary and on special teams. Buffalo Bills (team site)
Moore, Hamlin clear to play for Buffalo against New England
Bills receiver DJ Moore and safety Damar Hamlin were limited in Friday's practice but carry no injury designation for Sunday. Both are expected to be available against New England. ProFootballTalk
Total rises 1.5 for Patriots at Bills ahead of the news
The consensus total on Patriots at Bills has moved from 48.5 to 50, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 1h 04m before the report: Christian Gonzalez (CB2) Questionable to Out.
Bills Beat Lions 41–31
Final: Detroit Lions 31, Buffalo Bills 41. The closing line was Bills −5.5; Buffalo covered by 4.5.
Bills Beat Texans 36–31
Final: Buffalo Bills 36, Houston Texans 31. The closing line was Texans +1; Buffalo covered by 4.
Bills play down Allen knee hit ahead of Patriots visit
Josh Allen took a knee hit late in Buffalo's win over the Chargers and is listed questionable. Coach Joe Brady said the team will monitor him over the next few days but expressed no concern, suggesting Allen is on track to start against New England. ESPN player news
Bills Beat Chargers 24–16
Final: Los Angeles Chargers 16, Buffalo Bills 24. The closing line was Bills −7; Buffalo covered by 1.
2026 Season: How the Line Moved
| Week | Game | Opened | Closed | Move | Result | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Texans | −1 | −1 | — | W 36–31 | Covered |
| 2 | vs. Lions | −4.5 | −5.5 | −1.0 | W 41–31 | Covered |
| 3 | vs. Chargers | −4.5 | −7 | −2.5 | W 24–16 | Covered |
| 4 | vs. Patriots | −5.5 | −7 | −1.5 | L 26–29 | Didn't cover |
| 5 | at Rams | +2.5 | +3 | +0.5 | Upcoming | — |
| 6 | at Raiders | −4.5 | −4.5 | — | Upcoming | — |
The Bills' consensus spread (median of U.S. sportsbooks and Kalshi) at our first look and at kickoff. A positive move means the market moved against the Bills.