0 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 8 · Early Edition

Week 8 · Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM ET

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars −7.5 at our first look, −7.5 now. 1 injury report on file. Team pages: Colts · Jaguars

Conditions · EverBank Stadium: Forecast 85°F, wind 8 mph, 25% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Colts −0.2 · Jaguars 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Indianapolis Colts −0.2

NB Justin Walley
Active → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 37% of the time
Questionable−0.2

Jacksonville Jaguars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Jaguars lineJacksonville Jaguars spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Jacksonville.

−7.5 no movement since tracking began Tue 4:16 PM ET.

What moved the Jaguars moneylineJacksonville Jaguars moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Jacksonville.
−317−335Opening line−322Line now−320
−317−335Opening line−322Line now−320
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line76.3% (−322)
Line now76.2% (−320)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
464748Opening line47.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 6:11 PM−1Line now46.5
464748Opening line47.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 6:11 PM−1Line now46.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line47.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 6:11 PM ET-1
Line now46.5

Notes

Team SaysSun Oct 25, 5:43 PM · IND

Steichen keeps Daniel Jones as Colts starting quarterback

Colts coach Shane Steichen said the team has not weighed a quarterback change and Daniel Jones remains the starter. That settles the position heading into Indianapolis' next game at Jacksonville. ProFootballTalk

IND since this note: +7.5 → +7.5 (no move)

MarketSun Oct 25, 5:51 PM · JAX

Total drops 2 for Colts at Jaguars after last week's results

The consensus total on Colts at Jaguars has moved from 47.5 to 45.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

JAX since this note: −7.5 → −7.5 (no move)

WeatherSun Oct 25, 4:50 PM

Wind in the Forecast for Colts at Jaguars

The forecast for kickoff at EverBank Stadium calls for wind 14 mph, gusting 15. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.

Total since this forecast: 47.5 → 46.5 (−1.0)

InjuryFri Oct 23, 7:43 AM · JAX

Jaguars lose left tackle Harrison for the season with torn ACL

Jacksonville left tackle Anton Harrison has a torn ACL in his right knee and will miss the remainder of the season. The Jaguars must find a new blindside protector starting with Sunday's game against Indianapolis. ESPN

JAX since this note: −7.5 → −7.5 (no move)

Injury Report

Indianapolis Colts

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
NB Justin Walley
Sun 3:36 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Alec Pierce (WR · IR · since Week 3), Arden Key (DL · IR · since Week 5).

Jacksonville Jaguars

Nothing on the report.

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Jaguars side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7.5 −110−3861.26 76.2%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
Kalshi−7.5 —−3441.29 77.5%47Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−7.5 −108−3801.26 76.0%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
FanDuel−7.5 −110−4501.22 78.6%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetMGM−7.5 −108−4001.25 77.1%47Mon 2:29 AM
Caesars−7.5 −106−3801.26 75.8%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetRivers−7.5 −107−4351.23 78.0%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetOnline−7 −120−3801.26 76.1%47Mon 2:29 AM
Bovada−8 −110−4101.24 76.5%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
LowVig−7 −116−3801.26 76.1%47Mon 2:29 AM
MyBookie−7.5 −110−3911.26 75.9%46.5Mon 2:29 AM
BetUS−7 −120−3801.26 76.2%47Mon 2:29 AM

Best for IND: FanDuel +7.5 (−110)Best for JAX: Caesars −7.5 (−106)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Colts side is the mirror image.