44 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

Week 9 · Sunday, November 8, 4:05 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers

49ers −9.5 at our first look, −10 now. 0 injury reports on file. Team pages: Raiders · 49ers

Conditions · Levi's Stadium: Forecast 70°F, wind 8 mph, 0% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Raiders 0.0 · 49ers 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward the 49ers.

Las Vegas Raiders 0.0

No news that moves the number.

San Francisco 49ers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the 49ers lineSan Francisco 49ers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against San Francisco.
−11−10−9Opening line−9.5Market move, no reported newsFri 2:25 PM−1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:58 PM+1Line now−10
−11−10−9Opening line−9.5Market move, no reported newsFri 2:25 PM−1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:58 PM+1Line now−10
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−9.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Oct 30, 2:25 PM ET-1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Nov 1, 7:58 PM ET+1
Line now−10
What moved the 49ers moneylineSan Francisco 49ers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward San Francisco.
−400−426−456−488−525Opening line−441Market move, no reported newsFri 2:25 PM−525Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:58 PM−471Less than the spread implies−413Line now−413
−400−426−456−488−525Opening line−441Market move, no reported newsFri 2:25 PM−525Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:58 PM−471Less than the spread implies−413Line now−413
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line81.5% (−441)
Market move, no reported newsFri Oct 30, 2:25 PM ET84.0% (−525)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Nov 1, 7:58 PM ET82.5% (−471)
Less than the spread implies80.5% (−413)
Line now80.5% (−413)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
484950515253Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:27 PM+3Market move, no reported newsTue 2:22 AM+1.5Line now53
484950515253Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:27 PM+3Market move, no reported newsTue 2:22 AM+1.5Line now53
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Nov 1, 7:27 PM ET+3
Market move, no reported newsTue Nov 3, 2:22 AM ET+1.5
Line now53

Notes

MarketMon Nov 2, 7:43 PM · SF

Line moves 2 toward the 49ers after last week's results

The consensus spread on Raiders at 49ers has moved from −8 to −10 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

SF since this note: −8 → −10 (−2.0)

MarketMon Nov 2, 7:01 PM · SF

Total rises 4 for Raiders at 49ers after last week's results

The consensus total on Raiders at 49ers has moved from 48 to 52. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

SF since this note: −8.5 → −10 (−1.5)

MarketSun Nov 1, 8:02 PM · SF

Line moves 1.5 toward the Raiders after last week's results

The consensus spread on Raiders at 49ers has moved from −10.5 to −9 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

SF since this note: −11 → −10 (+1.0)

MarketMon Nov 2, 6:24 PM · SF

Total rises 3 for Raiders at 49ers after last week's results

The consensus total on Raiders at 49ers has moved from 48.5 to 51.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

SF since this note: −11 → −10 (+1.0)

RosterTue Oct 27, 5:02 PM · SF

49ers reacquire DeForest Buckner in trade with Colts

San Francisco has agreed to trade for defensive lineman DeForest Buckner, who began his career with the 49ers. The move adds an interior starter to the 49ers front while removing a key defender from Indianapolis. ProFootballTalk

SF since this note: −9.5 → −10 (−0.5)

RosterTue Oct 27, 12:16 PM · SF

49ers to keep Pineiro as kicker through bye

San Francisco general manager John Lynch said the team will not replace kicker Eddy Pineiro during the bye week. That settles speculation the 49ers would bring in competition after recent misses. ProFootballTalk

InjuryMon Oct 26, 6:47 PM · SF

McCaffrey's injury called mild hamstring strain, return expected after bye

San Francisco said Christian McCaffrey's injury, first described as a thigh problem, is a mild hamstring strain. The team expects him available once the bye week passes, pointing to a return for the Week 9 home game with Las Vegas. ProFootballTalk

InjuryMon Oct 26, 9:08 AM · SF

McCaffrey downplays thigh injury, sees no lasting issue

San Francisco running back Christian McCaffrey left the Falcons game early with a thigh injury but indicated he does not expect it to be a lingering problem. That suggests the 49ers' lead back should be available going forward. ProFootballTalk

Injury Report

Las Vegas Raiders

Nothing on the report.

San Francisco 49ers

Nothing on the report.

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · 49ers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10 —−4131.24 80.5%53Tue 7:58 PM
Kalshi−10 —−4131.24 80.5%53Tue 7:58 PM
DraftKings−10 −110−5501.18 81.2%48.5Sun 12:04 AM
FanDuel−10.5 −105−6501.15 83.4%48.5Sun 12:04 AM
Caesars−10.5 −105−5601.18 80.9%48.5Sun 12:04 AM
BetRivers−10.5 −106−5901.17 81.8%48.5Sun 12:04 AM
BetOnline−10.5 −105—— —48.5Sun 12:04 AM
LowVig−10.5 +100—— —48.5Sun 12:04 AM
MyBookie−10 −110−5491.18 80.9%48.5Sun 12:04 AM
BetUS−9.5 −110—— —48.5Sun 12:04 AM

Best for LV: Caesars +10.5 (−114)Best for SF: DraftKings −10 (−110)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Raiders side is the mirror image.