Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
Browns +5 at our first look, +5 now. 17 injury reports on file. Team pages: Texans · Browns
Conditions · Huntington Bank Field: Forecast 45°F, wind 11 mph, 20% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Texans −0.1 · Browns −0.7 → favors the Texans by 0.6. Market: line unchanged. Not priced in
Houston Texans −0.1
| S Reed Blankenship Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.3 |
| LB Azeez Al-Shaair Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| G Keylan Rutledge Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| RB Woody Marks Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Cleveland Browns −0.7
| CB Denzel Ward Active → Questionable · 0.9 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| DT Maliek Collins Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.3 |
| RT Tytus Howard Active → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| S Ronnie Hickman Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| LB Quincy Williams Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| G Austin Barber Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| WR Denzel Boston Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| TE Harold Fannin Jr. Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
+5 no movement since tracking began Sun 6:12 PM ET.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 34.0% (+194) | |
| Price-only move | 32.7% (+206) | |
| Line now | 32.7% (+206) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 39.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Nov 9, 3:26 PM ET | +0.5 |
| CLE QB Watson upgraded | Wed Nov 11, 12:27 PM ET | +0.5 |
| CLE S Hickman questionable | Wed Nov 11, 4:45 PM ET | +0.5 |
| CLE CB Ward questionable | Wed Nov 11, 9:23 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 41.5 |
Notes
Browns expect Boston back on practice field Thursday
Receiver Denzel Boston missed Wednesday's Browns practice but the team expects him to return Thursday. That points to him being available against Houston. ProFootballTalk
CLE since this note: +5 → +5 (no move)
Watson set to start for Browns against Houston
Cleveland intends to start Deshaun Watson at quarterback against the Texans, after coach Todd Monken had held off on naming a starter earlier in the week. The decision settles the Browns' quarterback situation for Sunday. ProFootballTalk
CLE since this note: +5 → +5 (no move)
Line moves 1 toward the Texans after last week's results
The consensus spread on Texans at Browns has moved from +4 to +5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
CLE since this note: +5 → +5 (no move)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Texans with no reported news
The consensus spread on Texans at Browns has moved from +3.5 to +5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
CLE since this note: +4.5 → +5 (+0.5)
Wind in the Forecast for Texans at Browns
The forecast for kickoff at Huntington Bank Field calls for wind 15 mph, gusting 19. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Injury Report
Houston Texans
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB David Montgomery Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| S Reed Blankenship Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| RB David Montgomery Wed 2:35 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.0 | — |
| RB Woody Marks Wed 5:40 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| WR Marvin Harrison Jr. Wed 6:00 PM |
Active → Questionable | 0.0 | — |
| LB Azeez Al-Shaair Wed 6:00 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| G Keylan Rutledge Wed 6:00 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB Deshaun Watson Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| DT Maliek Collins Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| QB Deshaun Watson Wed 9:50 AM |
Questionable → Out | +0.3 | — |
| S Ronnie Hickman Wed 12:32 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| WR Denzel Boston Wed 12:32 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| TE Harold Fannin Jr. Wed 5:40 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Quincy Williams Wed 6:41 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| CB Denzel Ward Wed 6:41 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| RT Tytus Howard Wed 6:41 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| G Austin Barber Wed 6:41 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Teven Jenkins (OL · IR · since Week 7).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Browns side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +5 | −110 | +195 | 2.95 | 32.7% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Kalshi | +5 | — | +199 | 2.99 | 33.5% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| DraftKings | +4.5 | −105 | +190 | 2.90 | 33.1% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| FanDuel | +4.5 | −105 | +198 | 2.98 | 32.2% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetMGM | +5 | −110 | +195 | 2.95 | 32.6% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Caesars | +5 | −110 | +192 | 2.92 | 32.8% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Fanatics | +5 | −110 | +190 | 2.90 | 33.0% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetRivers | +5 | −112 | +190 | 2.90 | 33.0% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetOnline | +5 | −108 | +195 | 2.95 | 32.6% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Bovada | +5 | −112 | +195 | 2.95 | 32.6% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| LowVig | +5 | −103 | +195 | 2.95 | 32.6% | 41 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| MyBookie | +5 | −110 | +188 | 2.88 | 33.1% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetUS | +5 | −110 | +200 | 3.00 | 32.2% | 41.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
Best for HOU: DraftKings −4.5 (−115)Best for CLE: BetMGM +5 (−110)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Texans side is the mirror image.