Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Packers −3.5 at our first look, −3 now. 17 injury reports on file. Team pages: Vikings · Packers
Conditions · Lambeau Field: Forecast 43°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Vikings −0.9 · Packers −0.5 → favors the Packers by 0.4. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Vikings.
Minnesota Vikings −0.9
| QB Carson Wentz Active → Questionable · 2.7 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −1.0 |
| WR Jauan Jennings Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| LB Blake Cashman Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| TE T.J. Hockenson Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Green Bay Packers −0.5
| RB Josh Jacobs Active → Questionable → Doubtful → Out |
Out | −0.3 |
| NB Javon Bullard Active → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| C Sean Rhyan Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| LB Lukas Van Ness Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| K Trey Smack Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
| G Aaron Banks Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −3.5 | |
| MIN QB Murray doubtful | Tue Nov 10, 12:46 AM ET | -0.9 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Tue Nov 10, 12:46 AM ET | -0.4 |
| MIN QB Murray upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 4:15 PM ET | +1 |
| MIN WR Jennings upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 4:15 PM ET | +0.4 |
| GB K Smack questionable | Wed Nov 11, 2:40 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | −3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 60.5% (−153) | |
| MIN QB Murray doubtful | Tue Nov 10, 12:46 AM ET | 63.0% (−170) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Tue Nov 10, 12:46 AM ET | 64.2% (−179) |
| MIN QB Murray upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 4:15 PM ET | 61.6% (−160) |
| MIN WR Jennings upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 4:15 PM ET | 60.6% (−154) |
| GB K Smack questionable | Wed Nov 11, 2:40 PM ET | 55.6% (−125) |
| Less than the spread implies | 59.8% (−149) | |
| Line now | 59.8% (−149) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 42 | |
| MIN QB Murray doubtful | Tue Nov 10, 12:46 AM ET | -1.9 |
| GB RB Jacobs ruled out | Tue Nov 10, 12:46 AM ET | -0.4 |
| MIN QB Murray upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 8:30 AM ET | +1.6 |
| GB C Rhyan upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 8:30 AM ET | +0.6 |
| MIN WR Jennings upgraded | Tue Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET | +0.3 |
| Line now | 42 |
Notes
Cashman, Hockenson sit out Vikings practice before Packers trip
Vikings linebacker Blake Cashman and tight end T.J. Hockenson did not practice Wednesday. Both are key starters whose availability for Sunday at Green Bay is in question. ProFootballTalk
MIN since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
O'Connell noncommittal on Cousins starting at Green Bay
Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell said it is too soon to declare Kirk Cousins the starter for Sunday's game at Green Bay after Minnesota traded a third-round pick for him. Carson Wentz is listed as questionable, leaving the quarterback job unsettled. ProFootballTalk
MIN since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Vikings reacquire Cousins from Raiders for third-round pick
Minnesota traded a third-round pick to Las Vegas for quarterback Kirk Cousins, who was given the choice to stay or go. The deal adds a veteran quarterback option to the Vikings and removes Cousins from the Raiders' depth chart ahead of Week 10. CBS Sports
MIN since this note: +3.5 → +3 (−0.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Vikings after last week's results
The consensus spread on Vikings at Packers has moved from −5 to −3.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
GB since this note: −3.5 → −3 (+0.5)
Total rises 1.5 for Vikings at Packers ahead of the news
The consensus total on Vikings at Packers has moved from 40.5 to 42. The market started moving 1h 50m before the report: Kyler Murray (QB) Questionable to Doubtful.
GB since this note: −5 → −3 (+2.0)
Total drops 1.5 for Vikings at Packers
The consensus total on Vikings at Packers has moved from 42 to 40.5. The move followed the report: Jauan Jennings (WR2) Out to Questionable.
GB since this note: −5 → −3 (+2.0)
Line moves 1 toward the Packers after last week's results
The consensus spread on Vikings at Packers has moved from −4 to −5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
GB since this note: −4.5 → −3 (+1.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Packers ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Vikings at Packers has moved from −3.5 to −5 (home side). The market started moving 11h 32m before the report: Jauan Jennings (WR2) Out to Questionable.
GB since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)
Total drops 1.5 for Vikings at Packers with no reported news
The consensus total on Vikings at Packers has moved from 42 to 40.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
GB since this note: −4 → −3 (+1.0)
Total drops 1.5 for Vikings at Packers with no reported news
The consensus total on Vikings at Packers has moved from 42.5 to 41. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Injury Report
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Jauan Jennings Tue 10:45 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| QB Kyler Murray Tue 10:45 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | — |
| QB Kyler Murray Tue 3:30 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.5 | — |
| QB Carson Wentz Wed 2:56 PM |
Active → Questionable | +1.0 | — |
| LB Blake Cashman Wed 2:56 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| TE T.J. Hockenson Wed 4:38 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Donovan Jackson (OL · IR · since Week 5).
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Josh Jacobs Sun 5:23 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| RB Josh Jacobs Mon 3:55 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.2 | — |
| RB Josh Jacobs Mon 3:55 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.2 | — |
| C Sean Rhyan Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| LB Zaire Franklin Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Doubtful | −0.0 | — |
| G Travis Glover Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| K Trey Smack Wed 5:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| G Aaron Banks Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LB Lukas Van Ness Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| NB Javon Bullard Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Ty'Ron Hopper Wed 7:42 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Zach Bako-Bewele (OL · IR · since Week 4), Javon Hargrave (DL · IR · since Week 6), Edgerrin Cooper (LB · IR · since Week 5), Jonathan Ford (DL · IR · since Week 6), Jacob Monk (OL · IR · since Week 8).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Packers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −112 | −164 | 1.61 | 59.8% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Kalshi | −3 | — | −153 | 1.65 | 60.5% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −112 | −162 | 1.62 | 59.3% | 42.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| FanDuel | −3 | −110 | −164 | 1.61 | 59.7% | 42.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −112 | −165 | 1.61 | 59.9% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Caesars | −3 | −115 | −164 | 1.61 | 59.8% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −115 | −170 | 1.59 | 60.2% | 42.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −113 | −157 | 1.64 | 58.2% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −112 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.6% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Bovada | −3 | −120 | −170 | 1.59 | 60.7% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| LowVig | −3 | −109 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.6% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | −110 | −169 | 1.59 | 59.8% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | −115 | −165 | 1.61 | 60.1% | 42 | Wed 10:26 PM |
Best for MIN: Caesars +3 (−104)Best for GB: FanDuel −3 (−110)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Vikings side is the mirror image.