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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Minnesota Vikings · QB

Kyler Murray

Valued at 0.3 points a game over Carson Wentz (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 1 of 3 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Mon Sep 21, 2:44 PM W3 vs TB Out → Returning−0.3 −2 → −0.5 Never priced in Yes ESPN
Fri Sep 18, 3:05 PM W2 vs CHI Questionable → Out+0.2 +4.5 → +4.5 — No ESPN
Sun Sep 13, 5:19 PM W2 vs CHI Active → Questionable+0.2 +3 → +4.5 — No ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).