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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 Week 10

Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 4:25 PM ET

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys +5 at our first look, +4 now. 10 injury reports on file. Team pages: 49ers · Cowboys

The read so far

News: 49ers −0.3 · Cowboys +0.6 → favors the Cowboys by 0.9. Market: moved 1 toward the Cowboys. Priced in

San Francisco 49ers −0.3

CB Deommodore Lenoir
Active → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable−0.3
CB Renardo Green
Active → Questionable · 0.6 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable−0.2
WR Mike Evans
Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable+0.2

Dallas Cowboys +0.6

WR George Pickens
Out → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable+0.4
CB Joey Porter Jr.
Out → Questionable · 0.5 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable+0.3
S P.J. Locke
Active → Questionable → Out		 Out−0.2
LB Donovan Ezeiruaku
Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable−0.1
LB DeMarvion Overshown
Out → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time		 Questionable+0.1

Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.

Line Movement

What moved the Cowboys lineDallas Cowboys spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Dallas.
+4+5Opening line+5SF CB Lenoir questionableMon 7:09 AM−0.5DAL LB Overshown upgradedTue 7:28 AMmarket moved 4h before the report−0.5Line now+4
+4+5Opening line+5SF CB Lenoir questionableMon 7:09 AM−0.5DAL LB Overshown upgradedTue 7:28 AM · market moved 4h before the report−0.5Line now+4
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+5
SF CB Lenoir questionableMon Nov 9, 7:09 AM ET-0.5
DAL LB Overshown upgradedTue Nov 10, 7:28 AM ET-0.5
Line now+4
What moved the Cowboys moneylineDallas Cowboys moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = toward Dallas.
+233+223+212+203+194+186Opening line+228SF CB Lenoir questionableMon 7:09 AM+209DAL LB Overshown upgradedTue 7:28 AMmarket moved 4h before the report+206Price-only move+189Line now+189
+233+223+212+203+194+186Opening line+228SF CB Lenoir questionableMon 7:09 AM+209DAL LB Overshown upgradedTue 7:28 AM · market moved 4h before the report+206Price-only move+189Line now+189
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line30.5% (+228)
SF CB Lenoir questionableMon Nov 9, 7:09 AM ET32.4% (+209)
DAL LB Overshown upgradedTue Nov 10, 7:28 AM ET32.7% (+206)
Price-only move34.6% (+189)
Line now34.6% (+189)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Injuries on either side of the ball and weather move this line.
4244464850525456Opening line43.5SF CB Lenoir questionableSun 8:05 PM+0.6SF CB Green questionableSun 8:05 PM+0.5DAL S Locke ruled outSun 8:05 PMmarket moved 21h before the report+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 8:05 PM+10.9DAL CB Porter Jr. upgradedWed 12:00 AM−0.5Line now55.5
4244464850525456Opening line43.5SF CB Lenoir questionableSun 8:05 PM+0.6SF CB Green questionableSun 8:05 PM+0.5DAL S Locke ruled outSun 8:05 PM · market moved 21h before the report+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 8:05 PM+10.9DAL CB Porter Jr. upgradedWed 12:00 AM−0.5Line now55.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line43.5
SF CB Lenoir questionableSun Nov 8, 8:05 PM ET+0.6
SF CB Green questionableSun Nov 8, 8:05 PM ET+0.5
DAL S Locke ruled outSun Nov 8, 8:05 PM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Nov 8, 8:05 PM ET+10.9
DAL CB Porter Jr. upgradedWed Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET-0.5
Line now55.5

Notes

InjuryWed Nov 11, 7:04 PM · SF

Deebo Samuel back on 49ers practice field in limited role

San Francisco receiver Deebo Samuel returned to practice Wednesday on a limited basis. His participation points toward a possible return for the Dallas game, which would add a key pass catcher to the offense. ProFootballTalk

SF since this note: −4 → −4 (no move)

InjuryWed Nov 11, 4:21 PM · SF

49ers list Evans week-to-week, likely out again

Mike Evans missed practice again and the 49ers described him as week-to-week, pointing to another absence. San Francisco's receiving corps stays thin for the trip to Dallas. ProFootballTalk

SF since this note: −4 → −4 (no move)

RosterWed Nov 11, 1:38 PM · DAL

Cowboys add Kendre Miller to practice squad amid backfield injury

Dallas signed running back Kendre Miller to its practice squad for depth after Tyler Goodson hurt his knee and is expected to miss multiple weeks. It is a depth move that could matter if the Cowboys backfield thins further against San Francisco. Dallas Cowboys (team site)

DAL since this note: +4 → +4 (no move)

RosterWed Nov 11, 1:22 PM · SF

49ers trade for receiver Keenan Allen

San Francisco acquired wide receiver Keenan Allen from Indianapolis for a 2027 sixth-round pick and added cornerback Jack Jones to the practice squad. Allen gives the 49ers another veteran target for Sunday's game at Dallas. San Francisco 49ers (team site)

SF since this note: −4 → −4 (no move)

MarketMon Nov 9, 6:13 PM · DAL

Total rises 12.5 for 49ers at Cowboys ahead of the news

The consensus total on 49ers at Cowboys has moved from 43.5 to 56. The market started moving 1h 10m before the report: P.J. Locke (S) Active to Questionable.

DAL since this note: +5 → +4 (−1.0)

Injury Report

San Francisco 49ers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
CB Renardo Green
Sun 8:15 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.2 —
CB Deommodore Lenoir
Sun 8:35 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.3 —
WR Deebo Samuel
Tue 11:05 AM		 Out → Questionable−0.0 —
WR Mike Evans
Tue 11:05 AM		 Out → Questionable−0.2 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Alfred Collins (DL · IR · since Week 1).

Dallas Cowboys

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LB Donovan Ezeiruaku
Sun 2:15 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.1 —
S P.J. Locke
Sun 7:34 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.1 —
S P.J. Locke
Mon 5:20 PM		 Questionable → Out+0.1 —
LB DeMarvion Overshown
Tue 11:05 AM		 Out → Questionable−0.1 —
WR George Pickens
Tue 11:05 AM		 Out → Questionable−0.4 —
CB Joey Porter Jr.
Tue 11:05 AM		 Out → Questionable−0.3 —

Out long-term, already in the line: Jalen Thompson (DB · IR · since Week 4).

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Cowboys side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+4 −110+1752.75 34.6%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
Kalshi+4 —+1902.90 34.5%56Wed 10:26 PM
DraftKings+3.5 −105+1702.70 35.5%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
FanDuel+4.5 −120+1722.72 35.4%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
BetMGM+4.5 −110+1852.85 33.6%56Wed 10:26 PM
Caesars+4 −109+1832.83 34.0%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
Fanatics+4 −110+1752.75 34.8%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
BetRivers+4 −112+1702.70 35.2%56Wed 10:26 PM
BetOnline+4 −112+1832.83 34.1%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
Bovada+4 −112+1752.75 34.9%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
LowVig+4 −107+1832.83 34.1%55.5Wed 10:26 PM
MyBookie+4 −110+1722.72 35.0%56Wed 10:26 PM
BetUS+4 −110+1802.80 34.5%55.5Wed 10:26 PM

Best for SF: DraftKings −3.5 (−115)Best for DAL: BetMGM +4.5 (−110)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The 49ers side is the mirror image.