Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

Line Movement

What moved the Commanders lineWashington Commanders spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Washington.

Data

Cause	When	Move
Opening line		+4.5
Reaction to last week's game	Sun Sep 27, 5:53 PM ET	-1.5
Daniels to travel to London, still unsure for Colts game	Mon Sep 28, 2:24 PM ET	+0.5
Line now		+3.5

What moved the Commanders moneylineWashington Commanders chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Washington.

Data

Cause	When	Move
Opening line		34.1% (+193)
Reaction to last week's game	Sun Sep 27, 5:53 PM ET	41.2% (+143)
Daniels to travel to London, still unsure for Colts game	Mon Sep 28, 2:24 PM ET	36.2% (+176)
Line now		36.3% (+175)

What moved the totalConsensus over/under. Weather and quarterback news move this line.

Data

Cause	When	Move
Opening line		47
Market move, no reported news	Wed Sep 30, 10:47 AM ET	+0.5
Line now		47.5

Notes

InjuryThu Oct 1, 2:44 PM · WAS

Daniels leaves Colts start open, calls elbow a day-to-day matter

Jayden Daniels said he is evaluating his injured left elbow day by day and has not been ruled in or out for Sunday's game against Indianapolis in London. He said he is not worried about aggravating the injury. Washington's quarterback situation for the week remains unsettled. ESPN

WAS since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)

InjuryTue Sep 29, 12:28 PM · WAS

Daniels to skip elbow surgery for now, may operate after season

Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels will not have a procedure on his dislocated left elbow at this time, with surgery possible once the season ends. That keeps a return this season on the table, though he remains out for now. ESPN player news

WAS since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move)

InjuryTue Sep 29, 10:25 AM · WAS

Daniels to travel to London, still unsure for Colts game

Dan Quinn said Jayden Daniels, dealing with an elbow injury, is expected to make the trip to London with the team. His availability against Indianapolis remains undecided, leaving Washington's quarterback plan unsettled. ESPN player news

WAS since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)

Injury Report

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Change	Worth	Played
LB Akeem Davis-Gaither Wed 4:12 PM	Active → Questionable	+0.1	—
WR Keenan Allen Thu 4:16 PM	Active → Questionable	+0.1	—

Washington Commanders

Player	Change	Worth	Played
LB Frankie Luvu Tue 1:06 PM	Out → Questionable	−0.4	—
S Nick Cross Tue 1:06 PM	Out → Doubtful	−0.0	—
G Sam Cosmi Tue 1:06 PM	Out → Questionable	−0.5	—
QB Jayden Daniels Tue 1:06 PM	Out → Questionable	−0.5	—
TE Chig Okonkwo Tue 1:06 PM	Out → Questionable	−0.0	—
G Sam Cosmi Tue 7:32 PM	Questionable → Out	+0.5	—
S Nick Cross Tue 7:32 PM	Doubtful → Out	+0.0	—
C Lucas Patrick Wed 4:32 PM	Active → Questionable	+0.0	—
EDGE Javon Kinlaw Wed 4:32 PM	Active → Questionable	+0.4	—
G Nick Allegretti Wed 4:32 PM	Active → Questionable	+0.1	—

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Commanders side

Book	Spread	Price	Moneyline	Decimal	Win % (no-vig)	Total	As of
Consensus	+3.5	−108	+165	2.65	36.3%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM
Kalshi	+4	—	+174	2.74	36.5%	48	Thu 4:17 PM
DraftKings	+3.5	−108	+160	2.60	36.9%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM
FanDuel	+3.5	−110	+164	2.64	36.4%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM
BetMGM	+3.5	−108	+165	2.65	36.1%	48	Thu 4:17 PM
Caesars	+3.5	−108	+162	2.62	36.7%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM
Fanatics	+3.5	−105	+165	2.65	36.1%	48	Thu 4:17 PM
BetRivers	+3.5	−107	+160	2.60	36.8%	47	Thu 4:17 PM
BetOnline	+4	−110	+171	2.71	35.8%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM
Bovada	+4	−110	+170	2.70	35.7%	48	Thu 4:17 PM
LowVig	+4	−107	+171	2.71	35.8%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM
MyBookie	+3.5	−110	+158	2.58	36.9%	48	Thu 4:17 PM
BetUS	+4	−110	+167	2.67	36.2%	47.5	Thu 4:17 PM

Best for IND: FanDuel −3.5 (−110)Best for WAS: Fanatics +3.5 (−105)

Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Colts side is the mirror image.