Week 5 · Sunday, October 11, 1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots
Patriots −3.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 1 injury report on file.
Conditions · Gillette Stadium: Forecast 61°F, wind 8 mph, 1% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Raiders 0.0 · Patriots −0.0. Market: line unchanged.
Las Vegas Raiders 0.0
No news that moves the number.
New England Patriots −0.0
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
−3.5 no movement since tracking began Tue 3:47 PM ET.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 63.1% (−171) | |
| Price-only move | 62.6% (−167) | |
| Line now | 62.6% (−167) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 4, 7:28 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 44.5 |
Notes
Line moves 3 toward the Raiders with no reported news
The consensus spread on Raiders at Patriots has moved from −3.5 to −0.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NE since this note: −0.5 → −3.5 (−3.0)
Total rises 1.5 for Raiders at Patriots with no reported news
The consensus total on Raiders at Patriots has moved from 44 to 45.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
NE since this note: −0.5 → −3.5 (−3.0)
Wind in the Forecast for Raiders at Patriots
The forecast for kickoff at Gillette Stadium calls for wind 13 mph, gusting 23. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 44 → 44.5 (+0.5)
Injury Report
Las Vegas Raiders
Nothing on the report.
New England Patriots
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Mack Hollins Sun 3:21 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Patriots side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 62.6% | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| Kalshi | −3.5 | — | −178 | 1.56 | 64.0% | 45 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| DraftKings | −3.5 | −110 | −185 | 1.54 | 62.2% | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −118 | −200 | 1.50 | 64.1% | 45.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetMGM | −3.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 62.6% | — | Mon 1:22 AM |
| Caesars | −3.5 | −114 | −190 | 1.53 | 62.8% | 45 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetRivers | −3.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 62.6% | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetOnline | −3.5 | −110 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.3% | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| LowVig | −3.5 | −105 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.3% | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| MyBookie | −3.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 45.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
| BetUS | −3.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 44.5 | Mon 1:22 AM |
Best for LV: FanDuel +3.5 (−104)Best for NE: DraftKings −3.5 (−110)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Raiders side is the mirror image.