NFL · 2026 season · 2–1–1 against the closing spread
New England Patriots
Next: Patriots vs. Raiders, Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET. Patriots −3.5, total 45. Not priced in
Patriots Injury Report · Week 5
| Player | Pos | Status this week | Worth (pts) | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Barmore | EDGE | Out → Questionable | -0.6 | Tue Oct 6, 2:33 PM |
| Christian Gonzalez | CB | Out → Questionable | -0.5 | Tue Oct 6, 2:33 PM |
| Mack Hollins | WR | Active → Questionable | 0.0 | Sun Oct 4, 3:21 PM |
Starters only, as reported by the team and ESPN. Worth = his value over his healthy backup, in points against the Patriots. Questionable starters have sat 36% of the time this season.
Latest Patriots News
Patriots cut linebacker Jose Ramirez
New England released linebacker Jose Ramirez, clearing a roster spot ahead of its game with Las Vegas. Ramirez was a depth piece, so the on-field impact is minimal. ProFootballTalk
Wind in the Forecast for Raiders at Patriots
The forecast for kickoff at Gillette Stadium calls for wind 13 mph, gusting 23. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total rises 5.5 for Raiders at Patriots with no reported news
The consensus total on Raiders at Patriots has moved from 39.5 to 45. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Line moves 3 toward the Patriots with no reported news
The consensus spread on Raiders at Patriots has moved from −0.5 to −3.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Patriots Beat Bills 29–26
Final: New England Patriots 29, Buffalo Bills 26. New England won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Bills −7. The 55 combined points went over the closing total of 49.5. The market moved Buffalo 0.5 points over Josh Allen's absence (−6.5 to −7); Bills fell short of it by 10. The market moved New England 0.5 points over Christian Gonzalez's absence (+6.5 to +7); Patriots beat that closing number by 10.
Wind in the Forecast for Patriots at Bills
The forecast for kickoff at Highmark Stadium calls for wind 15 mph, gusting 22. Strong, steady wind has historically cut scoring in the NFL, mostly through the passing and kicking games. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Patriots get all six questionable players active at Buffalo
New England listed six players as questionable and all of them, including Dre'Mont Jones, Craig Woodson and Eli Raridon, are active for Sunday's game at Buffalo. The Patriots avoid any late scratches on defense or at tight end. New England Patriots (team site)
Patriots call up two defensive backs for Buffalo trip
New England elevated safety Mike Brown and cornerback Kindle Vildor from the practice squad ahead of Sunday's game at Buffalo. The moves add secondary depth with the Patriots already short in the defensive backfield. New England Patriots (team site)
Patriots to play Bills without Gonzalez and Barmore
New England has ruled out cornerback Christian Gonzalez and defensive tackle Christian Barmore for Sunday's game at Buffalo. Losing both defensive starters weakens the Patriots against Buffalo's pass and run game. ProFootballTalk
Maye says shoulder is no issue ahead of Buffalo trip
Patriots quarterback Drake Maye said his right shoulder is not limiting his throwing and blamed his slow start on decision-making. That points to him starting at Buffalo without physical restrictions. ESPN
Patriots lose guard Van Roten to injured reserve
New England placed guard Greg Van Roten on injured reserve Tuesday with a thigh injury, sidelining him for at least several weeks. That further thins the offensive line protecting Drake Maye ahead of the trip to Buffalo. ESPN
Patriots rule out quarterback Morton at Jacksonville
New England listed quarterback Behren Morton as out and inactive for Sunday's game at Jacksonville. That removes a quarterback from the active game-day group. ESPN player news
2026 Season: How the Line Moved
| Week | Game | Opened | Closed | Move | Result | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Seahawks | +3.5 | +3 | −0.5 | L 10–13 | Push |
| 2 | vs. Steelers | −4.5 | −4.5 | — | W 20–3 | Covered |
| 3 | at Jaguars | +2.5 | +3 | +0.5 | L 6–35 | Didn't cover |
| 4 | at Bills | +5.5 | +7 | +1.5 | W 29–26 | Covered |
| 5 | vs. Raiders | −3.5 | −3.5 | — | Upcoming | — |
| 6 | vs. Jets | −7 | −7 | — | Upcoming | — |
The Patriots' consensus spread (median of U.S. sportsbooks and Kalshi) at our first look and at kickoff. A positive move means the market moved against the Patriots.