Week 9 · Monday, November 9, 8:15 PM ET
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Vikings +2.5 at our first look, +3 now. 5 injury reports on file. Team pages: Bills · Vikings
Conditions: Indoors.
The read so far
News: Bills +0.8 · Vikings −0.3 → favors the Bills by 1.1. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Bills. Partly priced in
Buffalo Bills +0.8
| S C.J. Gardner-Johnson Suspended → Returning |
Returning | +0.3 |
| NB Dee Alford Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| RT Spencer Brown Out → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
Minnesota Vikings −0.3
| LT Christian Darrisaw Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
| QB Kyler Murray Active → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +2.5 | |
| BUF S Gardner-Johnson upgraded | Mon Nov 2, 10:14 PM ET | +0.5 |
| MIN LT Darrisaw questionable | Mon Nov 2, 10:14 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 3, 12:18 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | +3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44.0% (+127) | |
| BUF S Gardner-Johnson upgraded | Mon Nov 2, 10:14 PM ET | 40.5% (+147) |
| MIN LT Darrisaw questionable | Mon Nov 2, 10:14 PM ET | 37.5% (+167) |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Nov 3, 12:18 AM ET | 42.5% (+135) |
| Price-only move | 37.5% (+167) | |
| Line now | 37.5% (+167) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 47.5 | |
| BUF S Gardner-Johnson upgraded | Mon Nov 2, 9:43 PM ET | -1.1 |
| MIN LT Darrisaw questionable | Mon Nov 2, 9:43 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Nov 2, 9:43 PM ET | -0.4 |
| Line now | 45.5 |
Notes
Total rises 7 for Bills at Vikings
The consensus total on Bills at Vikings has moved from 39 to 46. The move followed the report: C.J. Gardner-Johnson (S) Suspended to Returning.
MIN since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Injury Report
Buffalo Bills
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| S C.J. Gardner-Johnson Mon 9:35 PM |
Suspended → Returning | −0.3 | — |
| NB Dee Alford Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| RT Spencer Brown Tue 8:27 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: C.J. Gardner-Johnson (DB · Reserve list · since Week 8).
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB Kyler Murray Sun 5:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| LT Christian Darrisaw Mon 3:15 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Donovan Jackson (OL · IR · since Week 5).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Vikings side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +3 | — | +167 | 2.67 | 37.5% | 45.5 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| Kalshi | +3 | — | +167 | 2.67 | 37.5% | 45.5 | Tue 7:58 PM |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | −110 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 47.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| FanDuel | +2.5 | −110 | +118 | 2.18 | 44.2% | 48.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| Caesars | +2.5 | −109 | +118 | 2.18 | 44.1% | 47.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetRivers | +2.5 | −112 | +117 | 2.17 | 44.1% | 48 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetOnline | +2.5 | +100 | — | — | — | 47.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| LowVig | +2.5 | +105 | — | — | — | 47.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
| BetUS | +2.5 | +100 | — | — | — | 47.5 | Sun 12:04 AM |
Best for BUF: Caesars −2.5 (−109)Best for MIN: Caesars +2.5 (−109)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Bills side is the mirror image.