Week 10 · Sunday, November 15, 9:30 AM ET
New England Patriots at Detroit Lions
Lions +0.5 at our first look, −3 now. 15 injury reports on file. Team pages: Patriots · Lions
Conditions: Indoors.
The read so far
News: Patriots −0.9 · Lions −1.6 → favors the Patriots by 0.6. Market: moved 3.5 toward the Lions. Not priced in
New England Patriots −0.9
| CB Carlton Davis III Questionable → Out |
Out | −0.4 |
| RB Rhamondre Stevenson Active → Questionable → Doubtful |
Doubtful | −0.3 |
| LT Will Campbell Active → Questionable · 0.8 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| WR A.J. Brown Out → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.1 |
| TE Hunter Henry Active → Questionable · 0.2 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Detroit Lions −1.6
| QB Jared Goff Active → Questionable · 5.1 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −1.8 |
| CB D.J. Reed Out → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.5 |
| WR Amon-Ra St. Brown Active → Questionable · 0.7 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.3 |
| C Cade Mays Out → Questionable · 0.3 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | +0.2 |
| S Brian Branch Active → Questionable · 0.4 if out, sits 36% of the time |
Questionable | −0.2 |
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. A questionable starter counts at his chance of sitting (shown beside him with his full value if he's ruled out). After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +0.5 | |
| NE LT Campbell questionable | Sun Nov 8, 3:17 PM ET | -1.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 7:55 PM ET | -2 |
| Line now | −3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 49.5% (+102) | |
| NE LT Campbell questionable | Sun Nov 8, 3:17 PM ET | 53.0% (−113) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 7:55 PM ET | 57.0% (−133) |
| Price-only move | 58.3% (−140) | |
| Line now | 58.3% (−140) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 48 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Nov 8, 6:02 PM ET | +3 |
| Line now | 51 |
Notes
Patriots rule out three as A.J. Brown returns to limited practice
New England ruled out three players for Sunday's game against Detroit in Munich. Receiver A.J. Brown returned to practice on a limited basis, a sign he may be available. ProFootballTalk
NE since this note: +3 → +3 (no move)
Mahogany back in Lions' starting lineup at left guard
Christian Mahogany will start at left guard for Detroit on Sunday after sitting out a week ago due to a team rules violation. His return restores the Lions' regular interior offensive line against New England. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Goff limited in Lions practice with chest issue
Lions quarterback Jared Goff appeared on the week's first injury report as a limited participant with a chest injury. His status matters for Detroit's Sunday game against New England. ProFootballTalk
DET since this note: −3 → −3 (no move)
Line moves 1.5 on the news: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable
The consensus spread on Patriots at Lions has moved from −1.5 to −3 (home side). The move followed the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: −2.5 → −3 (−0.5)
Line moves 2 toward the Lions ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Patriots at Lions has moved from −1 to −3 (home side). The market started moving 0h 54m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: −0.5 → −3 (−2.5)
Total rises 2.5 for Patriots at Lions ahead of the news
The consensus total on Patriots at Lions has moved from 48.5 to 51. The market started moving 2h 06m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: −1 → −3 (−2.0)
Line moves 2 toward the Lions ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Patriots at Lions has moved from −1 to −3 (home side). The market started moving 1h 56m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: −1 → −3 (−2.0)
Total rises 10.5 for Patriots at Lions ahead of the news
The consensus total on Patriots at Lions has moved from 40.5 to 51. The market started moving 2h 58m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: PK → −3 (−3.0)
Line moves 3.5 toward the Lions ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Patriots at Lions has moved from +0.5 to −3 (home side). The market started moving 4h 31m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: PK → −3 (−3.0)
Total rises 2.5 for Patriots at Lions
The consensus total on Patriots at Lions has moved from 48.5 to 51. The move followed the report: Mack Hollins (WR2) Questionable to Cleared.
DET since this note: +0.5 → −3 (−3.5)
Total drops 9 for Patriots at Lions ahead of the news
The consensus total on Patriots at Lions has moved from 49.5 to 40.5. The market started moving 1h 18m before the report: Hunter Henry (TE) Questionable to Cleared.
DET since this note: +0.5 → −3 (−3.5)
Line moves 4.5 toward the Lions ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Patriots at Lions has moved from +1.5 to −3 (home side). The market started moving 6h 35m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: +0.5 → −3 (−3.5)
Line moves 4 toward the Lions ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Patriots at Lions has moved from +1 to −3 (home side). The market started moving 6h 56m before the report: Will Campbell (LT) Active to Questionable.
DET since this note: +1 → −3 (−4.0)
Total drops 10 for Patriots at Lions ahead of the news
The consensus total on Patriots at Lions has moved from 50 to 40. The market started moving 2h 21m before the report: Hunter Henry (TE) Questionable to Cleared.
DET since this note: +1.5 → −3 (−4.5)
Injury Report
New England Patriots
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT Will Campbell Sun 7:49 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| RB Rhamondre Stevenson Mon 11:51 AM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| G Ben Brown Mon 12:52 PM |
Active → Doubtful | +0.0 | — |
| WR A.J. Brown Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| RB Rhamondre Stevenson Tue 11:26 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.2 | — |
| G Walter Rouse Wed 6:20 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| CB Carlton Davis III Wed 6:20 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.4 | — |
| G Ben Brown Wed 6:20 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | — |
| TE Hunter Henry Wed 6:20 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| G Ben Brown Wed 9:04 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Romeo Doubs (WR · IR · since Week 7), Mike Onwenu (OL · IR · since Week 3), Greg Van Roten (OL · IR, designated to return · since Week 4), Alijah Vera-Tucker (OL · IR · since Week 7).
Detroit Lions
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB D.J. Reed Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | — |
| C Cade Mays Tue 11:05 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.2 | — |
| WR Amon-Ra St. Brown Wed 4:38 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| QB Jared Goff Wed 4:38 PM |
Active → Questionable | +1.8 | — |
| S Brian Branch Wed 6:00 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
Out long-term, already in the line: Jack Campbell (LB · IR · since Week 9), Avonte Maddox (DB · IR · since Week 3), Thomas Harper (DB · IR · since Week 3), Ben Bartch (OL · IR · since Week 7), Devin White (LB · IR · since Week 7).
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Lions side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −102 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Kalshi | −3 | — | −135 | 1.74 | 57.5% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| DraftKings | −2.5 | −120 | −148 | 1.68 | 57.2% | 51.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −120 | −152 | 1.66 | 57.9% | 50.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −102 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Caesars | −3 | −102 | −154 | 1.65 | 58.2% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −105 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −112 | −182 | 1.55 | 61.5% | 50.5 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | +100 | −156 | 1.64 | 59.0% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| Bovada | −3 | −103 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.5% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| LowVig | −3 | +105 | −156 | 1.64 | 59.0% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | +100 | −155 | 1.65 | 57.9% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | +100 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.7% | 51 | Wed 10:26 PM |
Best for NE: BetRivers +3 (−110)Best for DET: DraftKings −2.5 (−120)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Patriots side is the mirror image.