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Tuesday, October 6, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

NFL · Week 4 · Line movement report · Updated Tue Oct 6, 6:25 PM ET

The Biggest Line Moves of Week 4

The biggest move of Week 4: Cardinals at Giants, where Giants went from −2.5 to +2.5, led by “NYG LB Burns to injured reserve”. 6 spreads moved a point or more; 6 totals moved 1.5 or more.

What moved the Giants lineNew York Giants spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against New York.
−3−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line−2.5NYG LB Burns to injured reserveSun 7:47 PM+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:47 PM+1.5Giants Cutting Veteran ReceiverBeckhamTue 4:49 PM+0.5NYG LT Thomas questionableWed 4:29 PM+0.5Closing line+2.5
−2PK+2Opening line−2.5NYG LB Burns to injured reserveSun 7:47 PM+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:47 PM+1.5Giants Cutting Veteran Receiver BeckhamTue 4:49 PM+0.5NYG LT Thomas questionableWed 4:29 PM+0.5Closing line+2.5

Final: ARI 24, NYG 36. Giants beat the closing number by 14.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−2.5
NYG LB Burns to injured reserveSun Sep 27, 7:47 PM ET+2.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 7:47 PM ET+1.5
Giants Cutting Veteran Receiver BeckhamTue Sep 29, 4:49 PM ET+0.5
NYG LT Thomas questionableWed Sep 30, 4:29 PM ET+0.5
Closing line+2.5

Spreads

1 · Sun Oct 4 · Final ARI 24, NYG 36

Cardinals at Giants: Giants −2.5 → +2.5

5 points toward Cardinals.

  • NYG LB Burns to injured reserve +2.5
  • Reaction to last week's game +1.5
  • Giants Cutting Veteran Receiver Beckham +0.5
2 · Mon Oct 5

Falcons at Saints: Saints −3.5 → −1

2.5 points toward Falcons.

  • NO RB Etienne Jr. to injured reserve +1.0
  • Saints place Etienne on IR, out at least four games +0.5
  • Saints lose three front-seven starters for Monday night vs Falcons +0.5
3 · Sun Oct 4 · Final NE 29, BUF 26

Patriots at Bills: Bills −5.5 → −7

1.5 points toward Bills.

  • Reaction to last week's game −0.6
  • NE EDGE Barmore ruled out −0.5
  • BUF QB Allen questionable +0.5
4 · Sun Oct 4 · Final TEN 18, BAL 24

Titans at Ravens: Ravens −10.5 → −11.5

1 point toward Ravens.

  • TEN G Carmona to injured reserve −0.5
  • Reaction to last week's game −0.5
5 · Sun Oct 4 · Final LA 24, PHI 20

Rams at Eagles: Eagles +2.5 → +3.5

1 point toward Rams.

  • LA CB Watson ruled out −0.5
  • Market move, no reported news +0.5
  • LA S Kinchens upgraded +0.5
6 · Sun Oct 4 · Final GB 17, TB 14

Packers at Buccaneers: Buccaneers +1.5 → +2.5

1 point toward Packers.

  • Reaction to last week's game −4.0
  • Daniels in line to start for Bucs with Mayfield sidelined +3.5
  • TB QB Mayfield ruled out +3.0

Totals

1 · Sun Oct 4 · Final KC 30, LV 27

Chiefs at Raiders: total 36.5 → 47

  • Market move, no reported news +9.5
  • KC RB Walker III upgraded +0.5
2 · Sun Oct 4 · Final GB 17, TB 14

Packers at Buccaneers: total 47.5 → 39

  • TB QB Mayfield ruled out −4.8
  • Market move, no reported news −4.2
  • Reaction to last week's game +1.0
3 · Sun Oct 4 · Final DET 26, CAR 32

Lions at Panthers: total 46.5 → 52

  • Market move, no reported news +3.6
  • CAR CB Horn to injured reserve +0.9
  • CAR WR Coker ruled out −0.5
4 · Sun Oct 4 · Final TEN 18, BAL 24

Titans at Ravens: total 47.5 → 42.5

  • Market move, no reported news −3.0
  • BAL QB Jackson questionable −0.7
  • TEN G Carmona to injured reserve −0.5
5 · Sun Oct 4 · Final MIA 10, MIN 15

Dolphins at Vikings: total 43.5 → 38.5

  • MIA RB Achane to injured reserve −3.5
  • Market move, no reported news −1.0
6 · Sun Oct 4 · Final IND 30, WAS 13

Colts at Commanders: total 50.5 → 46.5

  • Market move, no reported news −4.9
  • Reaction to last week's game +1.5
  • WAS WR McLaurin ruled out −1.2

Consensus lines (the median of U.S. sportsbooks and the Kalshi exchange) from our first look of the week to now. Each move is credited to its causes, in points: news we reported, a reaction to last week's games, weather, or a market move with no reported news. The close is efficient: a move that already happened is not a bet. Information, not betting advice.

This week's biggest moves (Week 5)