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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

Week 4 · Every game, every report

Thu Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET · Final 24–27

Steelers at Browns

Browns +3 · 13 reports
80°F, wind 11 mph (gusts 26), dry
  • CB CLE Tyson Campbell · Active+0.6
  • C CLE Elgton Jenkins · Out−0.5

News: Steelers 0.0 · Browns +0.1. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Steelers 24, Browns 27. The Browns covered the closing line (Browns +3). 51 points, over the closing total of 38.

Sun Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET · Final 30–13

Colts at Commanders

Commanders +5 · 14 reports
70°F, wind 6 mph, dry
  • WR WAS Terry McLaurin · Out−0.6
  • LB WAS Frankie Luvu · Active+0.4
  • WR IND Keenan Allen · Out−0.2

News: Colts −0.2 · Commanders −0.2. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Colts.

Landed: Colts 30, Commanders 13. The Colts covered the closing line (Commanders +5). The move toward the Colts was right. 43 points, under the closing total of 46.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 18–24

Titans at Ravens

Ravens −11.5 · 17 reports
62°F, wind 6 mph, rain
  • LT BAL Ronnie Stanley · Active+0.5
  • LB BAL Trey Hendrickson · Out−0.3
  • G TEN Fernando Carmona · IR−0.2

News: Titans −0.2 · Ravens +0.2 → favors the Ravens by 0.4. Market: moved 1 toward the Ravens.

Landed: Titans 18, Ravens 24. The Titans covered the closing line (Ravens −11.5). The move toward the Ravens was wrong. 42 points, under the closing total of 42.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 29–26

Patriots at Bills

Bills −7 · 22 reports
67°F, wind 13 mph, dry
  • CB NE Christian Gonzalez · Out−0.9
  • CB BUF Christian Benford · Out−0.7
  • EDGE NE Christian Barmore · Out−0.6
  • G NE Greg Van Roten · IR−0.2

News: Patriots −1.3 · Bills −0.7 → favors the Bills by 0.7. Market: moved 1.5 toward the Bills. Moved past our number

Landed: Patriots 29, Bills 26. The Patriots covered the closing line (Bills −7). The move toward the Bills was wrong. 55 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 12–23

Jets at Bears

Bears −3.5 · 29 reports
70°F, wind 8 mph, dry
  • EDGE NYJ Kingsley Enagbare · Out−0.5
  • S NYJ Minkah Fitzpatrick · Active+0.4
  • G NYJ Dylan Parham · Out−0.2
  • RB NYJ Breece Hall · Out−0.2

News: Jets −0.6 · Bears −0.3 → favors the Bears by 0.3. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Jets 12, Bears 23. The Bears covered the closing line (Bears −3.5). 35 points, under the closing total of 43.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 22–17

Jaguars at Bengals

Bengals −2.5 · 12 reports
71°F, wind 5 mph, dry
  • S CIN Bryan Cook · Out−0.7
  • CB JAX Montaric Brown · Out−0.6
  • NB CIN Jalen Davis · IR−0.2

News: Jaguars −0.6 · Bengals −0.9 → favors the Jaguars by 0.3. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Jaguars 22, Bengals 17. The Jaguars covered the closing line (Bengals −2.5). 39 points, under the closing total of 52.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 34–30

Cowboys at Texans

Texans −3 · 18 reports
Indoors
  • CB DAL Joey Porter Jr. · Active+0.6
  • LB HOU Azeez Al-Shaair · Out−0.4
  • WR HOU Nico Collins · Active+0.4
  • S DAL Jalen Thompson · IR−0.4

News: Cowboys +0.5 · Texans +0.2 → favors the Cowboys by 0.3. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Cowboys 34, Texans 30. The Cowboys covered the closing line (Texans −3). 64 points, over the closing total of 48.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 24–36

Cardinals at Giants

Giants +2.5 · 12 reports
60°F, wind 8 mph, dry
  • S NYG Tyler Nubin · Active+0.5
  • CB NYG Deonte Banks · Active+0.3
  • LB NYG Brian Burns · IR−0.2

News: Cardinals 0.0 · Giants +0.6 → favors the Giants by 0.6. Market: moved 5 toward the Cardinals. Never priced in

Landed: Cardinals 24, Giants 36. The Giants covered the closing line (Giants +2.5). The move toward the Cardinals was wrong. 60 points, over the closing total of 44.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 24–20

Rams at Eagles

Eagles +3.5 · 22 reports
60°F, wind 10 mph, dry
  • CB LA Jaylen Watson · Out−0.7
  • WR LA Puka Nacua · Active+0.7
  • EDGE LA Aaron Donald · Out−0.6
  • RT PHI Lane Johnson · Out−0.5

News: Rams −0.6 · Eagles −1.5 → favors the Rams by 0.9. Market: moved 1 toward the Rams. Priced in

Landed: Rams 24, Eagles 20. The Rams covered the closing line (Eagles +3.5). The move toward the Rams was right. 44 points, over the closing total of 43.

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Final 17–14

Packers at Buccaneers

Buccaneers +2.5 · 24 reports
87°F, wind 2 mph, dry
  • QB TB Baker Mayfield · Out−5.4
  • CB TB Benjamin Morrison · Out−0.5
  • LB TB Josiah Trotter · Active+0.3
  • G GB Kevin Zeitler · Out−0.2

News: Packers −0.3 · Buccaneers −5.6 → favors the Packers by 5.3. Market: moved 1 toward the Packers. Never priced in

Landed: Packers 17, Buccaneers 14. The Packers covered the closing line (Buccaneers +2.5). The move toward the Packers was right. 31 points, under the closing total of 39.

Sun Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET · Final 10–15

Dolphins at Vikings

Vikings −10 · 11 reports
Indoors
  • WR MIN Justin Jefferson · Out−0.5
  • CB MIN Charles Demmings · Out−0.4
  • RB MIA De'Von Achane · IR−0.2

News: Dolphins −0.2 · Vikings −0.9 → favors the Dolphins by 0.7. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Dolphins. Partly priced in

Landed: Dolphins 10, Vikings 15. The Dolphins covered the closing line (Vikings −10). The move toward the Dolphins was right. 25 points, under the closing total of 38.5.

Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Final 30–27

Chiefs at Raiders

Raiders +5 · 11 reports
Indoors
  • S LV Treydan Stukes · Active+0.3
  • LT KC Josh Simmons · Out−0.3
  • RB KC Kenneth Walker III · Returning+0.2
  • G LV Jackson Powers-Johnson · Out−0.2

News: Chiefs +0.1 · Raiders +0.1. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Raiders.

Landed: Chiefs 30, Raiders 27. The Raiders covered the closing line (Raiders +5). The move toward the Raiders was right. 57 points, over the closing total of 47.

Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Final 23–30

Chargers at Seahawks

Seahawks −7 · 22 reports
61°F, wind 4 mph, dry
  • S LAC Derwin James Jr. · Out−0.6
  • S SEA Julian Love · Active+0.5
  • S LAC Elijah Molden · Active+0.3
  • RB SEA Jadarian Price · IR−0.2

News: Chargers −0.4 · Seahawks +0.3 → favors the Seahawks by 0.7. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Seahawks. Partly priced in

Landed: Chargers 23, Seahawks 30. A push at the closing line (Seahawks −7). The move toward the Seahawks was right. 53 points, over the closing total of 43.

Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Final 14–24

Broncos at 49ers

49ers −3 · 9 reports
86°F, wind 11 mph, dry

    News: Broncos 0.0 · 49ers 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward the Broncos.

    Landed: Broncos 14, 49ers 24. The 49ers covered the closing line (49ers −3). The move toward the Broncos was wrong. 38 points, under the closing total of 48.5.

    Sun Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET

    Lions at Panthers

    Panthers +4.5 · 21 reports
    66°F, wind 2 mph, dry
    • CB CAR Jaycee Horn · IR−0.9
    • WR CAR Jalen Coker · Out−0.6
    • CB CAR Mike Jackson · IR−0.6
    • LB CAR Devin Lloyd · Active+0.3

    News: Lions +0.0 · Panthers −1.8 → favors the Lions by 1.9. Market: moved 2 toward the Lions. Priced in

    Landed: Lions 26, Panthers 32. The Panthers covered the closing line (Panthers +4.5). The move toward the Lions was wrong. 58 points, over the closing total of 52.

    Mon Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET

    Falcons at Saints

    Saints −1.5 · 11 reports
    Indoors
    • LB NO Kaden Elliss · Out−0.4
    • LB NO Carl Granderson · Out−0.4
    • RB NO Travis Etienne Jr. · IR−0.2
    • LB ATL Divine Deablo · Questionable−0.1

    News: Falcons −0.1 · Saints −1.2 → favors the Falcons by 1.2. Market: moved 2 toward the Falcons. Moved past our number